Now the battle situation of Ukraine , Ukraine's attack on Kharkov has become the main counterattack direction! Before winter comes, Ukraine wants to change the situation. Otherwise, by winter, Europe will be in an energy crisis, and European people will have civil unrest for this, affecting the internal political situation of Europe, so that Europe will be unable to support Ukraine.
Currently, the Ukrainian government needs US$5 billion per month to spend. Previously, due to insufficient supply of natural gas and oil, inflation rose and the euro depreciated, European people's opinion has rebounded and they have taken to the streets to protest the policies of Russia and Ukraine, the country where Europe is located.
Czech , French and German people took to the streets to oppose the government's war policy of Russia-Ukraine
I believe that in winter, the rebound in public opinion in Europe will inevitably intensify, forcing Europe to reduce its actual economic support for Ukraine. Previously, Ukraine's $5 billion in monthly government spending came from European support, mostly paid by the United States. When winter comes in the future, Ukraine will inevitably fall into a more passive position.
So Ukraine must change the current situation before winter. A clear victory must be achieved. At least it looks like it has won. Ukraine must give confidence to Europe and the United States. This will allow us to obtain more economic and military support.
Ukraine first uses Khlsong as the attack direction, and the Russian army will be rescued when attacking it. Then he suddenly focused his efforts on the Kharkov direction to focus on the attack. And military campaign progress has been made in Kharkiv. The Ukrainian army's counterattack in Donbass and Khlsson were both attacking the Russian logistics base, which hit the Russian army's key points and forced the Russian army to retreat. Zeliansky now announced that he had taken control of the important town on the edge of Kharkiv. The Ukrainian army has attacked Kupiansk. On the evening of the 9th, Ukrainian President Zelensky said that Ukraine has controlled more than 30 settlements in Kharkiv region.
And for Russia, Russia has a strategic depth. Russia's national strength has always been suitable for a protracted war. The battle between Russia and Ukraine is about strength, politics, economy, finance, military, population and future potential among countries. And in winter, he has always been a friend of Russia. Whether in the past Russia-French battles or Russia-Germany battles, winter is the time when Russia has the upper hand. Russia's main counterattack time is in winter. In addition to its population, Ukraine can also be used as one of the resources of war, and its economy has no source, including military support to support the war.
Why does Putin take the initiative to fight between Russia and Ukraine? The battle between Russia and Ukraine certainly has a threat to Russian security by NATO's eastward expansion of , but in Putin's eyes, this is also a challenge to the unipolar hegemony of the United States! Russian President Putin said at the plenary meeting of the 7th Oriental Economic Forum on the 7th that the international relations system has undergone irreversible structural changes, the United States' dominance in the global economy and politics is declining, and the role of vibrant and promising countries and regions in the world has been greatly enhanced. Putin said Western countries tried to maintain an old international order that was only good for them, forcing everyone to live according to the infamous "rules" they invented, which Western countries themselves often violated. Under the request of the United States, Western countries impose sanctions on other countries regardless of the quality of life of their own people and their social and economic stability. This is actually sacrificing themselves to safeguard the United States' dominance in world affairs.
In Putin's eyes, the United States is like the former Soviet Union before the collapse. Putin agrees with Du Jin's view and believes that the world is changing from a unipolar world to a multipolar world pattern. Putin's battle between Russia and Ukraine was the beginning of a counterattack against the unipolar hegemony of the United States. Almost no one thought that Russia did not win militarily, but won completely on the financial battlefield! In addition to obtaining land, Russia also obtains population, oil and gas storage volume, grain production base, azov sea . As long as Russia can manage the land it has acquired, the land acquisition will last longer than the temporary economic downturn. This is similar to our fight against Taiwan.
French Le Monde reported that the Centre for Energy and Clean Air Research (CREA), headquartered in Finland, released a report on September 5, stating that between February 24 and August 24, Russia achieved 158 billion euros in revenue through exporting fossil fuels, while the country's military expenditure on Ukraine was about 100 billion euros during the same period. The battle between Russia and Ukraine gave Russia a net profit of 58 billion euros. In addition, Russia can make money when fighting wars. Wars are the economy, and only positive economic wars can last. Why doesn’t Russia last for the war at present? You make money every month. Therefore, the effect of the U.S. and the West in economic sanctions on Russia, as Chairman of the Chinese People's Congress Li Zhanshu said at the Far East Economic Forum, did not achieve the expected goal.
