According to the current data, the current adjustment range of oil prices has not reached a worry-free level. The changes in the oil market will directly affect the results of this oil price adjustment. According to the current data, the window for oil price adjustment will also open on the 10th of next month, so the current situation is not very important.
Last week, South China's main gasoline and diesel both fell (92#8850-9100, -150/-50; 0#8840-8910, -130/-210). Crude oil fluctuated downward, and retail prices were lowered due to cashing out, and the market trading mentality was weak. There was news of export quotas in the market, and crude oil rose during the session at that time, and some main businesses had a rise in gasoline prices, and the demand for replenishment in the middle and lower reaches increased. However, crude oil continued to decline in the closing, and the market returned to a wait-and-see trend. At present, the spot of diesel in the market is relatively low, and the main unit's diesel price is mostly quoted as wholesale price limit.
Market supply and demand situation analysis: fundamentals, international oil prices fell last week, and the core negative news was: Federal Reserve hikes interest rates again hikes 275 basis points and shows determination to continue hikes, concerns about economic outlook continue, coupled with the growth of US commercial crude oil inventories. In terms of demand, there are urgent needs to be replenished operations in the middle and lower reaches.
future market forecast and outlook: At present, at the end of the month, the monthly tasks of the main units in the district were not completed well, but there is still news of export quotas in the market at present. Market operators are more cautious. Some people are afraid of rising mentality, and there is a phenomenon of inventory before the National Day in advance. At present, the main business unit has a spot price of less diesel, and the price is mostly quoted as wholesale price limit. Before National Day, some midstream and downstream still have demand for replenishment of gasoline. It is expected that gasoline and diesel prices will fluctuate stably and narrowly.
Northwest main business both fell (92#9382, -294; 0#8794, -249). Crude oil prices are falling, and the National Development and Reform Commission has fulfilled its reduction in retail price limits. Due to the repeated impact of the epidemic, gasoline shipments are average, diesel has large demand for support, and gasoline and diesel prices have both fallen.
Northwest independent refinery gasoline and diesel both fell (92#8675, -283; 0#8719, -240). The downward trend of crude oil is negative for the market mentality. Due to the implementation of the National Development and Reform Commission's reduction of retail price limits and the repeated impact of the epidemic, the market trading atmosphere is weak, and the price of gasoline and diesel in the independent refinery in Northwest has been lowered to promote promotions.
International oil prices showed a downward trend in the last cycle, and negative news was guided. The main refinery construction load in the northwest region remains stable, and there is no new maintenance plan for the near future; the maintenance of Yulin refinery has been extended, and the maintenance of diesel hydrogenation equipment in some local refineries in Ningxia has been completed, and normal shipments are shipped, and the refinery inventory is at a low level. The overall market trading atmosphere last week was still acceptable, with traders mainly selling stocks, and refineries shipped.
: It is expected that international oil prices will have room for upward trend, and geopolitical risks will be positive, but the increase may be limited under economic worries. It is expected that WTI may run in the range of $80-86/barrel and Brent may run in the range of $87-93/barrel. The field of refined oil: The mid- and downstream inventory will increase at the end of the month, and shipments may improve. It is expected that the price of gasoline and diesel in the main unit of Northwest will be strong; due to the increase in the mid- and downstream inventory before the festival, the demand for diesel will be expected to be acceptable in the future, but the demand for gasoline is still relatively weak due to the impact of epidemic prevention and control. It is expected that the gasoline price of independent refineries in Northwest will be reduced by 100-200 yuan/ton, and the price of diesel will be strong.
Today, September 26th, let’s take a look at the main gas station diesel of China National Petroleum Corporation, Sinopec and other major gas stations; the price information of 92 and 95 gasoline after adjustment. The following is only an example of the information on gasoline prices and 0 diesel prices of CNPC, CNOOC and Sinopec gas stations in some regions.
No. 92 gasoline at Fujian Gas Station is 8.15 yuan/liter today; No. 95 gasoline at Fujian Gas Station is 8.70 yuan/liter today; No. 98 gasoline at Fujian Gas Station is 9.53 yuan/liter today; No. 0 diesel at Fujian Gas Station is 7.86 yuan/liter today.
No. 92 gasoline at Gansu Gas Station is 8.19 yuan/liter today; No. 95 gasoline at Gansu Gas Station is 8.74 yuan/liter today; No. 98 gasoline at Gansu Gas Station is 9.31 yuan/liter today; No. 0 diesel at Gansu Gas Station is 7.76 yuan/liter today.
Inner Mongolia gas station No. 92 gasoline is 8.12 yuan/liter today; Inner Mongolia gas station No. 95 gasoline is 8.67 yuan/liter today; Inner Mongolia gas station No. 98 gasoline is 9.51 yuan/liter today; Inner Mongolia gas station No. 0 diesel is 7.73 yuan/liter today.
Shanxi oil price information: Xinzhou Today's 92 gasoline price is 8.13 yuan/liter; Xinzhou Today's 95 gasoline price is 8.78 yuan/liter; Xinzhou Today's 98 gasoline price is 9.48 yuan/liter; Xinzhou Today's 0 diesel price is 7.94 yuan/liter.
Guizhou oil price information: Anshun Today's 92 gasoline price is 8.32 yuan/liter; Anshun 95 gasoline price is 8.79 yuan/liter; Anshun 98 gasoline price is 9.69 yuan/liter; Anshun 0 diesel price is 7.97 yuan/liter. The prices above
are for reference only. The oil price fluctuates in the market. For specific retail prices of different models of gasoline and diesel, please refer to the real-time quotation of the local gas station.
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