Currently, Ukrainian President Zelensky emphasizes that the war can only be ceased by signing an agreement, while vowing to fight to the bitter end. I wonder if he wants to bet on the fate and future of Ukraine, or is he acting for the world to see?

At present, Ukrainian President Zelensky emphasizes that the war can only be ceased by signing an agreement, while vowing to fight to the bitter end; while negotiating with Russia, he is actively engaging in Latin America and Europe. I always feel that his statements and actions are contradictory. I don’t know if he wants to bet on the fate and future of Ukraine , or is he acting for the world to see?

Of course, when two countries are at war, it is normal to talk and fight, and fight and talk. The problem is that Ukraine is too weak. Now that it has lost its air superiority and Russia has almost paralyzed Ukraine's heavy firearms, the longer the fight lasts, the greater the damage. Now that we have given up hope of joining NATO , and since we have decided to become a neutral country , we should have serious talks. There is no need for Ukraine to suffer the devastation of artillery fire again.

After Russia took special military action, although the United States and NATO stated that they would never send troops for protection, they also provided considerable support with weapons and ammunition, and even imposed unprecedented severe sanctions on Russia. The key is that whether aid or sanctions, the United States and Europe have seriously harmed themselves, and it can be said that they have made huge sacrifices for Ukraine.

As the saying goes, if you take people's money, you have to help them eliminate disasters. Since we have received favors from the United States, we must give something. As Zelensky himself said, the support from the United States and the West comes at a price. Knowing that there is no such thing as a free lunch, there is no need to say weird things or express dissatisfaction.

Russia-Ukraine negotiations have reached the fourth round. Although progress is slow, certain breakthroughs have been made. Even the most basic draft text is rumored to be available. However, the United States and Europe, especially the United States, have not expressed their position on this. Not taking a stand means, of course, not supporting or accepting it.

For the United States, the "Gonghuo" war is to besiege Russia. Now that sanctions have been imposed, Russia must be severely damaged, and it is even hoped to completely destroy the Russian economy. This is a once and for all thing for America. At the same time, the United States also hopes to use this to strengthen its control over Europe, or to increase Europe's dependence on the United States. At least Russia and Europe must maintain a moderately tense confrontation to consume Russia in the long term, which is a special "Cold War".

However, with neither goal currently being achieved, Ukraine has begun negotiations with Russia, and has even talked about signing a peace agreement. For the United States, this is tantamount to "stealing chicken but losing rice."

What is important is that the firing of Russian artillery fire not only means the biggest security crisis in Europe after World War II , but also means the destruction of the European security order system. This requires reconstruction. In the process of reconstruction, the United States is likely to lose more control over Europe, and it will be more difficult for Europe to obey or serve the United States' world domination strategy. The current situation is also a major constraint on the Indo-Pacific strategy that is eager to advance. Instead, the United States became the biggest victim of the Russia-Ukraine war. Although no one said anything about

, the problem is obvious. Zelensky is not unaware of the US’s ideas and strategic tactics.

continues to add sanctions and continuously upgrades the level of military aid to Ukraine. The purpose is to make Ukraine fight to the end, or as long as it can. But now Zelensky has begun to negotiate a peace agreement, and even discussed with Russia the issue of Ukraine's neutral status.

A few days ago, while expressing strong dissatisfaction with NATO, Zelensky even promised that a peace agreement would be signed within 1-2 weeks. This is obviously meant for Americans. It means that if Biden doesn’t come out, I won’t play anymore. This can be said to be a manifestation of strong pressure on the United States.

's repeated requests to establish a no-fly zone and provide fighter jets are actually asking the United States and NATO to enter the war or defend Ukraine. Knowing that something cannot be done and doing it naturally means putting pressure on the United States.

In his recent speech to the U.S. Congress, although he did not mention joining NATO or negotiating with Russia, he once again forced the United States to join the war. In addition to refusing the request to join the war, Biden had to double military aid several times and also had to travel to Europe to attend the NATO summit. But Biden still made it clear that Ukraine must continue to fight a long and difficult war, and it can only fight for freedom, democracy and survival by itself.

html The special NATO summit held on the 24th was not so much to discuss plans for Russia, but to prevent Zelensky from actually signing a peace agreement with Russia within 1-2 weeks.

