The election of county and city mayors on the island voted on November 26, with only more than a month left. Former "legislator" of the Taiwan People's Party Cai Biru analyzed to the Hong Kong China Review News Agency that the current election situation of the People's Party Hsinchu mayor candidate Gao Hong'an is stable. Taipei Mayor Ke Wen-je In the last month of the election, he should focus on Taipei City in his native area. Whether Taipei City can maintain it will affect whether Ke will have a good start in 2024.
Huang Shanshan should strive for pan-green votes or pan-blue votes in Taipei City next?
Cai Biru pointed out that in early October, there was a poll against Taipei citizens. Now Taipei City believes that it is about 15.2% of its supporters of the Kuomintang, about 14.7% of its supporters of the Democratic Progressive Party, and 50.3% of its supporters of the middle voters. Those who support Huang Shanshan mainly have a university degree, then they are 20 to 29 years old, and 30 to 49 years old. The next part of the 20-29-year-old part will need Ke Wen-je to help me, and the part of the 30- to 39-year-old part should be delivered accurately.
Cai Biru said that because people around 35 years old probably have stable jobs, maybe office workers or start businesses, in order to deliver accurately, Huang Shanshan is currently targeting all walks of life, including lawyers, banking, medical, etc. through organizational wars, hoping to use non-political methods to canvass votes.
Cai Biru pointed out that Huang Shanshan is the most mayoral candidate among the three main candidates in this Taipei mayoral election. She is also familiar with the municipal government. She hopes that the group of people aged 30 to 49 will go home to win votes from their parents and elders, because Huang Shanshan has relatively low support for the elderly.
Cai Biru said that from the poll in early October, Taipei City has become a "blue and green non-war zone". In the past eight years, under the management of Ko Wen-je, the voter structure of Taipei City has changed. There is no such thing as blue than green, or who has a lot of basic foundation. We look forward to the next session to continue to allow non-party candidates to serve as mayor of Taipei. After another 4 or 8 years, Taipei City will drive the change of electoral culture across Taiwan, and don’t fight against blue and green again.
It is also reported that in response to the election situation in Taipei City, the Kuomintang Taipei City Councilman and Vice Chairman of the Cultural and Communication Association Zhang Sigang said in an interview with the Hong Kong China Review News Agency that although the Kuomintang Taipei Mayor candidate Jiang Wanan is stable and has 35% of the strength, the election situation in Taipei City is not hot enough. We must find ways to urge turnout so that those who hate the Democratic Progressive Party have the motivation to come out to vote, so that the election situation for Jiang Wanan will be relatively stable. Regarding the so-called "When abandoning Chen, the Chinese defender Huang Shanshan", he believes that Green and White is now red in fear and it is difficult to replicate the situation in which Green Camp finally lost votes to Ke Wenzhe in 2018.
Zhang Sigang said that the DPP Taipei mayoral candidate Chen Shizhong and the non-party Taipei mayoral candidate Huang Shanshan are now in a second place defense battle. Whoever wins second place in the next 20 days is equivalent to having the final battle. When the polls cannot be announced in the first 10 days of election, there will be whispers to abandon the security, but this year it will be "more difficult" to abandon the security as in 2018, because the green and white are already "disgusting" each other, which is different from the situation four years ago.
Zhang Sigang said that the most important thing for Jiang Wanan is to make fewer mistakes and promote more policies, and to make the support of the people more firm and stable. At this stage, whoever makes fewer mistakes will have a higher chance of winning. In addition, Jiang Wanan has done a good job in land warfare, but although it is not a shortcoming in air warfare, it needs to be more precisely deployed, such as more policy selection and more precise delivery of parenting policies. The promotion of policy will be helpful for Jiang Wanan to win middle-class voters. (Xue Yang/Edited)
