chip industry, lithography machine manufacturer, ASML company has more than 26,000 employees, these people come from 123 different countries, and the chip in the United States is also sold to almost all countries in the world, but why is China the most strictly blocked by the United States? Can the United States really block China's chip development?
Sorry, I have been sitting on a high place for thousands of years, and I will not bow my head
How much is the strongest ban in the United States without a bottom line?
Starting from 2019, the United States has successively included a large number of leading Chinese technology companies such as Huawei , Hikvision , ZTE , SMIC , SMIC and other export control blacklists, banning them from purchasing American chips and related items, which has aroused widespread attention from Chinese people. On May 15, 2020, the United States issued the strongest ban on Chinese chips. From September 15, 2020, all chip manufacturing companies around the world that use American technology are prohibited from producing for Huawei. 021 June 3, the United States signed a new executive order to include 59 Chinese companies including Huawei, SMIC, China’s three major telecommunications companies, China Aviation Industry Group , China Ordnance Industry Group , etc. on the investment "blacklist", prohibiting Americans from trading with companies on the list. The executive order will come into effect at 12:01 on August 2. Many people do not understand how strong this blockade is and what does American technology mean.
The strongest chip blockade
What does it mean to use American technology? This means that American products manufactured in the United States, made by American manufacturers outside the United States, non-US manufacturers, products made using American technology, and even products containing a certain proportion of American products are called using American technology. That is to say, as long as products that comply with any of the above descriptions are recognized as "American products" by US laws. For example, the famous memory and cpu manufacturers, major component manufacturers such as TSMC , Qualcomm , Samsung , SK Hynix , Micron , etc. will no longer supply chips to Huawei.The ban on
not only represents that Huawei cannot buy the latest chips, including other hardware, software, services, production equipment, testing tools, and even chips that are not the latest 7nm, 9nm, 14nm and other processes. Even Chinese chip manufacturers, such as SMIC, cannot provide chips for Huawei because they use American technology and machines. As long as they use American patented technology products, Huawei cannot buy them regardless of software or hardware. This is a real strategy! What will happen to the Chinese market and Huawei under the ban on
? Although
is a bit discouraged, Teacher Li must say that this generation of Kirin chip should be the last generation of advanced domestic chips that we can buy. In the next few years, or longer (this time depends on the research and development progress of Chinese chips), we will not even be able to buy domestic chips with 7nm or 10nm processes. At that time, there are only two types of chips in the Chinese market. The domestic process is 28nm or 1 There are no other choices except these two types of chips with 4nm behind several generations of chips, as well as imported chips equipped with the latest American technology, except for these two. It is clear that Huawei phones should not have these advanced chips. If you want to buy them, you can only buy mobile phones from other Chinese competitors. After all, this may not be good news for competitors. The biggest domestic competitor suddenly disappeared. As long as you continue to use American chips, you can quickly conquer the city. Wouldn't that be happy?
actually has a lot of domestic mobile phone brands
The trend at this time, to be honest, Teacher Li can no longer predict the trend. Huawei is now mainly in the high-end market and conquering the whole world. Apple cannot withstand it. However, after the chips are gone, Huawei has only two options on mobile phones. It is a low-end chip, and it is a chip that lags behind many generations of chips to make low-end mobile phones to survive. However, this will have a devastating impact on Huawei's brand. It will be difficult for Huawei to go to the high-end again. Moreover, the low price of low-end mobile phones has basically dropped the profit to the stage of maintaining survival. Without profits, it cannot be invested in research. As time goes by, it will become a mobile phone company similar to counterfeit phones. Huawei mobile phone is finished.
Another possibility is that, like the Huawei p50 series at the press conference, although it was released, it was not introduced, and it was not manufactured and sold, making the current mobile phone awesome. However, in other fields where chip requirements are not very high, such as smart homes, watches, etc., they make efforts to use system software that is not restricted by foreign countries to strengthen the power of software to enhance their competitiveness. Now it seems that Huawei seems to be taking this path.
Huawei's choice
In fact, Teacher Li really wants to say that today's mobile phones are actually typical overperformance. We actually don't need such advanced chips to meet the needs of most of the needs of brushing , Douyin , shopping on Taobao, chatting about WeChat, and taking photos. Even backward domestic chip-made mobile phones can actually meet the needs of as long as they work hard on the system and design. There is a demand outside the large-scale gaming party. Everyone can support Huawei to make such mobile phones, but I know this is useless. The market always votes with its feet. Just see that the United States has just issued a ban, Apple can't wait to announce the autumn press conference. Then the domestic hot news list began to be dominated by Apple. Seeing that the strongest opponent who was so beaten up and cried was killed by political means, Apple wiped the head of the Xiang who was pulled by Huawei. After taking a shower, it said that it is still the world's strongest mobile phone manufacturer, haha!
I am the world's number one, I want to increase the price
How much has China's chip technology been?
New millenniums ago, my country's chip technology had actually lagged behind the international market, but since 2004, China has begun to vigorously develop the chip industry and then fought for 15 years. Until 2019, when the United States launched a chip war, China's chips still had no power to fight.
