Many years later, when people learn from history, they may find that 022 is the turning point in the fate of EU .
After World War II , the wave of European unification of ideas was unprecedentedly high, and European countries began to realize a problem: When two opposing superpowers appeared in the world, the war-torn Europe could no longer maintain their original status.
So, the first turning point in in Europe after the war appeared.
1952, European Coal and Steel Community was officially established. Europe began to explore the establishment of a common market, and in 1958, European Economic Community and European Atomic Energy Community were established. Until 1965, the three were unified into European Community (referred to as " European Community "), and an unprecedented European Economic Union was born.
At this stage, many European countries jointly established European Investment Bank , issued "European Single Act" , and signed " Schengen Agreement " , allowing Europe to quickly get rid of the economic depression brought about by World War II .
However, at that time, the European Community's economy was mainly dependent on the United States. Although the " Cold War " had not ended, Europe had begun to explore the direction of the political alliance . In December 1990, a year before the collapse of the Soviet Union, the European Community held a meeting to establish a political alliance under the initiative of France and Germany.
After one year of negotiations, the second turning point in the fate of in Europe after the war appeared.
On December 11, 1991, the European Community passed the " Maastricht Treaty " to establish the " European Economic and Monetary Union " and the "European Political Union". After that, after two years of preparation and integration, European Union was officially established at the end of 1993.
At this stage, European Central Bank was established, euro began to operate, and the EU rapid response force began to be established. The EU has developed into a huge organization with with 127 html member states and 7 candidate .
But more and more problems are also beginning to emerge. For example, the European Constitutional Treaty was denied by referendum in many countries, and the EU's rapid response force's plan was delayed from before 2003 to before 2025, the UK's choice of "Brexit", the refugee crisis and debt crisis have become chronic diseases of the EU...
In short, in the past 20 years since the establishment of the EU, the EU member states have gains and losses. Although they have encountered many difficulties, they have indeed made the EU a one-third of the economic developments in the world, and it is also an extreme that cannot be ignored on the global political stage of .
But in this context, the EU unexpectedly ushered in the third turning point of , .
That’s right, on February 24, 2022, the Russian-Ukrainian conflict officially broke out and has lasted for more than 200 days, but the war still does not see the hope of a ceasefire. To this day, countries' attitudes towards the EU have changed, and the most worth mentioning are Ukraine and Serbia .
Let’s talk about Ukraine first.
On October 14th local time, the Ukrainian Ministry of Foreign Affairs released a promotional video with the caption "Ukraine and Europe have always been friends. In 988 AD, the Grand Duke of Feradimir converted the Principality of Kiev Rus to Christianity and decided that we need to join the EU. Today, we adhere to this concept and defend Europe from the cruel treatment of Russia." As soon as the news came out, the Russian media immediately questioned, "When did Ukraine become a part of the Western world?" then mocked, Kiev This is saying that they "decided to join the EU 1,000 years before the establishment of the EU" .
Let’s talk about this briefly for 3 points.
First, Ukraine's eagerness to join the EU is somewhat ugly. It is important to know that this way of forcibly bringing closer relations with the EU can easily lead to ridicule, which is not conducive to the image of the Zelensky government.Of course, many things may not be surprising to everyone, but far-fetchedness on historical issues is not a good choice.
Second, it is not difficult to guess the Zelensky government's thoughts. Before becoming an EU candidate, Ukraine could not satisfy Ukraine. Only by joining the EU can the Zelensky government give an explanation to the people. After all, Ukraine's hope of joining NATO is very slim, and the "referendum to Russia" of four places including Donetsk has also brought great pressure to Kiev.
Third, the EU must consider a problem . Although Moscow claims to have no objection to Ukraine's application to join the EU, there are 7 candidate member states in the EU, among which, like Turkey , it took 12 years to apply to become a candidate member state, while Ukraine only took only 4 months.
If Ukraine really achieves "quick entry into Europe", what do you think about Türkiye and other countries?
Of course, the EU has no intention of making an exception for Ukraine again. German Chancellor Scholtz just stated on the 15th local time that he supports the expansion of the EU, but Ukraine and other countries must meet the standards for joining the alliance. Obviously, according to Ukraine's economic level and security situation, there may be no hope in the short term.
Then let’s talk about Serbian .
On the 16th local time, Serbian Interior Minister Wu Lin said in an interview that Serbia is suffering from "crazy blackmail" of the EU in terms of the Kosovo issue and the issue of sanctions against Russia. The latter has lost its political independence and has become a "past tense" that is losing its economic strength.
In comparison with , the friendship between Serbia and Russia is "most important". If there is no friendship with Moscow, then Serbia is at risk of "disappearance". Based on similar considerations, Wulin believes that developing relations with Russia and China is the future of Serbia. How to view
?
First of all, Wulin expressed everyone's consensus , that is, the EU's actions during the Russian-Ukrainian conflict showed that the EU's "strategic autonomy" was completely empty talk. An EU that follows the United States is by no means in the interests of Serbia and other countries. So whether to seek to join the EU needs more consideration.
Secondly, it is not ruled out that Serbia is "retreating to advance" and trying to put pressure on the EU. After all, Serbia has become a candidate for joining the alliance many years ago, but the EU not only has not approved joining the alliance for a long time, but has instead pointed at Serbia, which makes Wulin believe that "the EU does not want Serbia to join the alliance at all."
For the EU, Serbia is an important country in in the Balkans region. If the conditions for "joining the EU" cannot be maintained, then there is a country that completely revolves towards Russia in "European powder keg" , which is probably unwilling to see this situation.
In the final analysis, interests are the first priority between countries, and Serbia does not want to "choose a side station".
Finally, Serbia may also be trying to ease relations with Russia. Don't forget that at the end of September, Serbian Foreign Minister Serrakovic stated that Serbian side would never recognize the result of the referendum of Donetsk and other four places in Russia.
Of course, Serbia's statement is understandable. After all, Kosovo also left Serbia in a referendum. But in any case, this open and clear statement is not something Moscow is willing to listen to, and Serbia naturally also wants to convey friendship to Moscow .
In short, the EU in 2022 is standing at the crossroads of fate, and the first two turns are inseparable from the EU's taking the initiative to act as . But this time, the EU is restrained by the general trend, which is really sad.