(This article is compiled by the public account Yuesheng Investment Consulting (yslcw927). It is for reference only and does not constitute operation advice. If you operate by yourself, pay attention to position control and take risks at your own risk.)
takes simplicity to the extreme and becomes a winner
So Most people in the market believe that a mature trader must eventually return to the simplest and most primitive techniques. But those who are just starting out cannot pursue simplicity. You must go through a cultivation process, which is the basis for growth. Just like learning martial arts, both basic skills and routines are indispensable. Only when you have practiced the basic skills to a certain depth can you be qualified to expect the superb state of winning without any moves.
The fundamental reason why the market can exist and is always actively traded is the unpredictability of prices. If prices could be predicted scientifically, there would be no transaction at all. Since the market is basically unpredictable, you have to focus on consistent trading rules, which will put you on the side of the big numbers in this game of probability. The purpose of trading is not to predict the market, but to realize the price difference. The source of the price difference mainly relies on the most basic principle of "less losses if you make mistakes, more profits if you make mistakes". At the same time, you must also pay attention to self-control risks. This is the biggest difference between traders and analysts. My understanding: There are no secrets in investing, it’s all about execution. When your execution reaches a superb level, you will have your own advantages.
Finally, I must say that with acquired learning and training, it is possible to establish your own profit model. There is a group of people who may not be born with the sixteen characters mentioned above, and may not be able to establish the advantages mentioned by the masters, but they have determination, can abide by discipline, and insist on using mechanized trading in trading. Turtle trading uses programmed trading to achieve profits. Of course, this may not necessarily make you a great trader, but at least you can get around in the market and maybe make a small success.
traders are a small group. Most of them do not like to be arrogant and arrogant, but are accustomed to being separated and living in isolation. Therefore, outsiders do not know much about them. (I began to understand a little bit why I was alone) Excellent traders all have some money, there is no need to question this; moreover, people with bad conduct generally cannot become excellent traders . Or to put it conversely, most excellent traders have very good characters. Why can you say this? Simply put, market rewards and punishments are magnified by leverage and trading, so the market will reward "good characters" such as humility, self-discipline, courage, hard work, patience, calmness, etc. by doubling funds. At the same time, the market will also double Punishing "bad characters", such as greed, fear, impulsiveness, impetuousness, arrogance, laziness, etc., can produce bad results in trading. Due to this reincarnation of positive and negative energy, over time, the good habits of excellent traders will be strengthened, bad habits will be overcome, and then the good habits will be unconsciously applied to daily life, and their character will naturally improve. It will get better and better. Just imagine, if these people are willing to spend time thinking about evil, how can they have time to focus on trading! Those who do not focus on trading will soon be kicked out to Java by the market.
A good mentality is not everything, but a bad mentality is absolutely impossible.
As China's securities market gradually moves from fanaticism to rationality, many investors have realized the role of mentality, so in recent years there has been a trend: mentality importance has been elevated to an unprecedented level. The first motto given by an old investor to a new investor who has just entered the stock market is often: "The key to stock trading is mentality." There are many articles that warn investors to maintain a good mentality when they turn on their computers and newspapers; some assert that "stock trading" The saying "It's just a speculation mentality" is widely circulated in the market; on the contrary, the importance of technical analysis, which was keen on by most investors a few years ago, has gradually declined.
Investors should look at the recent new situation with an objective attitude. The first thing we must affirm is that having a good attitude is of course very important to the success of our investment.
First, stock traders with superb skills must have good psychological quality, because superb skills are summed up by people through continuous practice. They require people to be careful, patient, and perseverant. When facing setbacks and failures, Treat it with a normal attitude instead of being anxious. If you don't have a good attitude, you will only be frustrated and disappointed when you encounter setbacks and failures, and you won't be able to learn superb skills at all.
Second, mentality and technology promote each other. Good psychological quality can enable people to analyze and judge objectively and bring out their technical skills normally. Negative emotions such as sense of operation, self-blame, and pessimism will affect the ability to analyze problems; And if the operation goes smoothly and the technique is good, it will enhance your confidence.
Third, technology depends on your experience and talent. Generally speaking, as long as you are willing to work hard and study hard, you will develop a certain level, but whether you can use your technology depends on whether you have Good psychological quality, of course, is a subjective thing. It is related to a person's personality and requires long-term cultivation.
