Text | Liu Fufeng Studio Sun Yuliang
Recently, regarding the issue of when the conflict between Russia and Ukraine will end, Russia and Ukraine are at odds again. According to Global Network , Ukrainian President Zelensky attended the G7 Summit in Germany via video link on June 27, local time, and expressed that he hoped that the Russia-Ukraine conflict would end before the start of this winter. Zelensky spoke optimistically, not knowing what form his so-called "end" would take. According to his previous statement, Ukraine achieved complete victory. At least Ukraine must enter a counterattack and return to the state before February 24. Therefore, Zelensky asked the G7 to provide comprehensive assistance to Ukraine to achieve the vision of a ceasefire before this winter.
Does anyone in the world recognize Zelensky’s vision prediction? Not only Russia, but also the Group of Seven countries involved in the conflict between Russia and Ukraine are not so optimistic. Russian Presidential Press Secretary Peskov gave a tough answer. If the Ukrainian army lays down its weapons, the fighting may stop within a day. For Russia, this "special military operation" has no timetable until it achieves its strategic goals. In the current situation of the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, Russia has taken the initiative. After the victory in Mariupol, it has made significant progress in Severonetsk. The Ukrainian army has now basically withdrawn, and the Russian army has identified its next target. The Ukrainian army did not launch a counterattack as previously envisioned. On the contrary, it was retreating steadily. The European countries that supported Ukraine fell into "fatigue" to varying degrees and urgently needed to end this war.
A slap in the face cannot make a difference. Now Russia has taken the strategic initiative and is pushing forward with no intention of ceasefire. It is almost impossible for Ukraine to "boast" and want a ceasefire before winter. This is like an earthquake. The collision between plates cannot be terminated without reaching a balance of forces. The Russia-Ukraine conflict is a geopolitical collision between the US-led NATO and Russia. It is impossible to cease fire without a winner or loser. This is pessimistic, but a cruel reality. There is no turning back when the bow is fired. The battle has reached this point, and both sides are unable to dismount. Russia is known as the " fighting nation ". What it is best at is fighting to the death and will not give up until the goal is achieved, no matter the cost. The Ukrainian nation is not something to be trifled with. It was originally part of the Soviet Union and can be said to be a "fighting nation." Zelensky is now packaged by the West as a pre-war president and national hero who "defended the homeland and the country." He has no steps. Can be withdrawn. Both Russia and Ukraine need to prove themselves by "victory", but there is only one winner, which is destined to continue the battle.
What kind of strategic goal does Russia want to achieve? The smallest goal is to win over the entire Luhansk and Donetsk regions, that is, to help the entire Donbass region achieve complete independence. To put it more broadly, it is uncertain. If no country or international organization mediates this conflict, the conflict may continue until one party completely surrenders. Moreover, it is possible that this conflict may evolve into a world war of and . Lithuania, one of the current NATO member states, has decided to extend the state of emergency until September 15. The country has declared a national state of emergency since the Russia-Ukraine conflict began on February 24, and has repeatedly extended this state. Recently, the country has expressed concern about Russia. The enclave Kaliningrad implemented a transportation blockade, further intensifying the conflict between Russia and Lithuania. Lithuania claims that it is a member of NATO, but Russia does not dare to do anything to it. This is taking advantage of NATO's prestige and blatantly provoking Russia. I have to say that Lithuania is too ignorant. The United States just wants to "weaken" Russia through a proxy war so that Russia loses the ability to challenge the United States. It has no intention of risking its life with Russia. You, Lithuania, are looking for trouble and forcing the "boss" of the United States to have a showdown with Russia. If this continues, you will be criticized by the "boss". This is a bit over the top.
The conflict between Russia and Ukraine has changed the world, tearing apart many hypocritical faces and rearranging the political forces of the entire world.Some countries and regions choose to follow the United States closely and cling to the thigh of the United States, such as Japan, Australia, the United Kingdom, and the Taiwan region of China; some countries have their feet in two boats, trying to wait for the price and strive for the greatest interests for their own countries. , for example, India is not only a member of the "Quadrilateral Security Dialogue" mechanism between the United States, Japan, Australia and India, but also an important member of the BRIC countries; other countries are moving closer to China and Russia, cheering for China and Russia to challenge US hegemony, such as Argentina and Iran have applied to join the BRIC countries. If Argentina and Iran join the BRICS, the new "G7" will become an economy that keeps pace with the old "G7". The two "" "G7" will become a competitive force on the world economic stage and open up a new international pattern.
I have a hunch that the final end of the Russia-Ukraine conflict, when both Russia and the United States are in a difficult situation, is likely to be settled by China. Now Turkey neither side is offended, trying to play the role of mediating the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, but Turkey's weight may not be enough. Other European countries are involved, and the proposed plan is difficult to say is fair and just, and is recognized by Russia and Ukraine. China is a peace-loving country that remains "neutral" in the Russia-Ukraine conflict. China is the most qualified and responsible to play the role of mediator and find a breakthrough for the ceasefire between the two sides. But now is obviously not the time, because the ground in Ukraine is still shaking, and no one can listen. If we want to achieve a ceasefire, we should wait until both sides calm down.
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