In addition, Ukraine's tactical victory in a certain battle cannot change its strategic failure. Russia is waiting for winter, while Ukraine wants to change the situation before winter. It is also good to ask the United States for more economic and military support. Ukraine spends $5 billion per month. Europe no longer wants to pay, and it is now mainly paid by the United States. The US military aid to Ukraine is just like the US has given 2 trillion US dollars in support to Afghanistan in the past. In fact, the Afghan government only received only 150 billion US dollars, and most of it was eaten up by kickbacks from the US military and arms companies.
US strategy:
US strategy is very clear, which is to use Ukraine to weaken Russia and Europe. The United States hopes to consume Russia in the long term with Ukraine, just like in the past, in the way Afghanistan dragged down the Soviet Union. Ukraine will serve as consumables until it is completely consumed. Then the United States and NATO will use the conditions to allow Poland to annex part of the land in Western Ukraine, allowing Poland to continue to intervene in the Russian-Ukrainian war as the second consumables.
NATO Secretary-General Stoltenberg
On September 9, NATO Secretary-General Stoltenberg said at a joint press conference held by Brussels and US Secretary of State Anthony Blinken: "If Ukraine stops military operations, it will no longer exist as an independent country." This means.
In short, the United States will never let the Russian-Ukrainian war stop. NATO, controlled by the United States, will always keep the war in the European continent, and create tensions in the Taiwan Strait, which will help keep European wealth flowing into the United States, depreciate the euro, and provide bottom line for the United States to raise interest rates, , reduce balance sheet , reduce inflation. Moreover, the crisis of rising energy prices in Europe is not only beneficial to the interests of the United States as a natural gas exporter, but also helps to destroy the European economy. The weak Europe does not become an independent pole, making the United States easier to control and making Europe the younger brother of the United States. Together form an anti-China-Russia united front alliance. Use strategic curbs China and Russia, the two strategic rivals of the United States. But the question is how the weak Europe returns to Asia to fight China together?
Beixi 2 natural gas pipeline
Moreover, the United States is afraid that once the war between Russia and Ukraine stops, Russia and Europe will reconcile, and the euro appreciates. Beixi 2 will be opened again, and the euro will pay for de-dollarization in euros, and the euro will become a competitor of the US dollar again. Moreover, once Russia and Europe reconcile, the United States will have no role in the European continent, and the United States will be marginalized. Therefore, the United States will definitely create two opponents in the European continent to consume each other, which is in line with the national interests of the United States. At the same time, the United States uses Taiwan to create cross-strait confrontation and tensions and strategically curb China. But the United States is in the east and west lines of , and the bottom line of offshore checks and balances is to fight without breaking! If China directly takes over Taiwan and the United States, it will break the deadlock. If Russia makes Europe compromise and surrender due to energy issues, Russia and Europe will reconcile and the United States will also break the deadlock!
Now the battle between Russia and Ukraine is being replenished, and China is a big replenishment! China has both short-term and long-term interests, and China is in a favorable position. The United States is forcing China and Russia together. In the Sino-US-Russia triangular relations, China and Russia join forces to deal with the United States, and China's strategic pressure has decreased. China is in the role of the United States in the second World War 1. It watched the fire from the other side of the river and resold Russia and the United States natural gas and oil in Europe, making some money by the way, and gaining energy security and geopolitical benefits. And it can bear the high energy prices in Europe, in order to reduce production costs, European companies have to transfer the European industrial chain to China.
Now the battle situation of Ukraine , Ukraine's attack on Kharkov has become the main counterattack direction! Before winter comes, Ukraine wants to change the situation. Otherwise, by winter, Europe will be in an energy crisis, and European people will have civil unrest for this, affecting the internal political situation of Europe, so that Europe will be unable to support Ukraine.
Currently, the Ukrainian government needs US$5 billion per month to spend. Previously, due to insufficient supply of natural gas and oil, inflation rose and the euro depreciated, European people's opinion has rebounded and they have taken to the streets to protest the policies of Russia and Ukraine, the country where Europe is located.