Although Zelensky intends to put pressure on the United States, he is also delaying negotiations. Although they agreed to talk about neutrality, they wanted to adopt the Ukrainian model. The newly proposed six-point "priorities" include ending the war, security guarantees, sovereignty, restoring territorial integrity, real commitment to Ukraine, and real protection of Ukraine. It is obviously intended to make the United States promise security guarantees.

clearly knows that the United States will not discuss Ukraine's neutrality issue at this time, but still insists on all parties providing absolute security guarantees for Ukraine, which is to finalize the neutrality negotiations into a deadlock, and does not want to take responsibility on its own. This is a drag, which can also be said to be a lack of sincerity towards neutrality.

puts pressure on the United States in the hope that the United States can put pressure on Russia. Since we want to win over the United States, we still hope that we can force Russia to take the initiative to cease fire and withdraw its troops. This can be said to be a two-way bet. It is a bet that the United States will eventually be dragged into the war, or that it will intervene due to a misfire; it is also a bet that Russia will throw in the towel or be unable to withstand the pressure and cease fire. In fact, it is betting on the future and destiny of Ukraine.

The danger of doing this. Once Putin is angered, he will immediately capture Kiev at all costs, and then either divide Ukraine into two, or annex Ukraine by force again. And once Biden loses patience, he will give up his support for Ukraine and hand over this mess to Europe. Anyway, Biden will make efforts in the Indo-Pacific next.

The above shows that Zelensky is gambling. But there is another possibility. He is not gambling, but acting.

Previously, while Zelensky suddenly expressed his strong dissatisfaction with the United States and Europe, he also clearly emphasized that the United States and Europe's aid comes at a price. This is not only for Americans, but also for our own people. This means that if we continue to count on the United States and Europe, we will continue to pay a heavy price, which also shows that it is difficult to escape the fate of chess pieces and cannon fodder. Without the support of the United States and Europe, if we continue to resist, the country will be ruined. It's a dead end for both left and right, that is, let the Ukrainian people make their own choices. Becoming a neutral country is the best choice, that is, choosing to leave the United States and Europe completely. This is natural.

did this because he was afraid that the Ukrainian people would accuse him of being a capitulator. Therefore, whether it is using dissatisfaction with the United States and Europe or exerting pressure on the United States and Europe, it is actually acting for our own people. It can also be said that they are directly shirking responsibility for triggering the war.

knows that it is impossible for the US NATO to establish a no-fly zone and provide fighter jets, but it has repeatedly requested. This is not asking for trouble, but making excuses for finding a way out next.

Since the United States and Europe cannot defend Ukraine, Ukraine can only find its own way out. Peace talks with Russia are the only way out and a helpless choice. The United States and Europe cannot blame Zelensky for going back on his word.

As mentioned before, without the participation of the United States and Europe, it is difficult for Ukraine to obtain absolute security guarantees, which means that Ukraine's neutral status is difficult to be universally recognized. Although it can get security guarantees from Russia, it will offend the United States and Europe. You can't do this easily.

However, it is already a breach of trust for the United States and Europe to refuse Ukraine to join NATO. Now, if we do not provide strong protection for Ukraine, we are abandoning Ukraine. As time goes by, the Ukrainian people will also become dissatisfied with the United States and Europe.

On the surface, the current war situation between Russia and Ukraine is at a stalemate, and negotiations are making difficult progress. Since it is said to be difficult, why are there still reports from time to time that even the text of the draft agreement is available? Regarding the Russia-Ukraine negotiations, Zelensky himself used the word "pretty good" to evaluate the day's negotiations in a video speech in the early morning of March 16. "I was told that the positions of both parties in the negotiations have become more realistic. But it will take time to achieve concrete results." Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov said on March 16 that some plans to promote the agreement were close to being reached, and the two sides were working seriously Consider issues such as Ukraine's neutral status and the use of Russian in Ukraine. On the one hand,

demanded a tough stance on Russia, demanding that the United States impose severe sanctions on Russia and also provide arms. This showed his determination to fight to the bitter end, but he also said that the negotiations between the two sides turned out to be "pretty good."This is clearly inconsistent. This is obviously a show for the United States and Europe, especially the United States, and the purpose is to make Americans anxious.