So, with a good mentality, can we be successful in the stock market and win gold and silver in every battle? No, I don’t think we can overemphasize the importance of mentality and ignore other aspects. Just imagine, an investor with a "perfect personality", although he has all the good mentality that we admire, his ability to judge the market is too weak, and he often makes mistakes in judging the trend of the stock market, or he does not understand at least If he has poor operating skills and analysis techniques, or does not have correct investment concepts and strategies, then no matter how peaceful he is and how good his psychological quality is, he will not be able to obtain ideal returns. There are too many factors that determine the success or failure of securities investment, and mentality is only one of them. If you regard it as the only factor that affects the success of investment, you will make a one-sided mistake.
In a nutshell, a good attitude is not everything, but without a good attitude, nothing is possible. This is the truth that we must clarify when discussing investor mentality. We advise everyone to cultivate various excellent psychological qualities and overcome the weaknesses in their own character, precisely so that everyone can give full play to their technical skills instead of relying on psychology. In actual combat, technical analysis, market grasp, fundamental analysis and a good mentality are all indispensable. Only through this can investors in the stock market be able to make comprehensive judgments, rational analysis, and ultimately make correct decisions.
Trading psychology is above the trading method.
Everyone is working hard to study trading methods. Find a boom point. The daily limit and so on, all the losses are lost, but people just like it. Their accounts shrink year after year, and people don’t care. They just love to read, love to study, and don’t know if they are familiar with it. They go astray and lead astray!
Prediction in the stock market is very fun, Gann is a human being Only in this way can the commanding height of the stock price be accurately predicted. But what's the use? I once studied the predictions of the six lines of Zhouyi, but they were all discarded. There is no other reason, just one sentence: Heaven's secrets can't make you lose weight! Uh!
Why do you care so far? If you take every step well now, you will think that it will be a matter of course.
For example, if you go in with a full position now and the market opens tomorrow and it drops 5%, you say it’s okay, okay, the stock drops another 6%. If it keeps falling, you set a good target point, but if it doesn’t rise, you lose all your money. After that, the stock price drops by 5%. If you rush to the sky like a desperate man and never come back, just cry!
is a trading system with a success rate of about 20% plus fund management and position control. That's the sure way to win. Enter half of the position at the entry point, increase the position by 40% if it rises, and cut off half of the position if it falls by 5%. The so-called small loss and big profit, one profit can last you for a year.
The following introduces a fund management strategy related to overweighting-perhaps it is more appropriate to call it a "survival" fund management strategy, because it contains more than just overweighting.
Assume that there is an account with 100,000 yuan and a short position. Our goal is to make it more than 200,000 yuan (double).
First, divide the funds in this account into 5 parts, each part is called a transaction unit, which means that 20,000 yuan must be invested in each transaction unit.
Then we will go through 7 steps to go from 100,000 to 200,000.
In each step, the stop loss amount is 10% of the total amount invested at that step. If it exceeds 10%, the stop loss will be unconditional. Whether transaction fees are included in this 10% depends on personal preference. My personal suggestion is to include them.
Step 1:
Step 1: Only invest one trading unit - 20,000 yuan. The total capital invested at this time is 20,000 yuan, and the position ratio is 20,000/100,000=20%.
is scheduled to stop loss at 10% of the invested capital, so the maximum stop loss amount is 2,000 yuan. When the loss exceeds 2,000 yuan, the loss will be stopped unconditionally. At this time, the proportion of stop loss amount to total assets is 2000/100000= 2%.
carefully complete the order of 20,000 yuan. When the profit reaches 20%, that is, after earning 4,000 yuan, you can move to the next step. (At the end of the first step, the total assets have become 104,000, and the profit has been 4% relative to the initial total assets.) If this step does not go smoothly, and the final loss is terminated, there is still more than 90,000 yuan as a backing, you can Re-enter with one trading unit.
The second step:
After we have made a profit in the first step, we start to increase the amount.
now invests in a new trading unit. At this time, the total amount of funds invested in the transaction is 40,000 yuan, and the position ratio is 40,000/104,000=38.46%. The maximum stop loss amount is 4000, which accounts for 4000/104000=3.85% of the total assets. If the loss exceeds this value, the loss will still be stopped unconditionally.