The lithography machine that can be produced in China in 2019 is 0 nanometer , which is 3 generations of ; in 2019, SMIC, the most advanced chip manufacturing in my country, achieved mass production of
8 nanometer chips, but this mass production uses a large number of American technology equipment. The completely de-beautified domestic equipment can only barely achieve mass production of
0 nanometer chips. Compared with TSMC's latest 7-nanometer process, the gap between is more than 3 generations!
Domestic chip
The more critical problem is that the chip industry can be said to be the highest peak of modern technology. It contains almost all the technologies and theories of natural disciplines. It is not something that a country can handle on its own, even the United States cannot do it. As I said at the beginning, only 10% of the technology of lithography machines is in its own hands, while the rest comes from the technologies of various countries, such as EU The lens of V-lithography machine is almost monopolized by Zeiss in Germany. Laser technology is in the hands of Laomi Cymer. This is just a lithography machine. There are many things, such as the inconspicuous photoresist , which is indeed a must-have. The top four of the five manufacturers in the world are in Japan. The chip materials are mainly provided by Japan. The development of the entire chip industry today is almost based on dozens of countries around the world. Each country has its own irreplaceable part of things, and no one can independently complete the entire manufacturing process of the chip.
Complex chip manufacturing process
So if all chip-related industries in China are blocked, then Chinese chips can basically be said to be in a completely dark moment for several years or even more than ten years, with no core available, but fortunately, this cannot happen.
Can the United States control the chip industry around the world?
If the United States forces a large number of chip production links around the world to stop exporting chip-related products to China through its electronic hegemony and physical hegemony today, it is equivalent to China asking a country to go through dozens of countries around the world, and after decades or hundreds of years of travel, this difficulty is unimaginable, and it is even impossible for manpower to complete it. Fortunately, this is not something the United States can do, because the current Chinese market can be said to be the largest chip consumer market in the world. The complete ban on the Chinese market is a fatal blow to all relevant industrial companies in the world. No one will help the United States achieve its hegemony at the cost of life. The power of capital is not something that the United States can control.
Everything for the benefit
Give the simplest example. Due to the rising domestic labor costs, American companies have caused a large number of manufacturing industries to flee. Most companies have built factories in China or Southeast Asia to produce, making the employment rate in the United States lower and lower. Therefore, the United States holds high the banner of the return of manufacturing industry and gives the return enterprises subsidies and policies. But what are the results? No one paid attention to him. Foxconn invested 10 billion to build a factory in the United States, and later it continued to reduce its scale, and then went to the mainland to invest; Tesla announced that it would build a super factory in the United States, but how many years did it take from groundbreaking to production? Ten years, how many years did they have their super factory in Shanghai? From groundbreaking to the first car going offline, one year.
Everything about capital starts from interests. Sanctions against China are to prevent its technology from being caught up and its interests are damaged. Therefore, these manufacturers will follow the banner of the United States to complete this sanction. But the problem is that if they are completely blocked, it will kill these companies. Without the Chinese market, who will their chips be sold to? It is definitely impossible to follow. After all, the United States and these manufacturers are linked to interests, and they block Chinese companies together. However, if the United States announces a complete lockdown of China today, this will directly affect their interests. These capitalists will be able to withdraw from the alliance in minutes and secretly come to China to sell goods.This is why only Huawei is blocked by mobile phone manufacturers, and other competitors can buy the latest chips. Moreover, everyone found that even if the United States issued a ban, it would take several months to take effect. This period of time is used to deal with subsequent problems. These companies have also put all their efforts into producing chips for Huawei during this period. In the final analysis, it is just a benefit.
Just give money
The United States can only affect the chip industry, but cannot control the chip industry. The United States intelligently blocks some China focuses on independent development, which may threaten their companies and cannot block all Chinese companies.
Why does the United States only block Chinese companies
In fact, through the analysis of the chip industry, you can know that although many countries around the world have participated in chip manufacturing, they are all developing in the framework of the United States. All development depends on the technology and market of the United States. Once the United States is unhappy, it can completely ban the American countries and make the chips of this country completely die. But now, only China, with a large land, a large number of people, a burst of talents, and a strong national strength, continues to develop in all links and becomes stronger, and begins to threaten the status of the United States. Only China does not recognize that the United States will always be the boss. In the final analysis, the United States blocks China is still afraid of China, and it also means that China has the strength beyond them. Otherwise, why do so many things?
Japan's Asian power, China is poor and backward, and can conquer the entire China in 3 months! China won the 8-year War of Resistance Against Japan!
Victory of the War of Resistance Against Japan
American aircraft cannons, Chinese Xiaomi rifles, we can easily take the position! Shangganling 43 days of persistence!
Shangganling
All development in China depends on us. As long as the Soviet experts retreat, China will definitely have no chance! The atomic bomb exploded four years later!
The first atomic bomb
2020, under the blockade of the United States, Chinese chips have absolutely no future! Can you let the bullets fly for a while?
Let the bullets fly for a while
I am Teacher Li Jiangping who loves popular science. Welcome your remarks and comments and likes for three consecutive times. For more exciting things, please pay attention!