On the 10th, the Democratic Progressive Party confirmed that it would recruit "Minister of Health and Welfare" Chen Shizhong to run for mayor of Taipei. He will face off against the Chinese Kuomintang "legislator" Chiang Wanan and the current deputy mayor Huang Shanshan, who has no party membership but is supported by the Taiwan People's Party. The top three are blue, green and white. Ding Li's selection is finalized. Taking a comprehensive look at the situation, even though Chen Shizhong is considered to have accumulated a lot of hatred due to his inappropriate handling of the new coronavirus epidemic in the past, the full support of the Green Camp will definitely call for Taipei City's basic market to return to its original position.
According to the Hong Kong China Review Network, since it is difficult to win away votes from the green camp, Huang Shanshan’s electoral momentum must be maintained. She can only work harder to attract blue camp votes. This will greatly threaten Jiang Wanan’s vote. If so, The fundamentals are unstable and the two are fighting, which may benefit Chen Shizhong. It is still a big crisis that Jiang Wanan needs to deal with.
Judging from the blue camp’s past vote base, in the two Taipei mayoral elections in 2014 and 2018, the KMT candidates Lian Shengwen and Ding Shouzhong both received approximately 40% of the votes. If Chiang Wanan can stabilize his basic base, his vote share is expected to increase from 40%. However, the biggest variable this time is that Huang Shanshan has a blue background and is supported by the Taiwan People's Party to which Ko Wenzhe belongs. She is expected to win young and middle votes. Gained something.
Judging from Ke Wenzhe's 41.1% vote in 2018, the same three-legged alliance of blue, green and white was adopted. At that time, Yao Wenzhi of the Democratic Progressive Party was abandoned and only received 17.3% of the vote. Some green camp supporters turned to vote for Ke Wenzhe. Of course Huang Shanshan wants to copy this winning pattern this time, but this time the target is to create the atmosphere that the blue camp abandons Jiang Wanan and switches to her to prevent the green camp from taking away the atmosphere of Taipei City.
The Democratic Progressive Party estimates that there is still 35% to 38% of the base in Taipei City. After Chen Shizhong was confirmed to be nominated, with the full support of the entire party, and through the Internet, media and public opinion manipulation, the destructive power of poor epidemic prevention is expected to be eliminated. At the lowest level, the popularity he has accumulated over the past two years of hosting epidemic press conferences every day is still his biggest advantage. Therefore, in terms of overall evaluation, he is still the strongest candidate for Green Camp in Taipei.
It is also reported that in the nine-in-one county and city chief elections, whether the Kuomintang can regain Taipei and Taoyuan, the two "directly governed municipalities", has attracted much attention. Kuomintang central judge Liu Donglong analyzed to the Hong Kong China Review News that the Kuomintang's Taipei mayoral candidate Chiang Wanan and Taoyuan mayoral candidate Zhang Shanzheng are not tough enough and are not suitable for the current election, but fortunately, both Beitao are bluer than green. As long as they don't make outrageous mistakes, both of them should be able to pass.
Liu Donglong mentioned that although Jiang Wanan and Zhang Shanzheng are both good candidates, it should be noted that from the perspective of modern elections, Jiang Wanan and Zhang Shanzheng are not tough enough. Both of them still belong to the "gentle, respectful, frugal and yielding" type. , In fact, in the face of the current troubled times, we should look for "fighting chickens", such as the Kuomintang's Tainan mayor candidate Hsieh Long-jie, and the former Kaohsiung mayor of the Kuomintang Han Guoyu, they feel a bit like this. This is suitable for today's election.
Liu Donglong said that he is also very confident in Chiang Wanan's situation. The KMT lost in Taipei in the past mostly because of division and disunity. Ke Wenzhe was elected because the KMT was not united. As long as the KMT is united and not divided, there will be no problem in Taipei. (Xue Yang/Editor)
