According to Taiwan media reports, , the 2022 Taiwan "nine-in-one" election has entered the countdown, and the key Taoyuan mayoral election situation is still confused. Former DPP "legislator" Guo Zhengliang revealed that he had read several polls and talked to local councillors, saying that it is really hard to say the winner or loser in Taoyuan City. The DPP's Zheng Yunpeng and the KMT's Zhang Shanzheng polls are both within 1%, which is the error range, and there are wins and losses.
Zhang Shanzheng (right), Zheng Yunpeng (left)
"Taiwan Public Opinion Foundation" released its latest poll in October. In view of the appreciation of candidates for the "Six Capitals", the Kuomintang's part was the mayor of New Taipei , Hou Youyi, who was striving for re-election, with 45.8%, and the last one was Taoyuan City candidate Zhang Shanzheng, with 5.7%; in addition, among the Democratic Progressive Party, voters admired the most was Kaohsiung , Chen Chimai, 34.2%, and Taoyuan Mayor Zheng Yunpeng, with the last seat with 4.4%.
You Yinglong, chairman of the "Taiwan Public Opinion Foundation", pointed out that it is worth noting that in Taoyuan City, Zheng Yunpeng and Zhang Shanzheng have continued to be extremely low in Taiwan or local areas, which means that the election situation in this constituency will be full of variables. This time, the election situation in 16 counties and cities in Taiwan is the most unpredictable and the election results are the most elusive.
Guo Zhengliang said that he had read several polls. In this Taoyuan mayoral election, there was no way to say who won or lose, because the gap between the two parties was within 1%, which was the error range, and there were wins and losses. He also talked to the Kuomintang Taoyuan City Councillor Huang Jingping, and the other party also said it was really difficult to assert.
Guo Zhengliang pointed out that although Zheng Yunpeng’s propaganda is better than Zhang Shanzheng, there is no substantial thing, but no substantial thing; Zhang Shanzheng is the opposite. Although there is substantial thing, there is no way to attract attention.
Guo Zhengliang then pointed out that Zhang Shanzheng and Zheng Yunpeng are both fighting organizational wars, and Zhang Shanzheng has probably only one place that obviously beats Zheng Yunpeng, that is, his physical strength is relatively good. Zhang Shanzheng has more than 10 itineraries a day and is desperately running to the grassroots. For example, the one that Taoyuan City Speaker Qiu Yisheng helped him in Zhongli , came about 25,000 people. Taoyuan Mayor Zheng Wencan will definitely hold one next time, and he will definitely lose and not lose, and he will mobilize tens of thousands of people to come out. Zhang Shanzheng and Zheng Yunpeng are the main focus of organizing wars.
The host asked that the polls between Zhang Shanzheng and Zheng Yunpeng were only 2.1 percentage points away. Guo Zhengliang believes that appreciation is meaningless, but it just means whether it is suitable to be a mayor. If the election is less than 30 days away, we have to ask whether the support supports him as a mayor, or whether he is optimistic about it, which will affect the turnout rate.
Guo Zhengliang even pointed out that Zhang Shanzheng wanted to test the "Zheng Ji Card", which also involved the way of taking action. For example, the ceiling of Taoyuan Bade Stadium collapsed and Zhang Shanzheng did not go to the scene. Another problem with Zhang Shanzheng is that his propaganda strategy is too weak.
