Straits Guide (Reporter Xue Yang) After the Spring Festival last year, the topic of the 2020 "general election" on the island became more and more popular. The Spring Festival of the new year is coming soon, and this protracted marathon competition will finally come tomorrow.
In the past year, the election has been ups and downs, and too many suspense has aroused the appetite of the outside world, and all of this will be revealed at one time tomorrow night. No matter what the outcome of the election is, this "general election" is destined to be the most exciting time in more than 20 years.
suspense 1
, Han Kuo-yu , who is far behind in the polls, will he win?
As an "atypical" candidate, Han Kuo-yu has been controversial since he expressed his opinion on his election. Many politicians in blue camp believe that he should help the Kuomintang protect Kaohsiung , and the "general election" should be handed over to Guo Taiming, Zhu Lilun and others to fight.
result Han Kuo-yu passed the party's primary election with a great advantage. After the official showdown of the blue and green, his support has declined again and again. Almost all polls show that South Korea will lose this election, and the gap between polls made by some institutions even reaches more than 30%.
However, in Han Kuo-yu's momentum, the atmosphere was very hot. Last night on Kaidao, Taipei, the organizer even shouted that millions of people participated. The polls are cold and hot, and many observers believe that "this election is the weirdest in the history of the election."
Whether Han Kuo-yu, who is far behind in the polls, can win the election battle undoubtedly become the biggest suspense of this "general election". If you win, the so-called "poll agencies" on the island can take a shower and go to bed.
suspense 2
Will the political map of "north blue, south green" be turned around?
Han Kuo-yu, who mainly plays the "commoner card", is known as the Kuomintang candidate who is least like the Kuomintang. His grassroots nature is close to that of the past Democratic Progressive Party candidate. Tsai Ing-wen of the DPP is a bit like the past candidates for the Kuomintang. Before
, intellectuals and economic voters gathered in the north tended to support the Kuomintang, while in the south there was a green area, and those grassroots voters almost became banned by the DPP.
This election was a different situation. "Knowledge Blue" and "Economic Blue" were reluctant to return to the team to support South Korea; on the contrary, in southern agricultural counties and cities such as Yunlin, Chiayi, Tainan, and Pingtung, Han Kuo-yu's campaign was very hot, which made the outside world foggy.
DPP has been in power in the south for too long, voters want to change people to watch? The elites in the north are dissatisfied with Han Kuo-yu and will they turn to Tsai Ing-wen? Will the political map of "north blue, south green" be reversed? These are undoubtedly important highlights of this "general election".
suspense 3
"General election nail household " How many votes can Song Chuyu get?
As a "nail household for general elections", People First Party Chairman Song Chuyu once again joined the "general election". This is the fifth time he has been on the battlefield of "general elections". In the election four years ago, Song Chuyu received 1.57 million votes, and his results were quite impressive, much better than the 360,000 votes in 2012. The outside world is paying great attention to how many votes Song Chuyu can get this time.
In recent years, although rumors of "oranges turn green" have been constantly reported, there is no doubt that supporters of the People First Party have partially overlapped with Han Kuo-yu. From the perspective of South Korea, Song naturally gets fewer votes, the better.
suspense 4
Can the DPP exceed half in the Legislative Yuan?
2016 "general election", the DPP achieved complete "ruling" for the first time. In the past four years, the Green Camp has done everything it wants, not only establishing agencies like the East Factory, such as the "Party Industry Association" and "Promotion Transfer Promotion", but also forcibly passed the so-called "Five National Security Laws" and "Anti-Infiltration Law", which has greatly regressed democracy on the island and the people are silent.
In response to this "legislator" election, the DPP has called out a goal of more than half and played the "anti-China card" to urge votes. Will Taiwanese people who have had enough of the style of green camp dominance be deceived to support the DPP’s “legislator” candidate this time? The outside world is watching.
suspense 5
How many "legislators" seats can the Taiwan People's Party take?
The "Legislative Yuan" election four years ago, the People First Party and the "power of the times" achieved good results, and the party group was established in the "Legislative Yuan". In this election, the situation between the two parties was not optimistic, one was on the verge of marginalization, and the other was constantly quitting the party.
People First Party, can you retain seats with the blessing of Song Chuyu, the "heen"? Faced with the squeeze of other political parties, is the "power of the times" inevitably entering a bubble?
Can the Taiwan People's Party, which was just established last year, rely on the popularity of Taipei Mayor Ko Wen-je to win some seats?
In addition, as a unified party, the new party promoted the "first blue camp warrior" Qiu Yi as the first place in non-districts. The last session almost reached the 5% party vote threshold. Can the new party achieve a breakthrough this time?
suspense 6
72-year-old Hung Hsiu-chu can achieve a breakthrough in Tainan?
In terms of regional "legislator" elections, there are also several constituencies worth paying attention to.
72-year-old former Kuomintang chairman Hung Hsiu-chu, this time, recommended himself to go to Tainan, a difficult constituency to select a "legislator". Judging from the situation of sweeping the streets and pursuing votes, Zhu Zhujie is quite popular among local voters. How many votes can Hung Hsiu-chu get in the end? Will a breakthrough be achieved? I believe it will also piss the appetite of the outside world.
In Taipei's third constituency, Jiang Wan'an's election situation, who is seeking re-election, has also attracted much attention from the outside world. This time, the DPP launched a handsome guy named Wu Yinong to challenge him. The poll showed that the support of the two was gradually getting closer, and Jiang Wan'an's advantage was not obvious. The election results not only concern whether Jiang Wanan can stay in the Legislative Yuan, but also whether the only incense of the Jiang family's political arena can be preserved.
constituency is also in the fierce battle, and the fourth constituency of Taipei, Li Yanxiu, who is currently a Kuomintang member, was challenged by the DPP candidate Gao Jiayu . Even the polls show that the latter's poll support even leads? Can the Kuomintang keep this seat?
In Hualien County, the Blue Army was divided. Will the internal strife of Huang Qijia of the Kuomintang and Fu Kunqi, who was not a member of the party, benefit the DPP Xiao Meiqin fisherman?
In addition, the election results of "legislators" by Xu Shuhua, Sun Daqian and others who belong to Han Kuo-yu also attracted attention from the outside world.