Czech , French and German people took to the streets to oppose the government's war policy of Russia-Ukraine
I believe that in winter, the rebound in public opinion in Europe will inevitably intensify, forcing Europe to reduce its actual economic support for Ukraine. Previously, Ukraine's $5 billion in monthly government spending came from European support, mostly paid by the United States. When winter comes in the future, Ukraine will inevitably fall into a more passive position.
So Ukraine must change the current situation before winter. A clear victory must be achieved. At least it looks like it has won. Ukraine must give confidence to Europe and the United States. This will allow us to obtain more economic and military support.
Ukraine first uses Khlsong as the attack direction, and the Russian army will be rescued when attacking it. Then he suddenly focused his efforts on the Kharkov direction to focus on the attack. And military campaign progress has been made in Kharkiv. The Ukrainian army's counterattack in Donbass and Khlsson were both attacking the Russian logistics base, which hit the Russian army's key points and forced the Russian army to retreat. Zeliansky now announced that he had taken control of the important town on the edge of Kharkiv. The Ukrainian army has attacked Kupiansk. On the evening of the 9th, Ukrainian President Zelensky said that Ukraine has controlled more than 30 settlements in Kharkiv region.
And for Russia, Russia has a strategic depth. Russia's national strength has always been suitable for a protracted war. The battle between Russia and Ukraine is about strength, politics, economy, finance, military, population and future potential among countries. And in winter, he has always been a friend of Russia. Whether in the past Russia-French battles or Russia-Germany battles, winter is the time when Russia has the upper hand. Russia's main counterattack time is in winter. In addition to its population, Ukraine can also be used as one of the resources of war, and its economy has no source, including military support to support the war.
Why does Putin take the initiative to fight between Russia and Ukraine? The battle between Russia and Ukraine certainly has a threat to Russian security by NATO's eastward expansion of , but in Putin's eyes, this is also a challenge to the unipolar hegemony of the United States! Russian President Putin said at the plenary meeting of the 7th Oriental Economic Forum on the 7th that the international relations system has undergone irreversible structural changes, the United States' dominance in the global economy and politics is declining, and the role of vibrant and promising countries and regions in the world has been greatly enhanced. Putin said Western countries tried to maintain an old international order that was only good for them, forcing everyone to live according to the infamous "rules" they invented, which Western countries themselves often violated. Under the request of the United States, Western countries impose sanctions on other countries regardless of the quality of life of their own people and their social and economic stability. This is actually sacrificing themselves to safeguard the United States' dominance in world affairs.
In Putin's eyes, the United States is like the former Soviet Union before the collapse. Putin agrees with Du Jin's view and believes that the world is changing from a unipolar world to a multipolar world pattern. Putin's battle between Russia and Ukraine was the beginning of a counterattack against the unipolar hegemony of the United States. Almost no one thought that Russia did not win militarily, but won completely on the financial battlefield! In addition to obtaining land, Russia also obtains population, oil and gas storage volume, grain production base, azov sea . As long as Russia can manage the land it has acquired, the land acquisition will last longer than the temporary economic downturn. This is similar to our fight against Taiwan.
French Le Monde reported that the Centre for Energy and Clean Air Research (CREA), headquartered in Finland, released a report on September 5, stating that between February 24 and August 24, Russia achieved 158 billion euros in revenue through exporting fossil fuels, while the country's military expenditure on Ukraine was about 100 billion euros during the same period. The battle between Russia and Ukraine gave Russia a net profit of 58 billion euros. In addition, Russia can make money when fighting wars. Wars are the economy, and only positive economic wars can last. Why doesn’t Russia last for the war at present? You make money every month. Therefore, the effect of the U.S. and the West in economic sanctions on Russia, as Chairman of the Chinese People's Congress Li Zhanshu said at the Far East Economic Forum, did not achieve the expected goal.
In addition, Ukraine's tactical victory in a certain battle cannot change its strategic failure. Russia is waiting for winter, while Ukraine wants to change the situation before winter. It is also good to ask the United States for more economic and military support. Ukraine spends $5 billion per month. Europe no longer wants to pay, and it is now mainly paid by the United States. The US military aid to Ukraine is just like the US has given 2 trillion US dollars in support to Afghanistan in the past. In fact, the Afghan government only received only 150 billion US dollars, and most of it was eaten up by kickbacks from the US military and arms companies.
