After the US House Speaker Peosi html visits Taiwan in early August, many political leaders and groups visited Taiwan. This has a lot to do with the instigation of the United States. The Pelosi incident has caused Sino-US relations to continue to deteriorate. In the future, if the Taiwan authorities insist on implementing "Taiwan independence", the United States will also increase its support for it, and believe that the mainland will surely use the sword of "military unification". Cross-strait reunification, and the obstruction of the United States is one of the important factors. If Sino-US relations deteriorate to the extreme, the Tsai administration will not exist.
After Pelosi left Taiwan on August 3, there were:
On August 7, Lithuanian Deputy Minister of Transport and Communications Vaichu Kevichut, led Lithuanian government officials and representatives of electric buses and other companies to visit Taiwan.
On August 14, Ma Ji, chairman of the Asia-Pacific Group of the US Senate Foreign Affairs Committee, led a delegation of five members of the two parties to visit Taiwan.
In mid-August, Keiji, president of the Japanese parliamentary cross-party group "Japan-Chinese Parliamentary Committee", led a delegation to visit Taiwan. Keiji Koya stressed the "threat" of mainland China to the region. Keiji Koya also said that when Russia launches a special military operation against Ukraine, it is believed that China may analyze the information in it and apply it to the Taiwan Strait. Therefore, Japan and Taiwan, which enjoy the universal value of , should work closely together.
On August 30, Taiwan's leader Tsai Ing-wen met with the visiting delegation of Foreign Minister Bukaro. Bukaro said that Guatemala will always support Taiwan, and he led a delegation to support the Taiwanese authorities.
In mid-August, Alicia Kearns, convener of the Foreign Affairs Committee of the House of Commons, also said that he would enter Taiwan in November.
Foreign media even reported that if US Republican wins the midterm election, the speaker of Republican will also jump to the stage.
So many foreign politicians have different purposes, but it is true that they all regard Taiwan as a dumping place.
Take Keiji Koya, the president of the "Japanese and Chinese Parliamentary Committee", as an example. When he met Tsai Ing-wen, he promoted the Taiwan High-speed Railway carriage procurement case to cooperate with the Japanese Shinkansen system, and emphasized that the Taiwan High-speed Railway is a concrete symbol of the solid friendship between Taiwan and Japan. However, this conversation was not mentioned in the press release of the Taiwan authorities.
In mid-April this year, when U.S. Senator Grim visited Tsai Ing-wen, he also expressed his hope that Taiwan would purchase a Boeing 787 passenger plane, but the Taiwan authorities did not mention it in the press release.
For these foreign politicians frequently enter Taiwan, mainland China has launched a series of countermeasures, such as Lithuanian , suspending any form of exchanges with its Ministry of Transport and Communications and international road transport cooperation with Lithuania.
Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs criticized them for being following the trend and performing a show. If they are colluding with "Taiwan independence" politicians, they will not have any good results. I also advise them not to wade into the Taiwan Strait for personal gain, and not to go further and further on the wrong path.
. American experts are worried that the Taiwan Strait crisis caused by Pelosi's visit to Taiwan is still in its initial stages. The United States will react more in the future, and China's reaction will be more intense, thus creating a "ratating effect." Experts even quoted the commonly used slang term "Elf can't be put back in the bottle", which means that the PLA's actions in the Taiwan Strait are irreversible.
Du Mengxin, associate professor at the U.S. Naval Graduate School, believes that the current Taiwan Strait crisis is still in its initial stage, and previous crises usually last longer, such as the Taiwan Strait crisis in 1996 lasted for 8 months.
Du Mengxin pointed out that the reaction of mainland China should not be regarded as only targeting Pelosi's visit to Taiwan. More broadly, it is mainland China's concern that the United States "cuts sausages" on its traditional "one-China policy." In the view of mainland China, this tactic treats Taiwan in some abnormal way, providing Taiwan with different political and diplomatic status. Therefore, the mainland should draw a "clearer and more obvious" red line to express its attitude to the United States and Taiwan. The erosion of the "one China policy" by the United States is unacceptable to the Chinese, so the crisis may continue to spread and develop in the next few months.
MIT professor Fu Tailin said that the Taiwan Strait is currently in a very delicate situation, and he evaluated that the existence changes that have occurred in the PLA will not retreat, which is why people have begun to use the word "new normal". The intensity of this existence is unlikely to vary over time. "I don't think the elves can still be put in a bottle." His words mean that the "new normal" formed by the Taiwan Strait is irreversible.
Fu Tailin is worried, "What will happen if the US allies participate." He is even more worried about what will happen next time Beijing thinks the red line is crossed again? If such a thing happens again, will it trigger new actions and reactions? “We are in a time of quite instability and tension.”
In addition, the inflation of in the United States is serious, and those in power are likely to increase their pressure and provocation against China to divert the attention of domestic people. Therefore, the United States will not stop provoking in the Taiwan Strait.
Du Mengxin pointed out that the "ratating effect" means that each action will be further improved based on the last time, and it is irreversible. If the United States provokes again, mainland China will send a stronger signal to show its determination to regain Taiwan. By then, more missiles may fly over Taiwan island , and more missiles will be launched closer to Taiwan.
Du Mengxin analyzed that in the past few years, the United States has publicly discussed the possibility of US military stationed in Taiwan on the "one China policy". Biden three times expressed a commitment to defend Taiwan. The State Council website changed the language about Taiwan. The assistant defense minister called Taiwan a strategic asset, etc. If similar things happen again, mainland China may turn it into the basis for sending signals and become the baseline for further escalating the situation.
policy researcher Ge Lan, also believes that the current reaction in mainland China is only the first two weeks when there are more flashes and points in the future. What worries her even more is that she does not feel that the United States still has bargaining chips like the ones during the Taiwan Strait crisis in 1995, and China and the United States could still seek dialogue. The current situation is just the opposite. Mainland China has voluntarily cut off dialogue with the United States in multiple fields.
Therefore, when the crisis is serious, the mainland will inevitably not recover Taiwan in one fell swoop, and those politicians who have entered Taiwan have seen Tsai Ing-wen’s last glance. (Frog in Inoue)
