Hao Longbin said that this time the Taipei mayoral election is two blues and one green. Whoever gets 43% of the votes will be elected. For the Kuomintang Taipei mayor candidate Jiang Wanan, this is a tough battle. How to ensure that the dark blue votes are not taken. Being taken away by Huang Shanshan is the key, and Huang's vote is a variable.
Hao Longbin advocated that Chiang Wanan’s primary strategy in this Taipei mayoral election is to consolidate his base, and to do his best to hold on to about 35% of the votes from military, public, education, and Blue Army supporters over the age of 40 or 50, and then actively win over young votes.
As for whether the bail-abandonment effect will occur in the Taipei mayoral election at the end of the year, Hao Longbin analyzed that it is impossible to abandon bail on a large scale. Jiang Wanan is mainly fighting for more than 60% of the pan-blue votes with Huang Shanshan, and Jiang wants to widen the gap with Huang. If If 5% or 10% of the yellow votes could be drawn to support Chiang, Chiang would be elected.
But Hao Longbin said that all three candidates in the three-legged governor election are very strong, and Huang Shanshan is backed by Taipei Mayor Ke Wenzhe, who is a local leader; behind "Minister of Health and Welfare" Chen Shizhong, Tsai Ing-wen and "Executive President" Su Tseng-chang are important. Jiang Wanan is relatively difficult to promote when it comes to abandoning bail. (Xue Yang/Editor)