A netizen asked me, Jingjing, you said, a special politician like Shinzo Abe suddenly died, how should Japan give him a funeral? What specifications are appropriate?
Let’s first look at the wishes of Abe family members, their first choice is a small-scale private funeral. Moreover, Abe is not the current prime minister, and such a small-scale funeral should be the most suitable. Therefore, on July 12, Abe's family and the Japanese government had held a small funeral for Abe according to the original plan.
But according to Jingjing's understanding, the Japanese government has now repented this, and said that it would hold a "state funeral" for Abe this fall .
This means that Abe will be "sent" away again, and Ansheng will not be allowed to die.
What exactly is the "state funeral"?
I first look for information and check what exactly is considered a "state funeral"?
The so-called state funeral is a funeral held in the name of the country for people with special meritorious deeds, representing a sovereign state's high respect for the deceased.
So From the perspective of "contribution", Abe does meet the standards of "state funeral" in Japan . In 1926, Japan also introduced a "State Funeral Order", which stipulates that in addition to core royal members such as the Emperor and his wife, non-royal members who have made great contributions to the country can also enjoy state funeral treatment, rather than only the current prime minister. For example, famous generals who have changed Japan's national destiny can also enjoy state funerals.
But the problem is that The "National Funeral Order" was abolished after World War II . So until today, the matter of state funeral has actually been in a state of unclear and no rules and regulations to follow in Japan. Whether you are willing to hold it depends entirely on whether the Japanese government on duty has the determination.
Moreover, the parties involved in this determination have considered more.
So in fact, one day after Abe was assassinated, Kishida Fumio government considered whether to hold a state funeral for Abe, but after thinking about it again and again, chose to give up .
Jingjing believes that this is mainly because Japan has enjoyed state funeral treatment after the war, but there are only 5 people in , all of which have made indisputable and huge contributions to Japan. However, the outside world's evaluation of Abe during his tenure is that is too polarized .
So once Kishida holds a state funeral, it is actually equivalent to making a final conclusion for Abe: these policies during Abe's tenure are good and are contributing to Japan.
But if anyone expresses dissatisfaction with this, then Kishida Fumio must be the one who took the blame for Abe. After thinking about it, in this international situation is becoming increasingly tense and Japan is also an era of various contradictions. Fumio Kishida is obviously unwilling to take this risk.
However, just as Abe's private funeral was already held and everyone began to prepare to forget Abe, on the 14th local time, the Kishida government suddenly announced that it had decided to hold a state funeral for him this fall.
The superficial and deep reasons why the Kishida government suddenly wanted to "state funeral" Abe
According to the Kishida government's own statement, we can roughly see three reasons:
First, Abe made outstanding contributions in domestic and foreign affairs.
Whether it is the Japanese economic revival after the "311" Japan earthquake in 2011, or the consolidation of Japan's highest national strategy centered on the US-Japan alliance, or the introduction of new diplomatic thinking such as "Overl Globe Diplomacy", " Active Pacifism ", and "Free and Open Indo-Pacific", Abe has indeed made many achievements in all aspects of Japan's internal and diplomacy over the past decade, and is worthy of state funeral.
Second, Abe is currently the prime minister in Japan who has served the longest time .
According to statistics, Abe served as minister twice in 2006 and 2012, and officially stepped down as of September 16, 2020. He served for a total of 3,208 days, surpassing Prime Minister Kitaro in the early 20th century, becoming the longest-reigning prime minister in Japan's history.
Although it can get a state funeral after being in power for the longest time, which may sound a bit funny at first glance, in Japan, where the Prime Minister changes almost every year, such a long time in office represents the widespread recognition of the people and congressional politicians, which is a rare political stability situation. It is indeed worth remembering the passing of this stable era with a state funeral.
Third, in this way, express the idea of defending democracy and not bowing to violence.
Everyone has noticed that Abe, the number one big boss in Japanese politics, was killed while giving a political speech on the street. In Japan, this kind of politician personally went to the streets and alleys to give political speeches is a tradition that began in the Taisho era and is regarded by the Japanese as the biggest symbol of Japanese democracy and Japanese peace.
