Lai Ching-te
Chen Ju
Taiwan Strait Network, December 10 (Reporter Lin Lianjin of Straits Newspaper, Text/Internet Photo) The Democratic Progressive Party suffered a crushing defeat in the "nine-in-one" election, and Tsai Ing-wen resigned as chairman of the party for the defeat. Recently, the DPP has determined that it will hold a by-election for the party chairman on January 6 next year. The party chairman elected this time will continue Tsai Ing-wen's remaining term of office until May 20, 2020.
Theoretically speaking, the by-elected party chairman holds the nomination rights for the next Democratic gentry and Taiwan leader election , and will inevitably become a must-fight for all factions of the Democratic Progressive Party; but judging from the current situation, Tsai Ing-wen is quite active in fighting for re-election nomination and may want to control this by-election of the party chairman; however, due to the defeat, the party also hopes that the Mesozoic gentry can be taken over, giving the outside world a refreshing impression. Therefore, the undercurrent of various forces under the DPP chairman’s by-election, coupled with the impact on the layout of the 2020 “general election”, makes the dispute over the party leader even more confusing.
Zheng Lijun
Su Jiaquan
Want new party leader is refreshing and the call for "Mesozoic succession" is high
From today (10th) to the 14th, it is the by-election registration day for the chairman of the Democratic Progressive Party. The candidates who are interested in competing for the party leader will go to the forefront. Before this, the situation was not yet clear for the dispute over the party leader except for Chen Tangshan, the former "Secretary-General" of Chen Shui-bian's office. However, the DPP has a high call for the Middle Ages to succeed the Middle Ages, and I hope the new leader can give the outside world a refreshing feeling.
As early as the day after the "nine-in-one" defeat, a big boss in the Democratic Progressive Party proposed that Zheng Wencan, a representative of the Mesozoic generation and Taoyuan Mayor, acted as the party chairman. This proposal was also recognized by the majority of the party, but Zheng Wencan politely refused. Afterwards, on November 28, the Central Standing Committee of the DPP passed the acting party chairman by Keelung Mayor Lin Youchang.
Although Zheng Wencan refused to act as the party chairman, he was still named by many people in the party as the new party leader. The middle-aged generation of the DPP who were named include Lin Jialong, who failed to seek re-election of the mayor of Taichung, Chen Chi-mai, the candidate for Kaohsiung mayor of the DPP, Zheng Li-jun, the head of the Taiwan cultural department, Lin Zhijian, the deputy head of the Taiwan "legislative body", and Lai Ching-te, the head of the Taiwan administrative body, etc. "The leader of the party should be a new face", which seems to have become the consensus of the DPP. However, there are also many "old people" who are being voted for election, including Chen Ju, the "Secretary-General" of Tsai Ing-wen's Office, Su Jiaquan, the head of Taiwan's "Legislative Body", and Su Zhenchang, the candidate for mayor of New Taipei.
Theoretically, the new leader of the DPP holds the right to nominate the election of the next democratic gentry and Taiwan leaders, and the power is very tempting, but most of the people who are currently named are unanimous, while some clearly refuse.
For many candidates who were named, Pang Jianguo, chairman of the Taiwan Competitiveness Forum and professor of of China University of Culture, expressed his views in an interview with a reporter from the Guide. Pang Jianguo believes that Zheng Wencan is the most suitable person for whom he will choose the party chairman. This time he defended Taoyuan for the Democratic Progressive Party, with a strong upward momentum and a popular resource; from the perspective of seniority, Su Jiaquan has a great chance; Zheng Lijun also has an image in her young age, but she has no prestige or reputation. If the DPP chairman’s by-election is finally approved by Zheng Lijun, he clearly stated that he is not aware of this “arrangement”.
Chen Chimai
Lai Ching-de Zheng Wencan is indifferent. Is the new trend really retreating or retreating as advance? Zheng Wencan, the most popular party leader, has clearly stated on many occasions that he has no intention of competing for the position of party chairman. He said that his role and time are not allowed, and even said on TV that "I can't do anything except the party chairman, but I try my best to help everything else." Obviously, this is just an excuse on the table. After successfully being re-elected as mayor of Taoyuan, Zheng Wencan has become a dazzling star of the " new trend system " and the Democratic Progressive Party. He has no feelings for the party leader, and the reasons behind it are worth exploring.
