Starting from February 24, 2022, the Russian-Ukrainian war has lasted for 8 months. The current situation seems to be very strange. Russia, as powerful as the former Soviet Union, fought a small allied power in a tug-of-war and was in a stalemate. Therefore, many netizens believe that the Russian-Ukrainian war will form a protracted war; Russia will even fall into the quagmire of war like the former Soviet Union invaded Afghanistan . Is
really like this?
Let’s first analyze Russia’s strategic goals and intentions .
As one of the "Five Constant States" of the United Nations, Russia is constantly slandered by the United States in politics, and is constantly threatened by NATO's eastward expansion in military terms, and is economically punished by the United States and Europe in a variety of ways. Where does this put Russia's old face? Faced with Ukraine, which was disobedient after the "color revolution", Russia did what it said and the war began.
In fact, the ultimate goal of Russia's special military operation is not to destroy Ukraine or to support pro-Russian leaders to power. Instead, we will promote talks through war, making Ukraine neutral, and we will not join , NATO , and be protected by Russia in terms of national interests and security. Russia wants to use this to break the West's attempt to make Ukraine a fortress on Russia's border, curb NATO's eastward expansion, and safeguard Russia's national security strategy. Of course, Russia does not want to see pro-American factions like Zelensky .
This point, Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov made it clear in an interview with the media: the special military action of the Russian army is aimed at ending the rash expansion of the United States and the reckless international routes, as well as the hegemony rules they formulated.
NATO expands eastward, Russia is in a difficult situation
Once we understand Russia's strategic goals and intentions, we will understand that the war between Russia and Ukraine is a "limited war." In the eight months since the war between Russia and Ukraine started, Russia has been carrying out the entire special military operation in accordance with its established strategic guidelines.
first was a four-sided attack in the early stages of the war. On February 24, Russia launched a full-line ground attack on Ukraine from four directions, namely northeast, east and south on the border. It is worth noting that the Russian army on the Northern Front took advantage of Belarus and directly hit the city of Kiev within one day. The Russian army gradually infiltrated the east, north and west directions, forming a semi-encirclement of Kiev, but did not invade the city. Why? You should know that Kiev is the capital of Ukraine. If you take over the capital, it will not stand the international morality. Otherwise, on February 24, the Russian army dispatched an air commando to attack Kiev Antonov Airport, to capture the airport and welcome a large number of transport aircraft and paratroopers to capture Kiev in a flash.
Russia carried out special military operations against Ukraine
followed by the two sides' five peace talks. From February 28 to March 29, Russia and Ukraine held five negotiations, but ended in vain.
At the end of March and early April, after the West began to aid Ukraine, Russia still hopes for peaceful negotiations.
On April 26, Putin held talks with UN Secretary-General Guterres , saying that Russia will not refuse to negotiate with Ukraine.
On May 20, after the Russian army completely controlled the entire city of Mariupol, Russia still did not give up negotiations and stated that Russia never refused to negotiate, including the highest level of negotiations.
After , , Biden announced on June 1, , the West's military aid began to increase, and Ukraine seemed confident. On June 8, Russian President's Press Secretary Peskov said that Ukraine has withdrawn from Russia-Ukraine negotiations.
From this point of view, Russia has always wanted to take negotiations to resolve the problem, but Ukraine gave up this opportunity under the control of the United States. On October 4, Ukrainian President Zelensky approved the decision of the National Security Council to negotiate with Russian President Putin.
Russia-Ukraine negotiations
Third, Russia's military operations are highly targeted . After the war started, Russia did not bombard and indiscriminately, minimizing civilian casualties.In addition to military targets, Russia destroyed quasi-military targets with war reserve and support functions, including infrastructure such as electricity. This will weaken Ukraine's war potential and people's livelihood security capabilities, and in turn stimulate people and anti-government sentiment. This is obviously different from the United States' bombardment in Iraq .
Russia bombs Ukrainian power facilities
The fourth is to increase the intensity of the war in a timely manner . Since you don’t talk, I will continue to fight until you sit down and have a talk. Starting from the end of May, cutting-edge weapons such as "Zircon", " Onyx ", "Dagger", SA-8 missiles and 9K37 air defense missile systems and multi-barrel rocket launcher began to be put into the battlefield. Moreover, some media revealed that the Ukrainian Su-27 and Su-24 were shot down by the Russian Aerospace Army Su-57 and shot down 217 kilometers away. However, after NATO almost uncontrollably supported Ukraine, especially after the US 101 Air Force Force deployed to Romanian , Russia faced no longer Ukraine. At this time, Ukraine will not sit down to negotiate. What to do? Russia will definitely continue to fight, but it will control the rhythm.
Russia's crackdown is increasing
Finally, let's talk about the direction of war . The predecessor of the Russian Federation Security Agency was the former Soviet Union's KGB . It is known as the "four major intelligence agencies in the world" together with US Central Intelligence Agency , British MI6 and Israel Mossad. It is known for its strength and cleverness. The Russian Federation Security Agency is definitely not stupid, allowing the country to follow the backs for the United States' invasion of Vietnam and the former Soviet Union's invasion of Afghanistan. It will also definitely take into account the various factors and endings of the Russian-Ukrainian war. In the future Russian-Ukraine war, Russia will make Ukraine breathe a sigh of relief, allowing NATO to maintain huge military resource support, especially energy shortages and continuous inflation , which will slowly create a sense of war fatigue and dissatisfaction within it, and it has to consider giving up support for Ukraine and even putting pressure on Ukraine to negotiate peacefully with Russia. This is the ultimate goal of Russia's special military operations .
Will Russia’s strategic goals be achieved? Welcome to leave a message in the comment area! [handshake]
