The "Taiwan Public Opinion Foundation" on the island's pro-green agency released its latest poll yesterday (20th), with Tsai Ing-wen, the leader of the DPP authorities, 43.8%, a decrease of 1.9 percentage points from August. It is worth noting that the 20-34-year-old ethnic group supports the Taiwan People's Party, and the support of the People's Party is higher than that of the Democratic Progressive Party. Enterprises and senior white-collar workers support the People's Party. Hong Kong media observation pointed out that in the future, will the People's Party replace the Kuomintang or even catch up with the DPP? This is a positive message for Taiwan’s People’s Party Chairman Ke Wen-je’s run for election in 2024.
Taiwan's "China Times News Network" reported that according to age group analysis, voters aged 20 to 34 have always been the most loyal supporters of Tsai Ing-wen's "conquer the world" and "govern the world". However, You Yinglong, chairman of the Taiwan Popular Foundation, said that if the polls in September were compared with July, those who supported Tsai aged 20 to 24 fell by 26.1 percentage points, and those who dissatisfied increased by 20.2 percentage points; those who dissatisfied aged 25 to 34 decreased by 11.3 percentage points, and those who dissatisfied aged 13.8 percentage points, and those who dissatisfied adolescents were loose.
According to the detailed data of the "Taiwan Public Opinion Foundation" poll, among the party's support, among the ages of 20 to 24, the "Terminal Power" received the most support, the "Terminal Power" received 21.3%, the Taiwan People's Party received the second 16.9%, the Democratic Progressive Party was only 9.1%, and the Kuomintang was 3.7%; the Taiwan People's Party was 26.7% aged 25 to 34, the Taiwan People's Party had the highest support, the second was the Democratic Progressive Party 15.7%, the "Terminal Power" was 14.7%, and the Kuomintang was 7.3%.
Hong Kong "China Review News Agency" pointed out that when Tsai Ing-wen was re-elected with a historical high vote in 2020 with 8.17 million votes, the DPP's support level reached its peak at that time. However, several recent poll trends have found that the support of young people and white-collar workers has gradually shifted from the Democratic Progressive Party to the Taiwan People's Party. This situation is somewhat similar to the fact that the young and middle-class votes in Taiwan gradually flowed from the Kuomintang to the DPP. Does this mean that the DPP votes may flow to the People's Party in large quantities and enter the Kuomintang's footsteps?
The "centennial party" of the Kuomintang has been ahead of the polls for party support in recent times, and the two have shown a tug-of-war. If the People's Party can obtain the youth votes of the DPP and the support of the middle class, will it give the People's Party the opportunity to be on par with the largest political party, the Democratic Progressive Party?
In addition, in the ethnic support level of self-operators (enterprise operators), the highest is 33.0%, the DPP has 24.2%, and the KMT has 11.9%; the support level of the high-level white-collar class is 30.5%, the KMT has the second 16.9%, and the DPP has 16.1%.
Former "legislator" Lin Zhuoshui said bluntly when attending the polls, "The support of the middle class is all flowing to the Taiwan People's Party, which is an important message." He said that Tsai Ing-wen’s biggest problem was that she was hesitant when encountering specific things, and then she started to speak out. The middle class of society such as high-level white-collar workers and self-operators have a strong critical attitude towards this, which has led to a decline in Tsai Ing-wen's reputation. But Lin Zhuoshui also said that the Kuomintang does not need to gloat. The Taiwanese people want the DPP authorities not to be weak, which means they want to make a rash move.
You Yinglong mentioned that the DPP authorities have performed very badly recently in the strong rise of vaccines, and the core of power is filled with an atmosphere of reverse and challenging people's memories.
"China Review News Agency" reported that in the past, the DPP's most support groups were young votes and small and medium-sized business owners, but at present, both groups have moved to the Taiwan People's Party. Recently, the DPP and Tsai Ing-wen have urged the 18-year-old "citizenship" to win over young people under the age of 20, but from the perspective of support, young voters seem to be not very satisfied with the DPP.
In addition, the report also pointed out that the COVID-19 pandemic has spread in the past two years, and many small and medium-sized enterprises and small merchants in Taiwan can only be described as "miserable". Many business districts have red letters of "rental" and "sell" because a large number of shops have closed their stalls. Although the DPP authorities have made huge dividends, such as relief subsidies and triple consumption coupons, the results seem to be poor. These reasons may make the people who originally supported the DPP, disappointed with their governance, and turn to the Popular Party, whose political spectrum is close to the DPP. (Lin Jingxian/editor)