US strategy:
US strategy is very clear, which is to use Ukraine to weaken Russia and Europe. The United States hopes to consume Russia in the long term with Ukraine, just like in the past, in the way Afghanistan dragged down the Soviet Union. Ukraine will serve as consumables until it is completely consumed. Then the United States and NATO will use the conditions to allow Poland to annex part of the land in Western Ukraine, allowing Poland to continue to intervene in the Russian-Ukrainian war as the second consumables.
NATO Secretary-General Stoltenberg
On September 9, NATO Secretary-General Stoltenberg said at a joint press conference held by Brussels and US Secretary of State Anthony Blinken: "If Ukraine stops military operations, it will no longer exist as an independent country." This means.
In short, the United States will never let the Russian-Ukrainian war stop. NATO, controlled by the United States, will always keep the war in the European continent, and create tensions in the Taiwan Strait, which will help keep European wealth flowing into the United States, depreciate the euro, and provide bottom line for the United States to raise interest rates, , reduce balance sheet , reduce inflation. Moreover, the crisis of rising energy prices in Europe is not only beneficial to the interests of the United States as a natural gas exporter, but also helps to destroy the European economy. The weak Europe does not become an independent pole, making the United States easier to control and making Europe the younger brother of the United States. Together form an anti-China-Russia united front alliance. Use strategic curbs China and Russia, the two strategic rivals of the United States. But the question is how the weak Europe returns to Asia to fight China together?
Beixi 2 natural gas pipeline
Moreover, the United States is afraid that once the war between Russia and Ukraine stops, Russia and Europe will reconcile, and the euro appreciates. Beixi 2 will be opened again, and the euro will pay for de-dollarization in euros, and the euro will become a competitor of the US dollar again. Moreover, once Russia and Europe reconcile, the United States will have no role in the European continent, and the United States will be marginalized. Therefore, the United States will definitely create two opponents in the European continent to consume each other, which is in line with the national interests of the United States. At the same time, the United States uses Taiwan to create cross-strait confrontation and tensions and strategically curb China. But the United States is in the east and west lines of , and the bottom line of offshore checks and balances is to fight without breaking! If China directly takes over Taiwan and the United States, it will break the deadlock. If Russia makes Europe compromise and surrender due to energy issues, Russia and Europe will reconcile and the United States will also break the deadlock!
Now the battle between Russia and Ukraine is being replenished, and China is a big replenishment! China has both short-term and long-term interests, and China is in a favorable position. The United States is forcing China and Russia together. In the Sino-US-Russia triangular relations, China and Russia join forces to deal with the United States, and China's strategic pressure has decreased. China is in the role of the United States in the second World War 1. It watched the fire from the other side of the river and resold Russia and the United States natural gas and oil in Europe, making some money by the way, and gaining energy security and geopolitical benefits. And it can bear the high energy prices in Europe, in order to reduce production costs, European companies have to transfer the European industrial chain to China.
compares China and the United States, because China is also a large market for European companies, and China accepts Russian low-priced energy imports. China's production and electricity use is much cheaper, so China is more suitable for transferring European companies. On September 6, the first set of equipment at the Zhanjiang Integrated Base of BASF, Germany was officially put into production. The total investment is 10 billion euros. This is proof that European companies are moving to China. After the battle between Russia and Ukraine, the circle of friends of China-led SCO and the BRICS organizations also expanded. Saudi , Iran is closer to China. The China-Russia New Natural Gas Pipeline Energy Trade Agreement between Mongolia will be settled in RMB. After the battle between Russia and Ukraine, the internationalization of the RMB has also accelerated.
Russia has also allowed China to enter the traditional sphere of influence of Russia and Central Asia due to the war between Russia and Ukraine, which will help China integrate the Central Asian regional economy through the China-Ukraine-Dynasty railway.
The battle between Russia and Ukraine forces Russia to look east, which also helps Russia to restrain Japan in the Sea of Japan and the Western Pacific. This forced Japan to divide its troops in northern Japan to deal with Russia when facing the situation in the Taiwan Strait. This has relatively reduced Japan's military deployment in the Taiwan Strait. All put China in a geopolitical position.