In history, it is not new to the assassination of a senior Japanese politician, but Abe was assassinated in a street speech this time. So if the Japanese government does not "express" this, it is probably to make Japanese citizens question whether Japan will have political freedom of elections in the future and whether Japan's streets are safe.
I wonder what everyone thinks about the above three reasons. After listening to it, Jingjing felt that it was obviously a kind of "superscript".
Jingjing can almost be identified. Fumio Kishida's sudden remorse was actually because he planned to take the opportunity to seize power .
Fumio Kishida successfully took office and his political ambitions
The reason why I think so is to share with you two basic backgrounds.
One, what is Abe's current status in Japanese politics?
Although Abe did resign as prime minister in August 2020, Abe still retains his identity as a member of the Liberal Democratic Party and remains a member of the House of Representatives. By November 11, 2021, Abe even rejoined the Hokuda faction, the largest faction in the Liberal Democratic Party, as president, and the Hokuda faction was renamed the Abe faction.
In other words, Abe was actually Japan's number one political tycoon, and his status and influence far surpassed Prime Minister Fumio Kishida.
Second, how did Fumio Kishida come to power?
Everyone knows that Abe resigned because of the so-called stomach disease , but a mere stomach disease, as for Abe giving up the throne of prime minister so easily?
To put it bluntly, Abe actually took the position of prime minister for so long, regressed to advance, and used his abdication to exchange for support from other bigwigs in the party for his constitutional amendment.
But the problem is that Abe wants to strive for is not one but several factions. After Abe gave up the position of prime minister, who will sit in this position will become a big problem .
So after thinking about it, everyone came up with a compromise: Abe is not going to promote constitutional revision? Well, let us not compete for the position of Prime Minister in the next few years, let a third-party faction with some ability but relatively weak come to this position, and first get the constitutional amendment done. After that, it is not too late for all the big guys to compete for the position of Prime Minister.
And this "lucky man" who was selected under the compromise between the big bosses from all walks of life is Fumio Kishida, who has been a technical bureaucrat for a long time and is basically an orphan in the Liberal Democratic Party.
But there is no doubt that those who are qualified to sit on the throne of prime minister are somewhat politically ambitious. After sitting on the throne of prime minister as a "Abe puppet", it is obviously impossible to say that Kishida Fumio does not want to break free from Abe's shackles and become a real "above ten thousand people".
Jingjing noticed that according to the original plan, Fumio Kishida will undergo a major change of his cabinet from the end of August to the beginning of September.Many Japanese political analysts have speculated that Kisha will kick Abe's younger brother and confidant Kishi Nobuo from the throne of the Minister of Defense , Takashima Saemi , this Liberal Democratic Party Government Investigation President and Abe's loyal fan may also be replaced by .
But now Abe's death is so complicated.
Because is the first, other bigwigs in the party must be prepared to seize power .
As mentioned earlier, Fumio Kishida came to power was the product of Abe's compromise with all the big guys. Now that Abe's death is gone, the agreement no longer takes effect, so the big guys of all the big guys will certainly rely on their ability to seize the throne of prime minister;
Second, the Abe faction has since lost its leader .
Abe's biggest regret in politics is that he has never been able to cultivate a successor who can take on important tasks. Now that he died unexpectedly, the Abe faction has fallen apart under the leadership of the leader;
Third, Kishi Nobuo won the support of the United States .
On July 9, US Defense Secretary Austin specially called Nobuo Kishi, whistleblowing Shinzo Abe to push the U.S.-Japan alliance to a new height, leaving a legacy for a safer, stable and prosperous region. Kishi Nobuo took the opportunity to announce that he would inherit his brother's will and strengthen the Japan-US alliance.
The reason why the United States made this call was obviously because it was worried that Abe's death would make Japan unwilling to continue to contribute to the United States' core affairs such as anti-China. However, for the other side of the Taiwan Strait, this was obviously a great opportunity to express its loyalty to the United States and thus win the political support of the United States.
So in this case, does Kishida Fumio still plan to completely kick off the Abe faction?
Jingjing can only draw the following conclusion: At this time, Fumio Kishida must embrace each other with the Abe faction, and use the leaderless Abe faction and the power of the United States to fight against other bigwigs in the party. If he can take the opportunity to become the new leader of the Abe faction, it would be even better.
