Regarding the issue of the Russian-Ukrainian war, first of all, there is no suspense about the outcome. Russia wins, Ukraine loses, , the question is only how long Ukraine can last, what method will Russia win, etc. To figure out these issues, let’s first look at the specific military situation between Russia and Ukraine.
public data shows that the number of Ukrainian Army active personnel exceeds 200,000, main battle tanks, 2,300 armored vehicles, 0,000 rocket launchers, and 22,000 rocket launchers. In addition, Ukraine also has hundreds of tactical ballistic missiles. In terms of quantity alone, the Ukrainian Army is also very good internationally. However, when facing Russia, Ukraine was a little bit too little. Ukraine tank and armored vehicles seemed to be in large numbers, but they were basically old people from the Soviet era.
main tank T64 began to serve in the Soviet army as early as the 1960s. This tank can be said to be an epoch-making weapon and equipment of the Soviet Union. It uses 125mm large-caliber tank gun and automatic loader. It weighs only 38 tons. It was equipped with about 13,000 vehicles during the Soviet period. It is also worth mentioning that the later T-72 and T-80 tank were all improved and upgraded based on the T-64, and adopted many advantages of T64.
After the collapse of of the Soviet Union, Ukraine assigned about 2,100 T64 tanks, and there were also many T-72 and T-80. Because the earliest positioning of the T-72 was the export version, its comprehensive performance was even worse than that of the T-64. On the contrary, the weight-enhancing T-80 has more room for combat effectiveness. However, although Ukraine also inherited the related production plants of the T-80 tank, the subsequent production did not keep up. Later, coupled with the weak economy and the loss of talents, Ukraine's dependence on the T64 tank has been very serious so far.
In contrast, in Russia, the number of army personnel is about 420,000, which is twice that of Ukraine. In terms of tanks, the number of main tanks is 12,000, of which more than 5,000 T80 series tanks are. The number of latest T90 also exceeds 3,500. In addition, the types and number of tactical ballistic missiles that Russian Army have are much more than that of Ukraine. If there is a real conflict, Ukraine can withstand an incident of up to three months on the army.
In terms of the Air Force, many people actually have wrong understanding of Ukraine's air force, believing that as the successor to the Soviet Union, Ukraine should inherit a large number of fighter jets and special aircraft. When the Soviet Union just disintegrated, Ukraine's military strength was indeed quite outstanding. It had 19 map 160 strategic bombers , 25 map 95, 115 map 22M, and there were also a large number of other models. However, for various reasons, Ukraine destroyed or sold to Russia. So far, although the total number of fighter jets is still more than 1,000, a large part of them are trainers, and the most advanced Su-27s have only 40.
and Russian Air Force is currently one of the most powerful air forces in the world. fifth-generation fighter Su57 has been in service. Although stealth ability is often criticized, its strike ability is very excellent. In addition, the Russian Air Force also has a large number of Su35, Su30, Su27 and MiG series of fighters. Even in the case of war, Ukraine's electronic warfare aircraft can have an impact on the Russian Air Force, but it cannot make up for the huge gap in quantity. The Air Force only resists the incident for two months at most.
In terms of the navy, it can be said to be the service with the largest gap between Ukraine and Russia. Although in recent years, Western countries have frequently mocked the death of Russian Navy surface ships, no matter how bad the Russian Navy is, it is not something Ukraine can compete with. Ukraine currently has about 30 combat ships, basically all of which are old Soviet warships. The largest displacement is the Krivak Type III frigate produced in the Soviet Union, with a 3,600 tons radius, and the rest are some small boats.
The Russian Navy has four major fleets and a military cluster. Although the only aircraft carrier , the Kuznetsov, is under overhaul in the shipyard, other surface ships are still several times stronger than Ukraine. More importantly, Russia can be said to have the most powerful nuclear submarine force in the world. It is estimated that to deal with all Ukraine's navy, it only takes one North Wind God-class nuclear submarine , to handle it. Therefore, in terms of the navy, Ukraine cannot hold on for a month.
The reason why we want to separate the various military branches is to give you a more intuitive comparison. In real wars, there will definitely be no separate competition. It is often coordinated by sea, land and air. Even if Ukraine has a high morale and strong combat power, it is estimated that it will last for about two months in the end. After all, the gap in equipment is too big. Ukraine naturally understands it too. So although it seems that it is constantly taking action, it has not touched Russia's bottom line, otherwise the consequences are something that Ukraine cannot afford.