Zelensky was tough at one moment and pointed out the need to sign a peace agreement at another. Being tough shows that he still has confidence in the United States and Europe, and will stand by the United States even if it becomes neutral; and the threat to sign a peace agreement makes Biden anxious. No one can guarantee whether Zelensky will completely surrender or even re-sign. Return to Russia's arms. This is acting.

Biden will arrive in Europe on the 24th. The acting he did before that was just to make him anxious. Threatening that he might sign a neutrality agreement with Russia alone. This effectively forces Biden to provide security guarantees for Ukraine’s neutrality.

Ukraine’s move has become a dead end. NATO's eastward expansion has seriously hit a wall, and there is no way around it. Therefore, letting Wu neutralize may be the only and best choice. It’s just that it’s not the right time at all, given that Biden only pays without getting anything in return or doesn’t fully lay out the situation. What Biden hopes is to drag out the war for a while longer. Therefore, neither the Russia-Ukraine ceasefire agreement nor the Ukrainian neutrality plan are in line with Biden's wishes.

Then it would be inappropriate for Russia and Ukraine to discuss the neutral status issue, and it would be difficult to proceed smoothly. Because the following involves parties from the four parties of Russia, Ukraine, the United States and Europe, and of course it may also involve Security Council . China will certainly be invited to join the negotiations.

The United States wants to prevent the neutralization process, but Zelensky has clearly stated that he will not rule out signing a peace agreement and neutrality documents with Russia alone. Whether anyone admits it or not, Ukraine can adopt a neutral position. A diplomatically independent stance can be taken, at least for a considerable period of time.

For Russia, a long-term war cannot afford it. Although there are good reasons, this is also a helpless war. We don’t even want to cause large-scale destruction, nor do we want to cause large-scale destruction. Therefore, it is necessary to stop when the goal is achieved.

Since Ukraine wants to give up joining NATO and since Ukraine wants to remain neutral, which means that Russia's main goal has been achieved, it naturally hopes to sign the agreement as soon as possible. But Putin also knows that the biggest obstacle is the United States.

Although Russia can unilaterally provide security guarantees for Ukraine, it should also be able to keep its promise. But it would be best to work with the United States and NATO to provide this security guarantee. He has previously stated that he is willing to discuss Ukraine's neutral status with Europe and NATO. Of course, he hopes that Europe can persuade Biden to agree to Ukraine's neutrality.

Therefore, if Zelensky really wants to take the path of neutrality, then Russia and Ukraine have a common need when it comes to Latin America and Europe entering neutrality negotiations. If Zelensky is really acting, Putin should be happy to play a double act with him.

Because of this, Putin is not annoyed or reacts to Zelenskiy's constant requests for the United States to establish a no-fly zone and provide fighter jets, as well as to strengthen sanctions against Russia. The attack on Ukraine was also not very severe. It even seems that the Western mercenary is the most important target at present. Putin is mainly countering the sanctions imposed by the United States and the West. This is forcing the United States and Europe to participate in neutrality negotiations.

If the United States and Europe have to agree to the neutrality of Ukraine, they will intervene in the neutrality negotiations and provide security guarantees for Ukraine. If they do not agree, Russia and Ukraine can also sign a separate agreement. China may also provide some form of "guarantee."

If Zelensky insists on not signing the neutrality agreement without the recognition of the United States and Europe, then he is currently teasing Russia and is still betting that Russia will eventually withdraw its troops because it cannot withstand the pressure, or is still betting that as time goes by, Russia will voluntarily withdraw its troops. It may drag the United States and Europe into war. If he is serious about his choice of neutrality, it is the common need of Zelensky and Putin to let the United States and Europe join the negotiations on Ukraine's neutrality. Then everything he is doing so far is forcing the United States and Europe to accept Ukraine's neutrality. And Putin has reason to cooperate with him in acting.

(Source: Kunlunce.com [Author Authorization] , adapted from "Dynamic Reference", revised and released)