Thinking of this, Kita personally wore mourning clothes and gave Abe a "scenic funeral". It is not only reasonable, but also very necessary. .
However, among these politicians who only want to use Abe, is there anyone who is truly sad and crying for Abe's death? Jingjing believes that there is really, that is Suga Yoshihide .
Abe's confidant - Suga Yoshihide has become the saddest person
Speaking of Suga Yoshihide, the first thing Chinese people think of is the thin old man holding the " Rein and " brand in his hand, and there is no more impression. But Yoshihide Suga is a well-known veteran politician in Japan.
Suga Yoshihide was born in 1948 in Akita Prefecture, Japan. Unlike Abe, a son of a political family, Suga Yoshihide's father is just a farmer who grows strawberry . Suga Yoshihide was admitted to the Law Department of Japan's Law and Political University entirely through his own efforts.
After graduating from university, Suga Yoshihide, who had no background, had to work as a wiring worker in the factory. It was not until 1975, under the recommendation of a university teacher, that he was favored by then-Sabashiro Kozunagi as his secretary, and thus he was lucky to knock on the door of Japanese politics.
But as for why he fell in love with Yoshihide Suga, the later answer by Ms. Kozuki was, "Look at this person, this person is very honest."
Yes, this is the secret to Suga Yoshihide's success step by step in Japanese politics in the future: be honest, abide by the rules, and deserve the peace of mind of the big guys.
This positioning is most suitable for ambitious people like Shinzo Abe. Suga Yoshihide is like a brother who is 6 years older than Abe. He can diligently assist his younger brother in achieving his dreams without having to worry about being stabbed in the back.
So when the first cabinet was formed in 2007, Shinzo Abe took a fancy to Yoshihide Suga as his minister of general affairs. In 2012, Abe made a prime minister for the second time and invited Suga Yoshihide to be his chief cabinet secretary, that is, the chief executive of the cabinet .
This is not over yet. Jingjing has already said before that Abe's resignation in September 2020 was the result of mutual compromise with the party's tycoons, but the Liberal Democratic Party election will not be held until September 2021. Therefore, in just one year, someone must stand the last shift for Abe.
There is no doubt that Suga Yoshihide is the candidate who reassures Shinzo Abe the most.
So this is what Jingjing feels most. We may be able to say that politicians use each other and there will be no emotions outside of politics. But if a farmer's son can sit on the throne of Japanese Prime Minister, Suga Yoshihide will definitely feel truly grateful to Abe.
Just recently, Suga Yoshihide said in an interview with Japanese media that after hearing the incident, he immediately canceled his trip to Okinawa for election and went to the Nara Medical University Hospital where Abe is. Unfortunately, when he rushed to the scene, Abe had passed away and had no chance to meet Abe for the last time.
During the interview, Suga Yoshihide even said bluntly, "I'm afraid there's a matter of time. I want to breathe the same air as him." Then he looked sad and choked up several times, which made the host couldn't help crying.
So is Suga Yoshihide crying for his future political destiny? Actually, there is no need to think so. Because Suga Yoshihide is now 74 years old, no matter whether Abe is present or not, or how Kishida Fumio fights with all the bigwigs in the party in the future, he is destined to withdraw from the political stage.
Jingjing believes that such a person who has no political interests can truly come from the heart by speaking and doing things. No matter how people comment on Abe's merits and demerits, it is a blessing for Abe to meet such a true friend.
The death of Abe, the Taiwanese independence elements were full of ugly things
Abe's death brought out all kinds of Japanese politicians and all living beings. In the south of Japan, Taiwan Island , the Taiwanese independence elements should take this opportunity to show their filial piety to their "godfather". But what is funny is that this filial piety exhibition that took place on the 11th has become an ugly " Hundred Ghosts line" with Taiwanese independence elements.
Here Jingjing first introduces an organization "Japan Taiwan Exchange Association" that is quite unfamiliar to Chinese people.
972, China and Japan achieved normalization of diplomatic relations. In this case, the Japanese government must completely cut off its political ties with Taiwan. But at this time, the Japanese were cautious and established a "public welfare consortium legal person exchange association" in Taipei on December 1 of that year, which was similar to my country's "public welfare institution" to handle transactions between Japan and Taiwan in an unofficial capacity.
