Vice Chairman of the Russian Federation Security Conference Medvedev said whether Ukraine exists on the world map in two years is a problem. The Russian-Ukrainian conflict is at a critical moment. Three directions are worth paying attention to. US President Biden promises to provide Ukraine with another $1 billion in military aid.
Recently, it was reported that Ukraine hopes to sign an liquefied natural gas "lending agreement" with the United States to postpone payments to the United States for two years. In response, Medvedev made a heart-wrenching speech on social media, asking whether Ukraine still exists as a country in the world two years later. The implication is that the United States is likely to be doing a "lose transaction". If Ukraine, as a sovereign state, disappears on the world map, then all the "investment" made by the United States in Ukraine will be in vain. Medvedev also said that Americans actually don’t care. “They have invested so much in anti-Russia projects that everything else is nothing to them…” The implication is obvious. The purpose of the United States’ anti-Russia has been achieved, and the US side does not care about Ukraine’s life or death at all. It can be seen that Russia not only ranks the upper hand in the competition with Ukraine, but as the situation becomes more and more beneficial to its own side, Russia is also more confident when facing the West, especially when facing the United States, and is more daring to tell the truth. As the agent of the United States and the West, Ukraine cannot escape the fate of being abandoned, which is becoming increasingly true. According to domestic media reports, the Russian-Ukrainian conflict is in a critical stage that may determine the long-term direction of the conflict, which may also force the Western side to face difficult choices. According to reports, the West is closely monitoring the three possible directions of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict.
First, the conflict will evolve into a deadlock that lasts for months or even years, continuing to impact global economy . This judgment is based on the premise that the Russian army has made gradual military progress in Donetsk and Lugansk regions. Judging from the current situation, at least two conditions need to be met to form this situation: one is that the Ukrainian army insists on fighting and continues to absorb troops; the other is that the West continues to provide assistance to Ukraine and "transfusion" the Ukrainian army to fight against Russia. It is already difficult to achieve two conditions separately, and it is almost impossible to meet the conditions at the same time. It is very difficult to form such a deadlock.
Second, Russia redefined the target of special military operations, announced that it had won and ended the battle. On the surface, this seems to mean that the conflict ended successfully. In fact, this is probably just a wishful thinking from the West. Given the obvious advantages at present, Russia is unlikely to stop with the flow. Just recently, Russian President Putin also publicly mentioned Russian Empire Tsar Peter I , and expressed that the important task of taking back and consolidating the cause of territoriality has now fallen to this generation of Russians. Obviously, it is difficult for Russia to "take profit" in the face of a good situation, unless Ukraine makes a substantial and sincere statement.
Third, the Russian army gathered in the eastern Ukrainian region and used this as a base to advance to more areas of Ukraine. Now it seems that this prediction is more in line with the development of the current situation. Faced with the capriciousness of the Ukrainian government, Russia has lost the patience to deal with it. If Ukraine does not have the sincerity to sit down to negotiate, the Russian army will seize the opportunity to continue to expand its advantages. As for what results will be achieved in the end, the outside world will also need to wait and see.
Just as the West speculated the direction of the conflict, the heads of state of the United States and Ukraine held a call. Biden reiterated his support for Ukraine during the call and announced a $1 billion military aid program for Ukraine. As Biden made the latest commitment to Ukraine, the US Department of Defense quickly followed up and released a detailed description of the security assistance plan. Details show that the United States will provide Ukraine with 18 howitzers with tactical vehicles, equipped with 36,000 rounds of 155mm ammunition.In addition, the ammunition and tactical vehicles of the Himas high-motorized rocket launcher system, the tactical vehicles of the "recycling equipment", the two "harpoon" coastal defense systems, as well as thousands of security radios and thousands of night vision equipment, are also in the latest assistance program arrangements. It is worth noting that the budget for the aid program to Ukraine also includes funds for “training, maintenance, maintenance, transportation and administrative expenses”.
In this way, the aid situation set by the United States is big enough. I don’t know if the part that can actually reach Ukraine can exceed 10%. However, even if the aid from the United States and the West can be fully fulfilled, it may not be considered a good thing. For Ukraine, choosing a path that is beneficial to the country and the people is the best strategy.
