September 2, G7 Finance Minister issued a statement expressing unanimously agreeing to implement a price limit on Russian oil and petroleum products. Soon, the Russian Gas Company announced that it would close the " Nord Stream-1" natural gas pipeline indefinitely. The reason given was that the equipment leaked more oil, thus stopping the gas transmission until the troubleshooting and repairing the damaged turbine .
Obviously, judging from the timing of the announcement, the "death" of Nord Stream-1 is actually Russia officially started the energy game with the West. Otherwise, it would not be announced sooner or later. Why did it make a statement when the G7 issued a statement?
What's more, as early as July 21, Beixi No. 1 had just been repaired and restarted to transport natural gas . This time, the equipment was damaged as a reason, as if it was an excuse to be afraid of not being able to see it.
In fact, the G7 did not benefit at all, and the United States was indispensable behind it. Now Russia has not only closed the air supply valve to Europe, but has become Russia's weapon to counter Europe.
Everyone knows the importance of energy. In recent years, the application of natural gas has gradually increased. Russia is a major natural gas energy country. In recent years, a large part of Europe's natural gas is imported from Russia. Nord Stream No. 1 is a branch line of natural gas pipelines, starting from Vyborg, Russia in the east, passing through Baltic , and the seabed leads to Germany. Overall, it is the main pipeline for Russia to transport gas to Europe.
That means that once the supply is stopped, it will inevitably cause a shortage of natural gas in the European market in the near future, and scarcity is the most expensive. Although Europe's energy has soared several times this year, prices will still rise in the face of the continuous shortage of natural gas supply, which is not a favorable trend for the whole of Europe.
It is obvious that the European people are facing an increase in natural gas and electricity bills, which undoubtedly brings some pressure. There are reports that 20% of British families will have plans to turn off heating in winter to deal with it.
At the same time, the natural gas consumption of European industries and buildings will not be greatly reduced due to insufficient natural gas. For this reason, Europe may be really difficult this winter, and there will even be power restrictions. If the weather is extremely cold, which aggravates the use of natural gas, it may lead to a large-scale insufficient power supply.
can be said to have exacerbated the natural gas shortage in the European market. It is a powerful weapon for Russia to counter Europe and directly interrupted the pace of winter gas storage in Europe.
The German economic community had long been concerned about the problem of insufficient gas supply. Now the direct "dicament" has caused more social concerns. If Russia does not restart Nord Stream 1, then Germany's natural gas supply may collapse first, and the German economy will face a serious recession, and even in a year, it will cause 210% shrinkage of GDPhtml.
And this problem is not only for Germany and the United Kingdom, but also for the entire Europe. It not only makes this winter the most difficult winter, but also makes it difficult for the entire Europe to rely on natural gas. For this reason, the energy crisis problem will surely be a hurdle that cannot be overcome by the European economic recession.
Faced with this problem, I believe that when the G7 made a limit on Russian oil prices, it was expected that Russia would simply stop selling natural gas. Instead, it originally wanted to limit prices, and the possibility of suppressing natural gas prices became zero, and it also promoted the price of natural gas. If the price rises further, it will have a great impact on Europe, which already has a very high inflation level of . Even in the face of the energy crisis, Europe has also looked for new gas supply countries. However, to supply gas, it requires the construction of relevant basic equipment. Within a few years and investment of funds, it cannot be brought down, and the distance cannot quench the near-thirst.
However, Europe does not seem to be panicked at the moment, showing a look of being prepared. Even if Russia really dies, it doesn’t matter. According to analysis, it seems that it is the confidence brought by the storage and energy conservation some time ago under the energy crisis, but this effective effect is only in a short period of time.
In order to stabilize the current short-term energy security, Europe has now restarted coal-fired power, cut trees and burned firewood, and reduced energy consumption. It seems that it is to compete with Russia. It is necessary to limit the price of Russian oil products, and the Russian side has decided not to do so after all, there is no natural gas here, and Russia will also have some impact.
But in fact, if the long term continues, Europe's losses will inevitably be greater than Russia. Russia's current response method not only directly affects the prices of the entire European energy market, but also determines Russia's next move. Such an energy game will continue.
However, in this, the United States has taken a certain advantage. After all, the United States, which has no profit, has been lobbying the G7, obviously has its own little thoughts. You must know that the United States itself is an energy power, so Russia has cut off its energy. Europe always needs to find a place to import energy to stabilize domestic basic demand. However, once the energy price rises, it is impossible to fall back to the early price. In this way, the United States can obtain orders at a high price. It has to be said that this wishful thinking is crackling.
