According to the latest news, domestic refined oil prices have continued to rise, and the predicted increase has expanded for several consecutive working days. It has now far exceeded the price adjustment red line of 50 yuan/ton. Therefore, oil prices are in the range of rising, which may lay the foundation for a new round of price adjustment to a certain extent. At that time, my country's oil prices will usher in the 13th increase since this year. Although we are unwilling to predict this, we feel helpless in the face of the continuous increase in price adjustment reference indicators. After all, the rise in oil prices is closely related to the market conditions and will not change from personal wishes.
In addition, according to the fifth working day of this round of pricing cycle, the crude oil change rate exceeded 2.0%, which can be seen that the oil price forecast increase reaches around 120 yuan/ton, which continues to rise compared with the fourth working day, which means it is much higher than the price adjustment red line, which greatly increases the probability of domestic oil price adjustment. It is converted into liter prices. The oil price is expected to increase to 0.1 yuan/liter, with a specific increase of 0.09 yuan/liter-0.11 yuan/liter, which continues to expand compared with the previous working day. With the current round of refined oil pricing cycle, the possibility of my country's 21st round of oil price adjustment and increase is greater, and consumers will inevitably feel worried, because the domestic gasoline and diesel prices are currently at a high level. If the oil price rises again, it will undoubtedly increase the cost of consumers' oil use.
For the 95 gasoline , which most people are more concerned about, based on the current oil price estimate of 0.10 yuan/liter, and refer to the latest real-time gasoline and diesel oil price list in the country, we can see that 95 gasoline in some provinces may rise above 9 yuan/liter, because if the new round of price adjustment achieves the above increase, and the specific increase exceeds 0.1 yuan/liter, then more than 30 provinces in the country will be in more than 30 html provinces in the country In the of the administrative districts, the price of No. 95 gasoline in Henan, Hubei, Guizhou, Gansu, Shandong, Shanxi, Jiangxi and Jilin may rise above the 9.0 yuan/liter mark. At that time, the oil price of this label has reached a new level and re-entered the "9 yuan era". It is only because the current prices of No. 95 gasoline in these provinces have reached more than 8.90 yuan/liter, and the latest oil price is expected to rise just over 0.1 yuan/liter. Therefore, based on the current oil price forecast changes, the prices of No. 92 and No. 95 gasoline will continue to rise.
Secondly, although the current forecast increase of domestic refined oil prices significantly exceeds the price red line, since this is only the reference data for the fifth working day of this round of pricing cycle, coupled with the market 's concerns about global economic growth and the new crown epidemic have suppressed international oil prices, combined with the influence of Federal Reserve will continue to raise interest rates in and other factors, under the influence of negative news, international oil prices may decline in the near future. For example, at 16:00 Beijing time, the prices of WTI and Brent crude oil futures both fell by around 0.90%, and this decline is still deepening. Affected by this, the forecast increase of my country's refined oil prices is likely to fall slightly, and the crude oil change rate for price adjustment reference will also be reduced, which means that the continuous rise in oil prices will be curbed. As for whether the price adjustment of refined oil on November 7 will rise.
Furthermore, it is still the same old saying, because the current period is long before my country's oil price adjustment window opens, so there is a high possibility of fluctuations and changes during this period. Combined with factors such as Federal Reserve hike rate , the forecast increase of domestic refined oil prices may shrink in the later period, and the results of oil price adjustment will also undergo new changes. As for how we can wait and see.
To sum up, according to the latest news in my country's pricing statistics cycle, it can be seen that the current oil price is expected to increase to 0.1 yuan/liter, which is fully in line with the standards for the price increase of refined oil. If the oil price continues to rise in the later period, this means that the No. 95 gasoline in some provinces across the country may rise above 9 yuan/liter, and will fully enter the "9 yuan era" compared with before the price adjustment. At that time, gasoline and diesel prices will usher in the 13th increase, but because the Federal Reserve may continue to raise interest rates, there are variables in the actual adjustment of oil prices.
