(This article is compiled by the public account Yuesheng Intelligence (ystz927)) for reference only and does not constitute operational advice. If you operate by yourself, please pay attention to position control and take risks at your own risk. )
Dragon and Tiger List Stock Selection Method
Historically, big bull stocks and monster stocks basically started to have Dragon and Tiger List data from the first and second boards, so many people like to look at the Dragon and Tiger List data and follow the Dragon Tiger List. It is indeed easy to catch big bull stocks through the trading operation of Tiger List data, but do you really know how to read the Dragon and Tiger List data? Most people just believe in seats and follow famous seat operations. The result is various losses, and they just go in to take over the funds. This article will give you a comprehensive explanation of how to read the data of the Dragon and Tiger List. Please prepare pen and paper for the high energy ahead.
Dragon and Tiger List, as one of the basis for quantitative analysis in stock market investment, has very important significance in practical application. Mastering the basic knowledge of the Dragon and Tiger List, understanding the Dragon and Tiger List, and looking for individual stocks with the potential to continue to rise from the Dragon and Tiger List are of great significance to our actual operations. Today’s stock price limit will be discussed with reference to how to choose stocks from the Dragon and Tiger list.
The Dragon and Tiger List is one of the must-read contents for many technical people every day. By mastering the information behind the Dragon and Tiger List, you can quickly search for stocks with rising potential. Today, based on my practical experience, will teach you how to screen rising opportunities from the dragon and tiger list.
1. The true meaning of the Dragon and Tiger List
Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchange regulations: After the closing of each day, the top three and top five stocks with abnormal transactions/fluctuations on the day will be disclosed. The top five buying and selling transactions (seats) information .
Dragon and Tiger List Fund Game
1, Total Fund Analysis
Comparison of the total funds of buyers and sellers' seats: If the total amount of funds for buying seats > the total amount of funds for seller's seats, it means that more funds have been collected, and the probability of the market outlook continuing to rise is high; if buying The total amount of seat funds <>
[Case 1]: Guofeng Plastic Industry Starting from February 12, 2019, the Dragon Tiger List realized multi-day net buying of funds
Guofeng Plastic Industry went out of the ten daily limit in the short term
[Case 2]: Derivative Technology 20 In early April 2019, the funds that continued to be on the list continued to sell net
Fund structure analysis
Buy one sell one analysis:
When judging an increase, buying one seat is significantly greater than selling one seat; when judging a decline, selling one seat is significantly greater than buying One seat. At the same time, the main attacking seats should not be too different, otherwise it will easily lead to a dominant player, creating a potential disruptive force.
Daily Interactive On April 18, the situation of buying one dominant appeared, and the subsequent trend obviously began to weaken. After the twin heads appeared again, the decline accelerated.
However, there are exceptions. If a dominant company appears, but the subject matter on the list is in line with the current market hot spots, it will also drive funds to follow. This is a phenomenon only seen in bull markets and is relatively rare.
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Specific cases of catching strong stocks
1. Breaking through an important pressure area. After an important pressure area or pattern is broken through, we think that this stock may become a strong stock. Of course, the false breakthrough here depends on experience and mentality. Process
2. When the stock price rises, the trading volume below will increase moderately. When the stock price falls, the trading volume below will shrink. If this happens, it means that there is large capital involved in this stock. Because it is impossible to increase the volume in a downward wash, how can it be possible to wash more and more?
3. How does the Dow Theory define an upward trend? The highs are constantly making new highs, and the lows are higher than the previous lows. This is to use trends to find strong stocks. If you find that this stock is going up and down, it’s so confusing! Just don’t do it if you don’t think it’s good. There is always one of the more than 3,000 stocks that you can understand.
4. A strong stock must have a large retracement during its rise, otherwise it will be difficult to rise higher. The main force must have a high degree of control over the market. Generally, the magnitude of this retracement is about 30% of the previous rising range. -50%, and then the price will be consolidated after receiving support at a certain place, forming a pattern, and then breaking through.
5. This stock wants to hit a new high. Chasing the rise and killing the fall is a very good speculative thinking on Wall Street, but here, entering the market at a new high is regarded as taking over. I don’t know what the theory is. Such leading strong stocks will all hit new highs, and once a trend is formed, they will continue to hit new highs.
6. Relay finishing pattern is generally the last wave of adjustments made by strong stocks before a rapid rise. Common finishing patterns include cup-shaped with handle, pennant, ascending triangle, trumpet, etc.
After you have identified these six conditions, you are waiting to enter the market. A K-line breaks through the closing price at a high level, and the trading volume below is enlarged. At this time, you can enter the market. After hearing this, someone said, it’s so simple. All understood. This goes back to the question I mentioned before. There are many places in the specific operation that will be more complicated. This requires you to accumulate experience yourself, because I want to tell you 100% of the things, but I can’t do it. In fact, There will be many complicated situations in the market that I can't explain at once. But what I can tell you is that the core of dealing with complex problems is mentality, so the most important thing is to be a spiritual trader.
Stock trading is chasing the board. What kind of daily limit board can be chased?
The first type: the strong will always be strong and the strong will be stronger.