The United States has obtained short-term real benefits. The United States has harvested EU hundreds of billions of dollars from energy and arms. The harvest in finance should be calculated in trillions of dollars, but what the United States has lost is long-term benefits. In order to maintain the hegemony of the US dollar, the United States is killing chickens to get eggs! Even his allies were not spared! What is damaged is the US national credit.
This is related to the short-term election political interests of the United States, which are elected once in four years, and does not consider the long-term national interests of the United States. The United States avoids resolving the structural contradictions of the domestic system and instead transfers the structural contradictions of the domestic system to the outside world. The problem is that this contradiction cannot be solved by external means. Moreover, the more you avoid domestic conflicts and move outward, the weaker the United States is. Moreover, the United States has lost long-term national credit, which is forcing many non-Western countries to rely on China and Russia. Although China also has short-term benefits, it pays more attention to long-term national interests due to its system and civilizational historical traditions. In the battle between Russia and Ukraine, the interests between China and the United States are just like China and the United States playing Go. The United States occupies the edge and the country focuses on taking the momentum. China's future goal is to start with the war between Russia and Ukraine, and gradually form the values of a community with a shared future for mankind, Central Asia, Middle East , and Southeast Asia Regional Economic Integration .
China takes advantage of its infrastructure advantages and takes the pan-European railway network as a link to combine China's Belt and Road with Russia's new Eurasian concepts to jointly integrate the Eurasian continent. China and Russia jointly counter unipolar hegemony and recognize the direction of world multipolar development. Recognizing the trend of multipolarization is also China's national view. National People's Congress Chairman Li Zhanshu said at the Far East Economic Forum, "World multipolarization is the general trend of historical development and the general expectation of the international community." Russia is in Ukraine and China is in the Taiwan Strait, and is taking the initiative to break the US's unipolar hegemony. China and Russia move in sync, and each conducts geostrategic and proactive attacks on the east and west sides, which can put the United States in a strategic passive and trapped in the east and west sides, so China and Russia can maximize their respective national interests.
China-Russia strategic cooperation integrates Eurasia. Russia's goal is to reconcile Europe and Russia and integrate the European continent. China focuses on the Middle East, Central Asia and Southeast Asia to form regional economic integration similar to RCEP economies. Form the integration of security, finance, economy and trade in Eurasia. Form an internal economic cycle within the region. This will also help integrate the continental power power of the Eurasian continent to resist the offshore check and balance strategy of the US-UK sea power alliance to disrupt the Eurasian continent's plans. In the end, the influence of continental power in Eurasia defeated the influence of US maritime power. The death of the British Queen is conducive to the weakening of the sphere of influence of the British maritime power country.
In the future, the integration of China, Russia, Europe, the Middle East, Central Asia and Southeast Asia will be the rational choice of the Eurasian continent. In this way, the regional integration of the Eurasian continent will enhance the control of continental power in the Eurasian continent. Add to that after the Twenty, about winter or after, when Europe falls into an energy crisis and after the introduction of the US Taiwan Policy Law, there is a possibility that China will unify Taiwan by military force.After China resolves the Taiwan issue, China's maritime power will inevitably expand. As the world's largest trade exporter, China will use its strong navy to gain control of maritime power to move to the deep sea, which is also necessary for China.
As a composite sea-land country, China must also have both sea-land power and land power, which will marginalize the US maritime power alliance. This is China's long-term strategic development goal around the world.
Note: The author of this article is Dena, a core member of the "Qin'an Strategic Think Tank", and is the original work of on this platform . In the new year, I wish everyone join hands, overcome the epidemic, curb hegemony, and move towards a better future together.
After China resolves the Taiwan issue, China's maritime power will inevitably expand. As the world's largest trade exporter, China will use its strong navy to gain control of maritime power to move to the deep sea, which is also necessary for China.As a composite sea-land country, China must also have both sea-land power and land power, which will marginalize the US maritime power alliance. This is China's long-term strategic development goal around the world.
Note: The author of this article is Dena, a core member of the "Qin'an Strategic Think Tank", and is the original work of on this platform . In the new year, I wish everyone join hands, overcome the epidemic, curb hegemony, and move towards a better future together.
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