Today, A shares opened low and closed a small negative line. The gap at 3170 points below also filled the part of . The market finally chose to fill the gap down first. Many people are positive, but A-shares are negative. The question now is how to determine the nature of adjustments in , , and even if there is a risk of accelerating decline tomorrow?
first look at the data. There were 2,014 stocks in the two markets, and 2,910 stocks in the decline. For the fifth consecutive day, the stocks rose less and fell more. However, today there are signs of the 82 market trend, indicating that some blue chip weight spillover funds have begun to return to eight types of stocks, and the general rise pattern of individual stocks is expected to reappear.
In terms of sentiment, there were 45 stocks in the two markets that hit the limit of , stocks in the two markets, 6 stocks in the hit the limit of , and 81 stocks that fell by more than 5%. The data has not changed much, but the rebound of strong stocks is corresponding to the old monster stock that began to lead the rise, and they are all leading pharmaceutical companies in the early stage, which is a bit of a problem. The market cannot find a low-level variety that has rebounded and has been rotating and rising. Now that we have begun to explore the old monster, this wave of market is basically coming to an end, and this signal needs to be paid attention to by everyone.
sector, real estate and pharmaceuticals, which resonate on Friday, have been in a state of ice and fire today. Real estate was directly nuclear, while pharmaceuticals were directly grabbed by funds due to drug guidance. There is no medicine outside, so it seems that many people are snatching stock . Although this short-term demand explodes, according to feedback from Yangli friends around you, stocking up so many medicines is useless. Everyone should snatch and cherish it!
Comprehensive sector and data performance, although the market has fallen a lot today, the risks are mainly concentrated on the blue chip weights indicated by Da Ge in the early trading. The money-making effect of individual stocks is not greatly impacted or affected. So Da Ge judged that today's adjustment is not a bad thing. The main reasons are as follows:
First, the style begins to switch, and the market structural market tone remains unchanged.
Today, finance and real estate led the decline, which was affected by the interest rate hike factor, and the negative impact of real estate service giants intending to cash out 5 billion yuan. Of course, the main reason is that short-term rose higher. However, based on the analysis of volume and price, today's adjustment did not increase in volume, indicating that the funds did not leave the market in a trampled manner. Therefore, the subsequent digestion of short-term negative news is not ruled out that there will be repeated tug-of-war.
As for the funds that escape from the weight of blue chips, they should be divided into two directions. One is to go to to buy the bottom , and the other part of the funds have begun to focus on the concept of digital economy . The three main lines I have reminded you before continue to rotate according to their own rhythm, which is why Da Ge reminded him to focus on individual stocks and downside indexes in the short term.
Secondly, speed determines the nature of adjustment, filling in the gap is an opportunity, not a risk.
Originally, if we continue to attack based on 3200 points, it would be a slow-moving pattern with a very slow speed, so this is not consistent with the acceleration after the breakthrough. Now, the market has been adjusted since December 6, so it only fell by 1% in 4 days, and the main declines were contributed today, which shows that the adjustment pressure here is not that great.
So after looking at it, this is still a high-level sideways trading after the breakthrough, which is just a normal technical adjustment. Although we started the journey of filling in the gaps today, we only need to adjust our positions to respond, instead of reducing our positions. After all, the trend line below is safe and there is no structural pressure in the short term. If we adjust this volatile adjustment pattern, we can adjust our positions to respond.
Third, risks come from rising, opportunities come from falling.
Today, the market took the initiative to pull back and fill in the gap. Although it disappointed many friends, the risk factor for prevention this week was further weakened. Because it is very simple, the continuous increase in volume here shrinking volume adjustments indicate that the market rhythm is generally controllable. Before large funds left the market, the market was just repeated and there was no risk of a big drop.
However, the probability of the top divergence from the structure that we originally wanted to prevent will be lowered this week. Before the long-term trend line below breaks, we should all hold the stocks according to the rules and wait for the rise.Trends are the main structure and structure are the auxiliary. Before these two major trading standards are triggered, respecting trends and rules is done. There is no need to worry too much!
To sum up, for tomorrow's market, today's active retracement digests the impact of external diving and negative news. The probability of a repaired rebound after filling the gap tomorrow is extremely high. will continue to focus on individual stocks and ignore index responses, and focus on paying attention to the repair and replenishment opportunities of Xinchuang software and hardware.
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