Since the start of the fight between Russia and Ukraine, American "adds fuel to the fire" behind the scenes, while "picking up a small notebook" to record what "experiences" I learned from this agent war and what "learnings" I learned. According to reference information, the United States will no longer be able to provide certain types of ammunition to the Ukrainian army in the future, because the Ukrainian front-line battlefield consumption is astonishing, and the U.S. stock has "bottomed".
The senior U.S. military officials revealed to the media that Washington once again "learned lessons" from the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, and the demand for ammunition in modern large-scale military conflicts far exceeds the expected figures planned during peacetime. According to official statistics from the United States, after the outbreak of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, the value of military aid provided by Washington to Ukraine has exceeded US$16.8 billion, and this uninterrupted "blood transfusion aid" seems to be unsustainable.
Since the beginning of this year, the US Department of Defense has supplied more than 8,000 "Jaulin" anti-tank missiles to the Ukrainian army, and the annual production capacity of "Jaulin" before its suspension was only about 1,000. As for the largest-consuming large-caliber shells, the United States transported more than 800,000 155mm caliber shells from the NATO standard to the Ukrainian army, almost hollowing out the assets of the US Army . In the words of Pentagon officials, the U.S. military's ammunition database stock has dropped to "disturbing" levels. It is reported that the annual output of 155mm shells is about 30,000 rounds, and the Ukrainian army on the front line is extremely dependent on firepower support, and it can fully cover the United States' production in less than two weeks.
In fact, this "expectations are far lower than reality" happened nearly 50 years ago, and has taught Israel a profound and valuable lesson. Before the outbreak of the fourth Middle East War of in 1973, the Israeli army estimated that in wartime, a 155mm caliber howitzer would consume about 400 shells in about 5 days. However, in the Fourth Middle East War, the actual consumption was that a gun could fire 400 shells within 24 hours.
As for the tank main gun with a lifespan of about 400 rounds, the Israeli army estimated that after 3 to 5 days of fighting, the main gun life will be exhausted and needs to be replaced. But the actual situation is that many tanks can fire out three or four hundred shells in just one day of high-intensity combat, and the main gun rifle was flattened to a state of near life. However, due to the lack of sufficient backup barrels in the rear, these tanks had to continue to use the main gun with an expiration of their life, which greatly affected the hit rate at long distances.
Since then, the Israeli military has paid special attention to daily military material reserves and is always preparing for possible large-scale total wars. But it is obvious that the United States has not learned from the lessons of Israel's blood and fire, and still lacks understanding of the high consumption of modern warfare.
domestic analysis pointed out that since , the United States has significantly reduced its defense spending and a large number of weapons production workshops have been closed. If Congress and the military do not convince the military industry to restart production, the United States will no longer have the ability to supply Ukraine. What makes these people even more worried is that the inventory of some domestic equipment is only maintained at the lowest level, and it may take several years to restore the inventory scale.
Of course, except for the United States, European countries that also sent guns and cannons to the Ukrainian army are not optimistic. A few days ago, it was reported that due to the insufficient number of heavy artillery in the UK, the British side had to buy a batch of second-hand artillery from Pakistani by ordering and deliver it to the Ukrainian army. In order to make up for the gap in its own inventory, South Korea has become a supplier of 155mm large-caliber shells in many NATO countries...
Western countries led by the United States collect second-hand weapons and ammunition all over the world, which is the consequence of their own national defense slackness and de-industrialization . Just imagine, if there is another world-class military power that breaks out with the West at this time, even if it is as strong as the United States, can it really deal with this new opponent well? The answer is probably not yes.