In this international commentary, Uncle Mu analyzes the latest developments in the Russia-Ukraine war.
After the war entered its fifth month, Russia has made more military gains than before, taking over many large cities in the Donbass region, and is advancing towards the military goal of completely occupying the entire Donbass region.
So are and Ukraine’s destined to be helpless in the Udong region? the answer is negative.
In the past few days from July 7th to 9th, at least three new developments emerged in the Russia-Ukraine war. These all indicate that Russia and Ukraine are preparing for a new war. The outcome of the war will affect the situation in eastern Ukraine. It may even have an impact on the situation in Ukraine as a whole.
In other words, the turning point may be getting closer.
1) The first sign is that the weapons provided by the Americans to Ukraine are becoming more and more powerful, and they are still being provided.
U.S. officials have announced that they will give Ukraine more Highly Mobility Multiple Launch Rocket Systems, or HIMARS for short. This weapon represents a nightmare for the Russian military.
The reason is that the targets hit by the missiles launched by the Ukrainian army through Hymas go far deep into the Russian-occupied areas. Russian ground weapons cannot hit Himas at all.
In the words of a U.S. official, with the help of Hymas, Ukraine has now successfully struck Russian targets farther away from the front line, destroying Russia’s ability to conduct artillery operations."
According to the analysis of the battlefield situation in the past few days, more than 80 kilometers Several Russian ammunition depots were destroyed within the range. The Russian army had to continuously replenish ammunition, but there was no way to guarantee whether it would be destroyed again. Therefore, it became necessary to deploy ammunition depots about 100 kilometers away from the Haymas strike. The Russian military is normal, but this requires long-distance transportation of ammunition to the front line, which actually increases the risk of war supplies.
2) The second development is that Ukraine is becoming more and more optimistic.
For example, President Zelensky issued a message thanking the United States for its continuous provision of maritime supplies. Mas and other Western weapons and equipment that are much more sophisticated than Russia's, he claimed that this is what the Ukrainian army urgently needs, and it will teach the Russian army a painful lesson.
In Zelensky's view, if Western weapons can be supplied in time, Ukraine will be better off. It won't take long for the army to change the situation on the battlefield.
And Ukraine's chief negotiator Podoljak said bluntly that it has been noticed that the Russian army has been forced to stop advancing in many areas of Donbas due to heavy losses in logistical supplies and resupply problems. , which shows that the turning point of the war has gradually emerged.
3) Britain is helping Ukraine train soldiers to prepare for a new round of war.
According to the recent appeal by the Ukrainian Deputy Prime Minister to the people in several areas occupied by Russia, the outside world is expected to evacuate as soon as possible. The Ukrainian army is preparing for a counterattack, which will be the prelude to a new round of confrontation between Russia and Ukraine.
The British are also preparing for this.
Although British Prime Minister Johnson is about to leave his post, the British government has not relaxed its support for Ukraine at all. , but like the United States, it is also strengthening.
The British Ministry of Defense publicly revealed on July 9 that in the next few months, up to 10,000 Ukrainian recruits with little war experience will be trained in the UK in turn to prepare for new wars. Situation.
The training courses for these soldiers are even listed, including necessary training on the use of weapons, patrol tactics, battlefield laws, first aid knowledge, etc.
That’s why Uncle Mu believes that the above three dynamics on the Ukrainian battlefield can explain it. Russia is not infallible, and Ukraine is not completely defeated. Both sides still have a lot of time to prepare for a new battle. It is certain that the war will become a protracted war that lasts for more than a year.
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