Direct News: Mr. Wu, the White House recently confirmed that Biden President Biden does not have Taiwan in the list of partners for the so-called " Indo-Pacific Economic Framework " to be announced. Is anyone going to be disappointed? What are your observations on this?
Special Commentator Wu Wei: Tsai Ing-wen's administration naturally couldn't hide its disappointment. Thinking about how Tsai Ing-wen and her gangsters stubbornly suppressed the " clenbuterol " storm in the past few years, we understand how painful the face was this time. However, the green-campus media Liberty Times hurried out to smooth things over, saying that when the executive branch member Deng Zhenzhong met with U.S. Trade Representative Dai Qi in Thailand a few days ago, he confirmed in person that Taiwan and the United States were the so-called "priority trade partnership". Whether Taiwan is on the "Indo-Pacific Economic Framework" or not, Taiwan-US relations remained close. In short: not on the list of partners, but still a good partner. This logic is too lickable, I can't understand it, but I was shocked.
Whether it is the previous TPP, CPTPP or the current "Indo-Pacific Economic Framework" IPEF, the Taiwanese authorities want to get involved, even if they lick their faces, they want to squeeze in and change their partner business card. To put it bluntly, it is still the so-called "improving international status" trick. But the United States has not lost its minimum rationality, and the "Taiwan independence" path is really difficult to follow.
Although the dream of "founding member" of IPEF was shattered, the Tsai Ing-wen administration was not willing to accept it. Wang Meihua, head of the Taiwan economic department, came out today and said: Although it is not on the list, the Taiwan issue has received most of the support in the US Senate and House of Representatives.
Objectively speaking, Taiwan does have a little confidence, especially the position of the chip manufacturing industry in the global industrial chain, which is indeed possible to get a piece of the pie in the economic framework dominated by the United States, but the knife to cut the cake is completely in the hands of the Americans. When Biden visited South Korea not long ago, he made a special trip to the semiconductor factory of Samsung . The schedule was a bit too straightforward. Friends who are familiar with the chip industry chain should understand that the only people engaged in packaging manufacturing in this industry are workers, and the boss is the one who plays design and formulates regulations.
So don’t look at Biden’s “Indo-Pacific Economic Framework”, it seems to be very lively, its underlying logic is to serve the interests of the United States.
Direct News: So how do you look forward to the prospects of Biden’s “Indo-Pacific Economic Framework” in the Asia-Pacific region? Is it really attractive?
Special Commentator Wu Wei: You have grasped the key to the problem. I personally think that if there are unpleasant experiences of TPP, countries in Asia and the Pacific will feel a little upset. Everyone should still remember why the United States had to withdraw from the TPP? To put it bluntly, the economic interests of all classes in China have not been settled. They resist competitors from abroad and they hope that this is the only one of their products. So the question is, can Biden, the "Indo-Pacific Economic Framework", really pass this level? Will the United States open its arms to Asia-Pacific countries in terms of market access and tariff reduction and exemption? Obama How did Obama fall? Do you really have no idea about it, Biden, the then vice president?
So now there is news, and Japan has taken the initiative to postpone this process and discuss the "Indo-Pacific Economic Framework" first, and do not rush to start negotiations. To be honest, Japan's TPP takeover is really clear.
I believe that in addition to worrying about whether this IPEF (Indo-Pacific Economic Framework) will become another TPP, the countries in the Asia-Pacific will also question at the same time: Is this an inclusive economic framework with high fireworks, or another geopolitical game tool? I must complain about the United States. More than ten years have passed, but I really have changed my soup and no medicine, and there is no strategic innovation.
For a long time, many countries in the Asia-Pacific, especially , ASEAN countries, have been in a state of "economic trade and economics, and regional security and US". You can say that this is a natural choice based on actual interests.But since the "Asia-Pacific Rebalancing" strategy, the United States has tried to break this pattern and to separate China from the Asia-Pacific economic and trade pattern. As a result, many ASEAN countries began to release their anxiety of "not willing to choose sides between China and the United States". This reminds me of the United States- ASEAN summit not long ago, which was also lively but not much information. Biden talked about the so-called "meaningful, substantial and mutually beneficial cooperation", but ended up taking only $150 million from his pocket. The ten ASEAN countries are not stupid either. They have all seen the world. The United States' face that "wants horses to run and don't eat grass" is not pleasing at all.
So, it is still the sentence of State Councilor and Foreign Minister Wang Yi: We must draw a big question mark on the United States’ "Indo-Pacific Economic Framework".
author丨Wu Wei, senior editor of Direct News, Shenzhen Satellite TV's "Live Broadcast Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan" special commentator
edited 丨Liu Liping, Shenzhen Satellite TV's direct news editor
typesetting 丨Qiu Yatong
typesetting 丨Qiu Yatong
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