Note that we have already made a profit of 4,000 yuan in the first step. As long as we strictly stop the loss, the original capital will hardly be damaged. When this operation makes another 20% profit, that is, 40000×20%=8000, you can enter step 3. (At the end of step 2, the total assets have become 112,000, and the profit has been 12% relative to the initial total assets)
What needs to be emphasized here is that if a stop loss occurs during the operation in step 2, the total assets will If it falls below 104,000 at the end of step 1, you must return to step 1 and invest only one trading unit until the total assets return to above 104,000, and then proceed to step 2 again.
Step 3:
If step 2 goes well, now we continue to add another trading unit to
. The total amount of funds invested has reached 60,000 yuan, and the position ratio is 60,000/112,000= 53.57%. The maximum stop loss amount of
is 6000, which accounts for 6000/112000=5.36% of the total assets.
Note that in step 2 we made a profit of 8,000, and after the first two steps are completed, the total profit has reached 12,000. As long as the loss is strictly stopped, the loss of 6,000 will not have any impact on the original capital.
When this operation makes another 20% profit, that is, 60000×20%=12000, you can enter step 4. (At the end of step 3, the total assets became 124,000, which is a profit of 24% relative to the initial total assets)
is the same as what was reminded in step 2. When there is a loss in step 3, if the total assets of the account fall back to 104,000 -112000, return to step 2, and the position amount is reduced to two trading units;
If the stop loss is not determined or other unexpected situations occur, the loss is serious and falls below 104000, you can only return to step 1 and start again. .
Step 4, 5, 6, 7:
invests 4 units, a total of 80,000, the position ratio is 80,000/124,000=64.52%, the maximum stop loss is 8,000, accounting for 6.45% of the total assets, and you can enter the second step after making a profit of 20%=16,000. 5 steps. (At the end of step 4, the total assets are 140,000, and the profit is 40%)
invests 5 units, a total of 100,000, the position ratio is 100,000/140000=71.43%, the maximum stop loss is 10,000, accounting for 7.14% of the total assets, and the profit is 20%= After 20,000, you can enter step 6. (At the end of step 5, the total assets are 160,000, and the profit is 60%)
invests 6 units, a total of 120,000, the position ratio is 120,000/160,000=75%, the maximum stop loss is 12,000, accounting for 7.5% of the total assets, and the profit is 20%= After 24000, you can enter step 7. (At the end of step 6, the total assets are 184,000, and the profit is 84%)
invested 7 units, a total of 140,000, the position ratio is 140000/184000=76.09%, the maximum stop loss is 14,000, accounting for 7.61% of the total assets, and the profit is 20%= 28,000.... At this point, our total assets have become 212,000. At this time, we have made a profit of 112% and doubled our funds. Chasing
as soon as it rises is very likely to be counter-beating, that is, buy at the high point and trade at the low point. One thought and one difference can lead to completely different results. This has nothing to do with technology, level, or ability.If you only open one hand, it doesn't matter if the stop loss is slower, faster, larger, or smaller. As for heavy positions, you must strictly stop the loss. Even if you place three orders at one point and there is no breakthrough, you must stop the loss. One mistake will be difficult to make up for nine times. When the fluctuation pattern of the market matches your technique, which means in layman's terms, it means you are in good position, you should take a heavy position. This is the secret to making profits during the day.
The first method of intraday trading: the low point is not broken - buy
Conditions 1. The K-line is in an upward trend. 2. The oscillation is completed after the market opens.
The second type of intraday trading, buy urgently when falling sharply, buy slowly when falling slowly
Conditions 1, 3, 5, and 15 minute charts, the K line shows an upward trend. Break-type sharp declines often appear on the 2, 3, 5, or 15-minute K-line charts.
The third method of intraday trading, the time-sharing line is in a zigzag shape, wait and see
Conditions 1. The time-sharing line has changed from the previous smooth shape and is in a zigzag shape. 2. The time-sharing line oscillates in a lump
html The fourth method of intra-day trading
, don’t rush when the upper arc rises, don’t be slow when the lower arc rises
Conditions 1. The upper arc rises, and when the trading volume shrinks when it rises, be careful when falling. 2. The lower arc rises. Be careful when the trading volume shrinks.
On the conditional 1, 3, and 5 minute charts, the channels formed by the 5 and 10 moving averages are intact. 2. The K line has not yet formed a more obvious line.
