The picture shows the attacked Kiev
Recently, the situation in Russia and Ukraine has deteriorated seriously. After the Kerch Bridge was bombed, Russia launched an missile and crazily bombed the entire Ukraine, causing damage to many infrastructure in Ukraine. At the same time, the Russian ground forces also launched a fierce attack on the Ukraine. It is reported that in the direction of , the Russian heavy troops launched a large-scale counterattack, recovered six towns, and reached the suburbs of Hongliman. So, is this air strike just a revenge on the Kerch Bridge incident, or is it the prelude to the Russian army's large-scale attack? Starting this week, many cities in Ukraine, including the capital Kiev , were attacked, and people entered the subway station to take refuge. According to statistics, the air strikes have caused nearly 200 casualties. After the attack, Zelensky asked Western countries for assistance as soon as possible. The United States, Germany and France promised to help Ukraine build air defense force. Germany's air defense system has been officially delivered to Ukraine recently, but it is When Ukraine breathed a little slowed down, the Russian ground troops began to exert force. According to relevant information, the elite Russian army's southern line, the combat cluster code-named O, has been constantly approaching Hongliman. The Russian coalition forces, including the Chechen troops, also operated simultaneously, breaking through the Ukrainian southeastern defense line. The front line has advanced to an area less than ten kilometers away from Hongliman. Some outsiders pointed out that Russia's air strike is likely to be prepared, and it is not just a retaliation operation. This makes people speculate that Russian missiles bomb the entire Ukrainian territory. Is it necessary to launch a full-scale attack? I have the following three views on this.
The picture shows Russian special operations commander Su Luoweijin
First of all, from the perspective of the targets and results, the Russian army has not only launched a large-scale attack on important infrastructure such as command posts, ammunition depots, and weapon positions, but also launched a large-scale attack on Ukraine's important roads, railways, water supply facilities and thermal power plants, in an effort to weaken Ukraine's efforts to weaken Ukraine's The military's war potential, and at the same time, air strikes are mainly concentrated in the western and northern Ukraine, located in the deep area of Ukraine. It is the main route for Ukrainian army to supply and Western weapons to aid Ukraine. It can be seen that the Russian army has changed its combat mode. Although there are Sulovikin's personal reasons, more importantly, the Russian side wants to use this to demonstrate the Russian army's long-range fire strike capabilities, increase its deterrence against the Ukrainian government, prevent the Ukrainian army from planning destructive attacks on Russia's mainland, and indirectly protect the security of the eastern Ukrainian region. Secondly, as far as the current preparations are concerned, the Russian military's strategic deployment has not been completed and cannot launch a full-scale offensive. The Russian Defense Minister said that the newly mobilized reserve soldier has gradually taken the position and is undergoing military training. It is expected to be put into the battlefield as soon as November. Obviously, the Ukrainian army also seized this opportunity and launched a counterattack across the board, hoping to push the front line back before Russia's new vital forces join, and even completely recover the four eastern Ukrainian states that were referendum to Russia, and then strive for a favorable defensive situation and force Russia to negotiate peace. Whether the Russian army can curb the counterattack momentum of the Ukrainian army is crucial to the direction of the subsequent battle situation. Therefore, the Russian air strike will ease the pressure on the front line to a greater extent and keep the situation within the control of the Russian side. After all, Russia gradually gains an advantage in the external environment, and its source of troops is more fulfilling than Ukraine. Once the Ukrainian counterattack does not achieve the expected results, it will only be more beneficial to Russia if it is dragged on.
The picture shows Belarusian leader Lukashenko
Finally, Russia's recent trends in the international community show that Russia does plan to end the conflict as soon as possible. Belarus , which borders both Russia and Ukraine, recently announced that it would restrict citizens from leaving the country and strengthen military service requirements. Previously, Belarus had formed a joint force with Russia, and thousands of Russian soldiers carried large weapons and equipment into the territory of Belarus , and then Belarus issued a statement saying that Belarus has entered the state of anti-terrorism operation. Some analysts believe that after the Russian army is replenished, it is very likely to open up a new battlefield through Belarus and then implement the Ukrainian army. The encirclement is a fatal threat to Ukraine. In addition, Russia has begun to throw olive branches to Europe in the energy field. Russian President Putin said in a public event that there are still branches of the Nord Stream pipeline to use, and Russia is ready to supply more natural gas to Europe. The ball is on the European side. If the European attitude eases, the Ukrainian army's support will no longer be strong. By then, if the Russian army launches a full-scale attack, Ukraine will find it difficult to resist. From this point of view, Russia has begun to create conditions for a complete resolution of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict.
Figure shows Russian troops
Overall, Russia will not launch a full-scale attack in a short period of time, but the situation is not optimistic. Russia and Ukraine and NATO countries that support Ukraine show no sign of stopping. Kiev even claimed that it would launch air strikes on Moscow in the near future. The mode of attack, retaliation and re-attack between Russia and Ukraine is gradually starting, and the consequences are unpredictable. At present, Russia is seeking communication with Western countries, and on the other hand, it is also ready for a full-scale war. The conflict between Russia and Ukraine has obviously gotten out of control. I hope that at this time, the leaders of both sides can remain calm and achieve peaceful dialogue as soon as possible. Continuing confrontation will only increase unnecessary risks.