Until 2017, against the backdrop of the rising voices of "pro-Taiwan and anti-China" in Japan, the "Public Welfare Consortium Legal Person Exchange Association" was renamed "Japan Taiwan Exchange Association", marking the first time that Japan's gray relationship with Taiwan was officially officially brought to the table by Japanese officials. The source of all this was the second time that Shinzo Abe made a film in 2012 with the Diaoyu Islands incident and began to lead Japan to take the initiative to confront China. So now that Abe's death is like a loss of his parents, he worked hard to make wreaths overnight and opened a mourning hall for Taiwanese people to go to pay their respects.
Japanese people do this, of course they want to take the opportunity to make trouble, but nothing unexpected is that the Taiwanese who are truly the most active in this regard belongs to the DPP’s senior officials in Taiwan independence.
As for the reason, Jingjing doesn't need to say it clearly. Everyone has long guessed that since he is a Taiwanese independence element and Abe is the "godfather" of Taiwan independence, he will not perform a tragic performance at this time, take the opportunity to win over the attention of the Japanese side and earn a wave of favor from the Taiwanese green camp people. Then it really doesn't mean that he is engaged in Taiwan independence.
But Jingjing found that this "demon dance" performance exposed the embarrassing face of these DPP's backbone members of the Taiwan independence of the DPP.
For example, Chen Shizhong, the head of the Taiwan health department, wanted to write "We will always be grateful" when leaving a message on the event, but suddenly forgot how to write the word "save". He was confused while modifying it, and asked the staff for help, and then practiced on the note paper next to it. Until the end, because it was difficult to correct the typo, I had to take a piece of white paper and write it again.
There are also Su Zhenchang, the head of the Taiwan administrative department, who was even criticized by the mainland, who has been vigorously advocated de-Sinicization on the island and cannot write simplified Chinese characters like the mainland. But when leaving a message, he suddenly wrote the "wan " of "Taiwan wan " into a simplified "Bay", which caused ridicule on the Internet: "You Su Zhenchang also know that simplified Chinese characters are good, right?"
Jingjing could only sigh at this. Now that people who are engaged in Taiwan's Taiwan independence are really inferior to those of the previous generation. Chen Shui-bian was at least the number one in the Department of Business Administration and Law of National Taiwan University. Now, who took over Taiwan independence, can't even write Chinese characters?
We are thinking too much about what kind of waves these people can make.
But Jingjing couldn't help but think of another possibility. What if these Taiwanese independence backbones wrote the wrong words because they were really sad and panic about Abe's death?
Everyone thinks, Abe clearly supports Taiwan independence and is the "godfather" of Taiwan independence, but the current Prime Minister Fumio Kishida is far less capable than Abe. After Abe's death, he could only focus on constitutional amendment and power battles with various Liberal Democratic Party bosses.
Of course, whether it is constitutional amendment or palace struggle, the Taiwan issue will definitely be used. At first glance, it will make Taiwan independence a popular place in the future Japanese politics. But what about it? Obviously, whether it is constitutional amendment or power seizure, the Taiwan issue of is only an external factor that can be exploited at most, not a core factor.
In other words, politicians like Abe who dares and has the ability to clearly support Taiwan independence will be almost impossible in Japanese politics in the next few years. The possibility of Taiwan being marginalized or even abandoned by Japan is not much lower.
When I think of this, the Taiwanese independence elements are of course anxious, and this anxiousness is of course sweating on their foreheads and forgetting how to write Chinese characters.
But Jingjing thinks that no matter how anxious Taiwan independence elements are, what can they be? The mainland has long taken the initiative in the Taiwan issue, and with Abe's death, most of the Japanese government's past political commitments to Taiwan independence were also put into the coffin.
From now on, if Taiwan independence wants to cause any storm, it has to go to Japan to start from scratch. But can this kind of thing that requires extremely high IQ and EQ, be able to do this group of monsters and monsters who can even write Chinese characters incorrectly?
The future of Taiwan independence, Jingjing couldn't help but want to sympathize with her for three seconds.
