This time, Zhao Shaokang was heartbroken. After interviewing several former senior officials of the puppet army in succession, html On August 11, he found a scholar who did cross-strait research Su Qi to interview . This time, the more he talked about Zhao Shaokang, the more he felt, and finally the heartbroken he talked!
Zhao Shaokang: There are two types of people in Taiwan that are the most nervous, soldiers and scholars who do cross-strait relations, but ordinary people don’t think so. Why is this happening?
Su Qi: Because everyone thinks that even if something happens between the two sides of the Taiwan Strait, it will not burn to ordinary people. I think so. I often say that bullets do not have eyes but missiles have eyes. The missiles will not destroy them. The missiles are very accurate. If you want to hit this room, you will never hit the next door. It is just an error of 2-3 meters. The mainland will not beat the people’s houses, so the people don’t have to be afraid. He only manages political/military facilities. We study scholars from both sides of the Taiwan Strait to understand the mood of the mainland, and I feel very pessimistic this time!
Zhao Shaokang: Why are you so pessimistic?
Su Qi: I have two views, One is, the mainland may fight; secondly, the United States will not come to save it.
Zhao Shaokang: This is completely opposite to the statement of the DPP. The DPP has always said: The mainland will not fight, but the United States will come if it hits.
Su Qi: Although I retired and lived my own life, I still have a lot to do with the overall situation. It seems difficult to avoid it now.
Zhao Shaokang: You just said that the people are unsent, but looking at the example of Ukraine, the people are very miserable. If the fight really starts, we have to end up fighting and fight street battles, which is related to ordinary people. If the fight is unfortunate, how do you start and end?
Su Qi: Ukraine is very different from us. Ukraine is very big, we are very small, and Ukrainian civilians die very little, but they all ran away and became refugees. According to my research, if you fight, it will basically be the content of this exercise. The first day is to fire missiles and destroy important political/military bases. The second day was the plane coming to sweep, the third day was the plane and the warship , and the control of air and sea control. On the fourth day, the login was logged in. Some people here have myths and it is difficult to log in, but it is different now. Now it is not called Crossing the Sea, but Yuehai. The large transport aircraft and civil aviation aircraft flew from the air. If the mainland crosses the sea, 30,000 to 40,000 people can come in three days, but the number of people who cross the sea and the democracy movement can reach 200,000. Of course, my premise is that missiles and aircraft have destroyed all military facilities and fully controlled air and sea control, so he can do these things safely.
Zhao Shaokang: Two questions, do we have no ability to counterattack at all? Second, what will happen to the United States then?
Su Qi: these two questions are very critical. We are going to AIT this time to ask the Americans, aren’t you saying it’s as solid as a rock? Why don’t you just say it’s not practicing? So I said that if the fight really started, Americans would not come. The US military has made 18 pushes and loses every time. Will he still come! We have no way to counter the military.
Zhao Shaokang: Then we spend hundreds of billions of dollars every year, so what?
Su Qi: There is no way to do it in the military. You think he is not even afraid of the United States, but he will be afraid of us. Moreover, the US Department of Defense reports that the mainland's military occupation in 2020 is absolutely fine. From 2000 to 2020, the mainland's military development was very fast, and we had no choice but to do anything about the military.
Zhao Shaokang: Did the Americans stop acting at all?
Su Qi: In fact, this time, Pelosi has already seen it clearly. Bai Deng is a weak president and cannot control the people below, so there is no mutual trust between him on the mainland. I just agreed with you and none of your subordinates comply, so what else can I talk about? So this time Pelosi went to Taiwan, and the mainland came directly to really draw his sword. This also proves my two previous views: the mainland will fight, but the Americans will not come.
Zhao Shaokang: Are the Americans really not coming, or are they coming later?
Su Qi: I asked the American officer this and asked him how long will it take for you to come if we are beaten.He said that he would prepare for three days at the earliest, and then add the distance, at least 10 days. If you come from the United States, it would be more than 20 days. In the past 70 years, all foreign wars have been raids. He will definitely pick you when the United States is not prepared to fight.
Zhao Shaokang: Why did he hit us? Why did he hit us?
Su Qi: After this fight with the United States, I think the mainland will be more determined. The white paper that came out in the past two days made me feel that their speed of action is still accelerating. Some people say that they will fight as soon as 2030 and 2032, but I feel that they will be in the next five years, and will not be delayed until 2027 so late.
Zhao Shaokang: What if the Kuomintang comes up in 2024?
Su Qi: I don’t think it’s important who is in charge anymore. The mainland regards the various parties in Taiwan as the same!
Zhao Shaokang: When do you think he is most likely to take action?
Su Qi: The United States has been fighting terrorism in the past 20 years and fighting against small countries. These kids are no match for the United States and can't even fight planes, but now the opponent is the mainland, and a missile can sank your aircraft carrier with just one missile. So now the United States is undergoing military transformation and supersonic missiles, but this time it takes at least five years. To be honest, five years are fast. Then these five years will be the window period in the mainland, and it is also our high-risk period.
Zhao Shaokang: I used to think that the mainland should be more anti-drug than promoting unification. He doesn’t need to be so anxious. We are so close to him. Last year, I made him $170 billion, but we can’t escape it. Time stands on their side, and they will become stronger and stronger in the future. He just needs to fight the drug. Why is he anxious?
Su Qi: I think the mainland has changed since last year's mutual disagreement. The mainland thinks that you have changed, and the people's hearts have changed, and you are all the same. The mainland has started talking about how to govern after unification after the unification of each other, which has never been before. Now the white paper is also talking about unification, and this time Pelosi's entry into the stage, they have advanced the pace of unification.
Zhao Shaokang: OK, then you can make a summary.
Su Qi: We have been very happy in the past 30 years, and it is China and the United States that allow us to let us go. But at this stage, Sino-US relations are tense, and our comfort period is over. In the future, we will be squeezed by their two major countries at the same time, which will be very painful.
Zhao Shaokang: Okay, then I'll ask you a question you don't want to ask. If the mainland really calls you, will he want to occupy it or negotiate with you in the middle?
Su Qi: He will still occupy it in the end.
Su Qi's words were very objective, and he did not leave Zhao Shaokang with space for happiness at all. Zhao Shaokang was really panicked when he heard this and was very tired. Finally, Zhao Shaokang shook his head helplessly and ended the interview! ! !