The sixth method of intraday trading, the channel is closed and close to the edge line, and the three lines return to the red line - conditions for buying
1. On the 3-minute chart, the descending channel has been closed, the 5, 10, and 20 moving averages have flattened and bonded, and are approaching the red 60 moving average. 2. On the 5-minute chart, the red 60 moving average has begun to go flat, or has already gone flat.
The seventh method of intraday trading is that the high point does not form a bottom and the low point does not form a top. Backhand
conditions 1. The K line rebounds, the channel is weak, or the K line opens sharply higher. 2. The K-line has fallen back and is almost over, or the K-line is in an upward trend and will oscillate back after the opening today.
The eighth method of intraday trading, triple top, the fourth time to reach the top - conditions for buying
1. A triple top forms on the time-sharing line, which is best parallel.
For short-term stock trading, you need to be wary of the risks of these five factors:
1, tangent stop loss method
Tangent is a very important analysis tool in technical analysis. After a support line is formed, once the stock price effectively breaks through the support line, it marks a technical breakthrough. At this time, the position holder decisively stops the loss and leaves the market.
As shown in the figure above, the stock price has been running above the upward trend line in the early stage, and effectively fell below the trend line when it stepped back on the support line at a high level. At this time, the upward trend was destroyed, and investors should decisively exit to avoid facing greater losses. .
2. Pattern stop loss method
Once the stock price breaks through key positions such as the head and shoulders top, double top, triple top neckline, or the lower line of the box platform, it means that the head pattern is established, and you should decisively stop the loss and leave the market.
As shown in the picture above, after the stock price experienced a long period of box consolidation, the physical negative line fell below the platform support, the shock box was damaged, and the stock price will face a new round of decline.
3. Indicator stop-loss method
The sell instructions issued by technical indicators are used as stop-loss signals, such as KDJ, MACD, RSI and other common indicators. If a sell signal such as a death cross appears at a relatively high level, it means that the short-term market has entered a period of shock. Position holders should consider stopping losses and exiting the market.
As shown in the figure above, after the stock price surged and fluctuated, the KDJ indicator issued a dead cross above the value 80, forming a KDJ high dead cross. At this time, the dead cross is extremely effective, and investors should decisively leave the market on highs.
4. Proportional stop loss method
Set a stop loss ratio, such as 10%, 8%, 5%, etc. Whether to adopt this method mainly depends on the market environment. For example, in a bull market, this ratio can be expanded according to the situation, and in a bear market, this ratio can be reduced.
As shown in the picture above, the stock price is in the upward trend of heavy volume. To chase the high, buy around 11 yuan. At this time, you should bring a stop loss, such as 10.4. If it falls below the stop loss level later, it means that you have made a mistake in judging the trend, and you must stop the loss decisively to correct the error. to avoid greater losses.
5. Double top strength line is broken and stop loss is eliminated.
Operation points: If you are not aware of the risk at the high level and get stuck, you must be alert to the emergence of the double top pattern. When it falls below the neckline level, it is the last chance.
core: If the stock price falls below the lower edge or neckline of the technical graphics, it is necessary to stop the loss and exit. Once the lower edge or neckline of the technical graph appears to be broken, it is a break!
As shown in the picture above, after the double top is formed, if it falls below the neckline, it is necessary to decisively exit to avoid being more passive in the later period.
Looking for strong stocks with main players
If you have been in the market for many years and still don’t know how to pick stocks, you might as well try the “ Fund Strength Dark Horse Stock Picker ” . The selected results are all stocks with main players and dark horse potential. , the next thing we have to do is to find the entry position, how to sell high and buy low, and how to find the peak and leave the market in time; copying the formula code will inevitably cause some format errors. If it cannot be imported successfully, you can ask me to get the source code!