After the stock has been sideways for a long time, the market makers have finished buying the stocks at low prices and will finally start the main rise. Digging a hole, once the digging is over, a main rise wave will start with a large increase. It is found that once the daily limit board breaks through the strong sideways area, this kind of stock can make a big increase. Dare to chase the rise, because the main rise is still in the early stage, and the risk of chasing the board is relatively small;
The second type: the continuous board of demon stocks
In every wave of rise in the stock market, there are demon stocks appearing, and only demon stocks often appear They are all very vindictive, and many of them are pulling up even with the board. This kind of board can also be chased. After all, even if the demon board reaches the top, it will not be suppressed immediately, but will move sideways at a high level, giving retail investors enough time to gain profits. Profits are eliminated:
The third type: the market of leading stocks with hot topics can be chased
The leading stocks with hot topics are currently attracted by a lot of funds, and hot money from all walks of life will strike while the iron is hot. For hot spots, the leading stocks will further speculate to make profits; often The sustainability of leading stocks with hot topics is relatively strong, and they are not those stocks with one-day tour themes, so leading stocks can be pursued boldly;
The fourth type: The stock is oversold The chain after
The stock is oversold after the chain is proof that very large funds have begun to enter the market to buy the bottom . It must be a powerful fund controlling the market to pull up, otherwise it will not go out of the super market. For downtrends; but for oversolds, it is necessary to distinguish between daily limit boards that cannot be driven up by explosive volume. They must be moderately heavy and moderately heavy. This kind of board can be pursued boldly.
The essence of stock trading as a trader:
1. Trend is more important than valuation. Don’t buy the bottom when it plummets, and don’t get off when it rises
Because the purpose of investment is to make more money, not to lose less. Don't miss a strong trend just because you pursue low valuations. What's more, you can't hold low-valued products during a sharp decline and mistakenly think you are resistant to the fall. Every time there is a sharp drop, don’t rush to buy the bottom. Although the plunge has led to an instant drop in stock valuations, a plunge often means the beginning of a long-term downward trend, and Davis's double kill will follow. If the price rises sharply, don’t be in a hurry to get out of the car. A real rebound requires patience. The time dimension is more important than the spatial amplitude.
2. Direction is more important than amplitude
If a stock has a high probability of rising, don't dwell too much on the amplitude. Regardless of the increase or decrease,
will exceed our expectations, especially the decrease. Don't think that the fundamentals seem to be good just because the decrease is not large.
3. The total market value is the space and boundary of the stock.
The total market value represents the company's room for growth.The first reason to be optimistic about a company is because of its total market capitalization, that is, how much business the company can do. If the company's total market value is dozens or even hundreds of times, don't dwell on static PE valuations. However, what a good thing, there is also a total market value constraint. For example: When $ CRRC (01766)$ exceeded the total market value of Boeing aircraft, the bubble burst quickly.
4. Do not make swings when rising, and cut off the flesh without waiting for rebound.
Making swings during the rising process often results in the loss of good chips, which are difficult to recover. That once good stock will leave you behind in a flash.
If the market is in a downward trend, you can't do swings and wait for a rebound before cutting the meat. The general trading psychology is always dissatisfied with the magnitude of the rebound, thus further deepening the trap.
5. The best way to get out of the trap is to look for another opportunity.
Stock opportunities are opportunities for company development. There are both short-term and long-term judgments. If a stock keeps falling after buying it, it is usually because our initial judgment was wrong. Since you are wrong, you must be brave enough to admit your mistake and look for other opportunities calmly.
6. Only by never forgetting your original intention can you always
choose stocks based on hot topics or themes, and only choose those with high flexibility, not safe ones. You must remember the reason for buying, and sell when you cash out. Stock trading is not falling in love.
7. Be wary of tail risk hedging
After any trend forms a consensus, you must be in awe. No matter how good a company is, there are risks when the periodic increase is too large and the total market value exceeds the operating pace too much.
8. Don’t be the enemy of the trend.
Emotions drive transactions. Don’t resist the trend from the perspective of value investment. Trends are trading behaviors that are no longer than three months, and value investing is based on investment behaviors that are more than two years old. Trend reversals are also ruthless.
9. Certain profits are always more important than uncertain ones.
10. Don’t buy the bottom when it falls. In the bear market, you must put an end to buying the bottom.
After leeks are cut once, it takes time to grow new leeks. Bear markets are rarely shorter than nine months.
11. Investment must be sensitive: desire for opportunities
There are always arbitrage opportunities in the market. No matter how bad the market is, don't be discouraged. A good fund manager is keen to capture mismatches in the market at any time.
12. Don’t take advantage of the fire. Although there are good companies and there are no good stocks in the decline.
Making money by stock trading is a probabilistic behavior. You have to do things with high probability. Don't do things that take advantage of the fire. If the overall trend is down, don't think that your stocks will not be sold for a long time. Everyone thinks that their stocks are good. Stock trading is just about picking fruits. If you can pick them, you have to leave. If you can't pick them, you have to leave.
13. Control your emotions. Never think that the market is wrong. If you lose money, you are wrong. If you make money, you are right.
Statement: This content is provided by Yuesheng Intelligence. It does not mean that Investment Express endorses its investment views.
