The United States and Iran have recently launched a new round of game. First, Biden ordered the US military to continuously bomb Iranian targets in Syria ; then the Iraqi nuclear negotiations are deadlocked again, and the United States and Iran do not give in to each other on some key issues; at the same time, the situation in Iraq has once again fallen into chaos, and this is recognized as a region with greater influence in Iran.
At a critical moment, Iranian President Lehhi said at an important meeting that he should seek to strengthen cooperation with China in all aspects, while relations with China will not be affected by international environment and other issues. On this basis, Lehi also emphasized the importance of Iran's joining , SCO .
(Iranian President Leh)
As we all know, after the Iran nuclear negotiations restarted at the end of June, the struggle between the United States and Iran has never stopped. Both sides are striving to obtain more favorable conditions for themselves in Iran nuclear agreement . Although the negotiations are coming to an end, the outside world generally expects that the Iran nuclear agreement will be difficult to reach at least in a short period of time.
In fact, even if the United States and Iran re-reach the Iran nuclear agreement, the content of the agreement will likely no longer be extensively relaxed sanctions on Iran like the original agreement.
On the one hand, the United States is afraid of the activity of Iran's Revolutionary Guard Corps in the Middle East. In countries such as Iraq, Syria, and Lebanon, the influence of the Revolutionary Guard Corps is becoming increasingly strong. Therefore, the United States has always insisted on putting the Revolutionary Guard Corps on the list of "terrorist organizations" it has identified and imposed the strictest sanctions on it.
On the other hand, the United States also needs to consider its protection tasks for Israeli . Iran regards Israel as its "mortal enemy", and the officials are not even willing to call Israel "Israel" but call it a "Zionist entity"; while Israel has always been unwilling to see the Iran nuclear agreement reaching and constantly disrupting the situation, spending tens of millions of dollars a year to lobby politicians in the US White House and Congress. The negotiation news released by
currently confirms this. EU previously released news that the new Iran nuclear agreement only allows all non-U.S. companies to trade with Iran, while US companies are still banned; and Iran also agreed not to force them on lifting sanctions on the Revolutionary Guard Corps.
Iran’s concessions on the Iran nuclear agreement are not to show weakness, but Iran is very clear that even if the Iran nuclear agreement is signed with the Biden administration, Once Trump comes to power in 2024, it is likely that the agreement will be abolished again. Therefore, it is better to reach an agreement with the United States when the United States is facing a midterm election and Biden urgently needs political achievements to sell its own oil at a high price.
In addition, it is worth noting that Lehi's speech actually contains other meanings, that is, Iran is ready to not have an Iran nuclear agreement. One of the ways is to strengthen cooperation with China, "look east" with the Putin government, and join multilateral international organizations such as SCO , BRICS , etc. with China and Russia participating. In this way, even if the United States tore up the Iran nuclear agreement and re-sanctions against Iran, Iran will not be affected as severely as before.
Further, if Iran wants to truly emerge from the shadow of US sanctions, the best way is to work hard to develop the economy and strengthen its own strength so that the United States dare not easily wield the sanctions stick. On this road, China has undoubtedly the richest experience and cooperation with China is also the most promising. Iran's energy and resources can fully complement China's capital, technology and market. Iran needs to be clearer. It is easy to make money by energy. Although it is easy to take the development route of the Gulf country , under the hegemony of the US dollar, this path is destined to be restricted by the United States forever.
Of course, while developing the economy, Iran also needs to improve its military strength. Although Iran's current military strength is among the best in the Middle East, if we want to safely maintain the interests of , Middle East, under the dual military pressure of the United States or Israel, we may still need to continue to work hard.
. Among them, the SCO, which intends to strengthen its military attributes, can obviously play an important role.If nothing unexpected happens, Iran will become a formal member of the SCO next year. The outside world can wait and see what kind of military cooperation Iran will have with China and Russia in the future. This is also the main reason why the Iranian president wants to emphasize the importance of joining the SCO, and the Iranian official statement more than once, hoping to strengthen Sino-Iran military cooperation.
(Iranian Air Force F-14 fighter)
US geopolitical master Brzezinski once predicted that only when China, Russia and Iran came together will the US's global hegemony begin to shake. And we all know that strengthening cooperation between China, Russia and Iran is the general trend. If we look at this point in view of the current situation, in fact, joining forces to resist risks and respond to challenges is also one of the driving forces for the continuous improvement of the three-country relations. So who created such a geopolitical environment full of crisis? Everyone must know what they think.