An analysis on the island pointed out that the term of office of the party chairman left by Tsai Ing-wen is only one year, but it needs to deal with the 2020 Taiwan leadership election and the personnel layout of the civil election, so it is very important. However, there is currently a strong pessimism within the DPP, believing that it is difficult to recover the decline of the "nine-in-one" defeat in a short period of time, so all factions are coveting the position of party chairman and taking a wait-and-see attitude.This is also the reason why Zheng Wencan is unhappy about serving as the Party Chairman under the current circumstances. After the defeat of
, the new trend system turned to a low-key position, "will not participate in the by-election of the Party Chairman" and seemed to have become a consensus among most members. Cai Qichang of the New Trend Department strongly promoted Zheng Lijun's actions. Party insiders believe that it can be interpreted as the New Trend Department's position and attitude of unwilling to join the party chairman's by-election. There is even a rumor on the island that the new trends plan to "retreat" on Tsai Ing-wen's team and retain its strength to go its own way. Recently, Lai Ching-te also held a press conference and said that "the time comes, I will definitely leave firmly."
pro-green media person and chairman of Taiwan's Meili Island Electronic News Wu Zijia told the reporter of The DPP that everyone is retreating due to the devastating defeat, not just the new trend. Therefore, he believes that it is not only Zheng Wencan, but also Lai Ching-te, who is also a new trend, is also very likely to choose the party leader. Wu Zijia believes that the DPP has no chance in 2020, and anyone who chooses will lose, so it is meaningless to grab the party leader now. "You must know that the new trend system is called the 'political actuary'."
However, the former Kuomintang member of the Kuomintang Cai Zhengyuan said in an interview with the Guide reporter, "Don't be deceived." He believes that the retreat of the new trend is actually "retreat to advance". Retreat is to reduce damage, but it will not really draw a clear line with Tsai Ing-wen. "If they draw it clearly, they will have nothing to do with it." There are also public opinion analysis on the island that the new trend system should introduce Chen Ju as the party chairman, which can be accepted by all parties within the party, control the party's power, watch Tsai Ing-wen continues to lose in 2020 and withdraw from the center of power, while the new trend system can be "revived" in 2022 and challenge the "big position" in 2024. Taiwan media person Zhao Shaokang also wrote an article to predict that the DPP’s “nine-in-one” defeat will be a crushing defeat, Lai Ching-te will skip 2020 and keep a low profile. Xu Tu will start again in 2024 or 2028.
Su Zhenchang
Lack of a leader with crisis handling ability. Whoever the DPP sent to fight in 2020 will lose?
Regarding the by-election of the DPP chairman, Tsai Zhengyuan observed that, according to the past practice of the DPP, party chairman rarely elected through competition, but was coordinated by factions to produce candidates acceptable to all parties, and he would make good terms. Therefore, he expressed doubts about how powerful the new leader of the DPP has, whether he can have the right to nominate the election of the next Democratic Progressive Party and Taiwan leaders.
Wu Zijia emphasized that the candidates "arranged" in this way have no meaning to the DPP. If they fail to deal with the crisis, they will expand the crisis. Because the current situation of the DPP is like the "Titanic" after hitting an iceberg, it needs a leader with crisis handling capabilities, but no one on the table meets this condition at present. The outside world only sees the DPP in chaos and will continue to be in chaos until the regime is lost. "The DPP needs treatment when she gets sick, but where are the doctors?" Wu Zijia saw the DPP's decline in 2020, "Whoever is sent out will lose."
Professor Zhang Yazhong from the Department of Political Science at Taiwan University told the Guide reporter that the DPP has suffered a great setback, and of course it is necessary to change the leader of the Party, but the key question is how the DPP will change in the future, whether it will save Tsai Ing-wen or the DPP? According to Tsai Ing-wen's current statement, she said that the "route" will not change and she will stand on the front line, "It seems that she really wants to choose 2020." Therefore, Tsai Ing-wen's expectations are naturally different from those of the social expectations for the party leader. Although a young person may appear, his consciousness cannot be completely neutral. Since Tsai Ing-wen still needs an election, the outside world is concerned about what kind of results will be produced by various factions of the DPP. Zhang Yazhong believes that the DPP is waiting for Tsai Ing-wen's polls to continue to decline, "Even if the party chairman was your Tsai Ing-wen's person at that time, your poll was only 3% or 5%, and you would not have the face to choose 2020." At that time, Tsai Ing-wen will be abandoned when the showdown occurs.
Zhang Yazhong also pointed out that although the representatives of the Mesozoic generation on the DPP's surface are relatively good in appearance, their political philosophy cannot deviate from the DPP's so-called core value "Taiwan independence" concept, but if the DPP wants to win 2020, its cross-strait policies must be adjusted.The problem is that if the DPP adjusts its cross-strait discourse, the "basic doctrine faction" will definitely oppose it. Once the DPP opposes, the DPP will not win; if the DPP does not adjust its cross-strait policies and improve cross-strait relations, the people of Taiwan will lose confidence in the DPP, and the DPP will also choose to lose. In this dilemma, anyone who plays in 2020 will face defeat. "Maybe after the DPP is defeated again in 2020, they will truly reflect on it."
Wu Zijia boldly predicted that the winner of the 2020 election may not necessarily be the Kuomintang or the DPP, but may be the "third force" on the island. He pointed out that the Kuomintang did not make much improvement after its big defeat in 2014 and 2016. The crisis that emerged after the Democratic Progressive Party’s great defeat can only encourage the “third force” more and more.
