1. This week, the Shanghai and Shenzhen indexes rose sharply. I believe this must be encouraging to the people of the market. Even if the Shanghai and Shenzhen indexes closed down on Friday, individual stocks still rose more and fell less. I guess everyone should be happy and smiling this week, and I am also consistent with everyone’s beautiful mentality.
2. Of course, we need to know what the main reason for the sharp rise this week is that the epidemic-related factors are positive, which brings everyone's yearning for the bright prospects of in the A-share market. During the weekend, good news of the ease of the epidemic continues to come. I believe that A-share will most likely usher in a stage of continued rebound next week.
3. Our rate has been rising for four consecutive days, from 7.2474 to the current 7.0256. I feel so excited to see this data. I believe this should play a very positive role in the A-share trend.
4. Judging from the 3-week K-line chart of Shanghai and Shenzhen two-finger , after three consecutive weeks of adjustment, this week's rise caused the MA5 moving average to turn upward and the MA10 moving average to form an golden cross . This is a sign that the bulls will continue to rise in the short term in the future, which will also stimulate market bull sentiment.
5. Following the release of dove voices by the Federal Reserve , the October inflation indicator announced by the United States on Friday night also declined, and the expectation of hiking rate hikes in to slow down is taking a step further. I think the Federal Reserve is really in front of the global stock market. If the economic data is improving, there will be pressure from inflation. If interest rate hikes suppress inflation, the global stock market will be green cauliflower. If the economic data weakens, it will face the pressure of economic recession. Slowing down interest rate hikes, the global stock market will turn up. Is inflation more terrible than recession? It is obvious that recession is more terrible, and recession is the real disaster for the stock market.
6. To sum up, my preliminary view on the trend of the A-share market on Monday is
1. The Shanghai and Shenzhen indexes will open with the increase . This is a relatively high possibility;
2. In the end, the Shanghai and Shenzhen indexes will close in the red market, and Shanghai Composite Index will once again hit 3200 points. I estimate that this goal should be achieved;
3. With the rise of the index, individual stocks will also be more red and less green;
4. Wait until I publish an article before the market on Monday morning to confirm my view, I guess there should be no change.