ZLCM: =EMA(WINNER(CLOSE)*70,3);
SHCM:=EMA((WINNER(CLOSE*1.1)-WINNER(CLOSE*0.9))*80,3);
ZZLKP:=ZLCM/(ZLCM+SHCM)* 100;
ZZLJJ:=EMA(ZZLKP,89);
ZJLRQD:=INTPART(ZZLKP-ZZLJJ);
main control coefficient:=INTPART(ZZLKP);
capital inflow intensity:=ZJLRQD;
K1:=LLV(LOW,5) ;
K2:=HHV(HIGH,5);
K3:=EMA((((C-K1)/(K2-K1))*100),4);
K5:=((HIGH+LOW)/2);
K6:=DMA(K5,(VOL/SUM(VOL,5)));
K7:=DMA(K5,(VOL/SUM(VOL,13)));
K8:=DMA(K5,(VOL/SUM( VOL,34)));
K9:=DMA(K5,(VOL/SUM(VOL,75)));
KA:=EMA(WINNER((0.9*C)),5);
KDY:=((100* (C-K6))/K6);
KE:=((100*(C-K7))/K7);
KF:=((100*(MIN(C,O)-K8))/K8);
KG :=BARSLAST(((K8K9)AND (REF(K8,1)= REF(K9,1))));
KH:=((((COUNT(((WINNER(CLOSE)0.11))AND (EMA(WINNER( CLOSE),5)0.15)),2)0) OR (((1-WINNER((1.2*C))) =0.8)
AND(WINNER(C)0.05))) AND (COUNT((KE(0- 16)),2)0)) AND(COUNT((KF(0-20)),2)0));
K12:=(((COUNT((KDY(0-10)),2)0) AND (COUNT((KE(0-15)),2)0)) AND (COUNT((KF(0-15)),2)0)) AND(COUNT((KA0.8),KG)=0 ));
K13:=(((COUNT((KH ORK12),2)0) AND (K3REF(K3,1))) AND(((1-WINNER((1.15*CLOSE))))*100)80) );
K14:=IF((K13 AND(COUNT(K13,3)=1)),1,0);
ZVF:=100*(C-REF(C,1))/REF(C,1);
Control: = main control coefficient 10 AND capital inflow intensity -10;
XG: BARSSINCEN (K14,10) AND ZVF3 AND control;
If you want to know more about the current operation skills and formula codes of the A-share stage, or if you have any questions, you can Follow the public account Yuesheng Investment Consulting (yslcw927), more market outlook operations and stock technical analysis methods are waiting for you to learn, and there is a constant supply of useful information!
Traders often overestimate their ability to adhere to principles
Usually most transactions are invalid Yes, but you still have to do it. This is the cost that must be paid to stick to the trading system.
The smallest loss is to stop the loss immediately. The biggest loss often comes from whether the loss will be smaller after waiting for a while.
Trading is destined to be lonely. The best opportunities often appear when most traders in the market are not optimistic about it. On the contrary, when everyone is optimistic about it, it is the time to exit.
Traders tend to overestimate their ability to stick to their principles.
's own opinions are often worthless in front of the market.
Strategy, mentality, execution, and fund management constitute the core content of trading.
Compared with resolute stop loss, it is often more difficult to increase positions following the trend.
The secret to successful trading is not that it’s so complicated that you don’t understand it, but that it’s so simple that you tend to turn a blind eye.
Trading is about subtraction, not addition. The final profit is not how much you make, but how much you have left after the profit minus the loss.
Wanting to catch any market trend often means that you cannot catch any market trend.
If you want to make a living from professional trading, don't look at the problem from the perspective of interest.
Luck can protect you for a while, but it will not protect you forever. Don't mistake luck for your trading ability.
Trading is life. We should not only value the results, but also enjoy the process.
Trading is not about romance, and holding a position should not be emotional. If it is right, keep it, and if it is wrong, let it go. No one requires you to be responsible to the end.
Trading is not bitter, what is bitter is your persistence in making profits beyond your ability.
It is not difficult to see the trend clearly outside the market. What is rare is that you can persist calmly after entering the market.
If you are not sure how much risk you can take before entering the market, it is best not to open a position.
A good hunter must wait well. Opportunities often arise. This is not a problem. The question is whether you always have the patience to wait until the opportunity arises before taking action.
Only by maintaining confidence can you stay focused on the trading system.
Fear and greed, you never know where they will trick you.
The power and irrationality of the market often exceed the scope of your cognition. Thinking about human nature should be more important than studying technical theory.
Although there is only one lowest point, there are many sub-low points for you to enter the market, and vice versa.
trading is to simplify complex things, repeat simple things, and do repeated things to the extreme.
Statement: This content is provided by Yuesheng Investment Consulting, which does not mean that Investment Express endorses its investment views
