According to Taiwan's Zhongshi Electronic News , the Kuomintang 2020 candidate Han Kuo-yu poll was sluggish, and many polls in the past few months have lagged behind Tsai Ing-wen, which is inversely proportional to the enthusiasm of the people who worship the temple, which makes the people puzzled. Professor Pang Jianguo of the Chinese University of Culture proposed that this may be caused by the sampling black numbers and silence spiral effects.
According to the Hong Kong "China Review News Agency", in response to Han Kuo-yu's backward polls, Pang Jianguo believes that the popularity situation presented from where Han Kuo-yu went after taking leave to run for election is indeed a gap with the polls. To further analyze the reasons, Pang said that it may be caused by the sampling black number and silencing spiral effect.
Pang Jianguo explained that Tsai Ing-wen is dominant in the media environment, and Tsai Ing-wen also has relatively abundant resources on the Internet. When one side is obviously dominant, such voice pressure makes Han Kuo-yu's supporters choose to be silent, creating a silence spiral effect; in addition, Han Kuo-yu's supporters are mostly with common people, and common people may have to do business at night, so it is impossible to stay by the phone to answer the phone, which will then generate a sampling black number.
Kuomintang Tainan City Councilor Xie Longjie pointed out in the Zhongtian political commentary program " News Tornado " that in the past 20 years, the gambling market heads are the most accurate, and the difference is as good as possible. Since Han Kuo-yu asked for leave, the gambling market has changed from giving up 500,000 votes, but suddenly turned into a PK war, which is a big comeback, and this has reached the "intersection of death". Perhaps it can echo the shortcomings of Pang Jianguo's current polls.
