Source: Taiwan Strait Network
Taiwan Strait Network Comprehensive report on October 21st. Chairman of the Kuomintang Zhu Lilun has been making frequent moves recently, working hard to assist in the election. The victory and defeat of the "nine-in-one" election is of great importance to whether he can get the ticket to the 2024 Taiwan leader election. Hou Youyi, the mayor of the Kuomintang, who has a high poll, is also the candidate with the highest call for the "general election" on the island. Wu Kunyu, former spokesperson and political commentator of the People First Party, recently interviewed by Hong Kong China Review News Agency, said that the Blue Camp currently sees Hou Youyi having the most chance to run for 2024. As long as Hou has the chance to win 2024, even if he successfully serves as mayor and runs for the election, Blue Army supporters will still support Hou.
Zhu Lilun and Hou Youyi canvass votes in the same frame. Taiwanese media video screenshot
To win the tickets for the 2024 "general election"
Zhu Lilun has been working hard to help the election
Zhu Lilun has been operating this "nine-in-one" election. The victory and defeat are related to whether he can get the tickets for the 2024 Taiwan leader election. However, due to the Kaohsiung former mayor Han Kuo-yu comeback, the response to the launch of the Taiwan auxiliary election schedule is enthusiastic, adding points to the Kuomintang election situation, but it also weakens Zhu's Kuomintang chairman effect.
From Zhu Lilun's many actions recently, it can be seen that he is trying his best to prevent himself from being overwhelmed by the "Korean Yu effect", including Zhu announced on the 19th that he will launch a regular meeting in the next few weeks, presenting five or five waves of key counties and cities for the five election situations, including Keelung and the most important Taoyuan, all listed, in order to maximize the effect of his Kuomintang chairman.
But for Zhu Lilun, the "Korean-Yu effect" is a double-sided blade. Of course, Zhu needs Han to gather the basic blue camps in all parts of Taiwan, so that the supporters of the blue camp who have been dissatisfied with the Kuomintang for a period of time will go out to vote, but they cannot let Han completely steal the style of the Kuomintang chairman. Therefore, the increase in intensity and breadth of auxiliary elections is all about showing supporters that he, the chairman of the Kuomintang, is fully driving the Kuomintang forward.
The biggest problem Zhu Lilun will face next is that if the "nine-in-one" election on November 26 can win the election, how Zhu can prove to his supporters that he can transfer these majority of votes to the 2024 "general election", it will be the key to whether Zhu can take the next step.
At least 3 groups of people in the "general election" of 2024
will the blue fans support Hou Youyi to choose?
According to the latest poll in October of the pro-green agency "Taiwan Public Opinion Foundation", Hou Youyi elected the mayor of New Taipei, but it is not ruled out that he can run for election in 2024. 44% are basically acceptable and 42% are unacceptable.
Wu Kunyu said in an interview with Hong Kong China Review News Agency that as long as Hou has the opportunity to win 2024, even if he successfully serves as mayor of New Taipei and runs for the election, Blue Army supporters will still support it.
If Hou Youyi is re-elected as mayor and has to choose 2024, should there be some pavement actions? Wu Kunyu said that if there are only Taipei Mayor Ko Wen-je and Lai Ching-te in the 2024 "general election" and there is little choice. There is not even one in the Blue Camp. Does it rely on the Party Leader Zhu Lilun? In 2024, each party will definitely send the strongest people to choose. The strongest person may be the head of the county and city. The Lan Camp seems to be the county and city mayor. Even if it is not Hou Youyi, it may also be the mayor of Taichung . If Hou Youyi does not want to choose, then Lu Xiuyan may of course choose.
Kuomintang Taichung Mayor Lu Xiuyan also has a high poll
Hou Youyi and Ke Wenzhe may run for 2024? Wu Kunyu believes that both of them hope to have real power, and the deputy does not have real power. How could Hou Youyi ask Ke Wenzhe to supervise him? These two people are unlikely to partner. Wu Kunyu also said that it seems that there must be at least three groups of people in 2024, and it is impossible for anyone to give up. What should Ke Wenzhe do if he doesn’t choose?
Hou Youyi (left) and Ke Wen-je (right) Photo/Taiwanese media
If Hou Youyi is re-elected and invests in the 2024 "general election" next year, will it be the same as the effect caused by Han Kuo-yu in 2020? Wu Kunyu said that Han Kuo-yu was elected as the first mayor of Kaohsiung in 2018 and was about to choose 2020, so everyone hated him for the election of the "big position". After Hou Youyi was elected at the end of the year, he was already the second mayor, and he could do so even if he led the position to run. Because if the Kuomintang had no one else to be higher than Hou Min, the supporters of the Blue Army would definitely be able to support Hou.Hou Youyi is currently actively operating the atmosphere of "No. 1 in the poll" and "Stars surround the Moon", and the Kuomintang currently seems to be Hou Youyi's most chance to run for 2024. (Source: Taiwan Strait Network Comprehensive Straits Guide New Media)
