I am a consistent fan of Zhang Jie Financial Observation and Wen Tiejun, and I have always paid more attention to the columns of these two teachers. However, in recent days, many episodes of the Zhang Jie column have criticized the content of Wen Tiejun . I like both teachers more, so I don’t watch the criticism video with preconceived ideas. It is also a dialectical attitude to read Teacher Zhang’s video content, in order to absorb some nutrients from it.
Let’s talk about Teacher Zhang first. Teacher Zhang’s past videos are numerous and diverse, and they are widely involved. Whether it is economic issues, people's livelihood or political issues, there are some wonderful comments. Especially some of the deep-seated explanations about the economy are very unique. Sometimes I really feel that "listening to you is better than reading for ten years". There are several videos about Teacher Zhang questioning Teacher Wen Tiejun's content. Because I have watched all the videos of the two teachers, I can be considered to have a little bit of my own feelings.
Let’s talk about one of the issues: Teacher Wen Tiejun questioned China’s grain production year after year, because based on his understanding of the current domestic grain production situation, large areas of land in rural areas are abandoned, farmers’ enthusiasm for growing grain is low, most of the rural areas are middle-aged and elderly people farm, most young people go out to work, and in addition, how to count the national grain output. All of them are tangible to affect our country's grain production. Teacher Wen’s relevant views are indeed in line with the reality of our countryside today. My own home is also from the countryside. Compared with my observation, the farmland cultivation rate in our village, including our entire town, will not exceed 30% of what I was when I was a child. Take my own home for example. My family has a total of 5 acres of irrigated land, and there are about 2 acres of mountain and vegetable gardens together. As a post-85s born in the 1985s, although I didn’t go up the mountain to harvest firewood, I went down the fields to harvest rice. When I was a child, I planted rice and rapeseed together. (Now, every time I think of the remaining rice and the rice is dried in autumn, and after I handed over public grain and with my parents, I put all the remaining rice into my barn, my parents always have a smile on my face. And what I am most happy about is the scene where my mother exchanged rice and grain vendors in the village for fruits such as apples and pears. At that time, the taste of apples was really good). But now there is no rice planting in our fields. Only about one acre of rice is left. My mother still planted some rapeseed, and the mother also planted some seasonal vegetables in the vegetable garden next to her. The reason why rapeseed and vegetable gardens is that the management cost of one acre of rapeseed and one piece of vegetable garden is not very high. In addition, my mother always can’t stay idle as long as she has time. Because I come from the countryside, I agree with Teacher Wen’s statement on the current situation of rural land sowing and farmers’ enthusiasm for farming. So even my support for Teacher Wen’s statement on questioning China’s continuous increase in grain production.
remarks about the reasons why Teacher Zhang Jie opposed Teacher Wen Tiejun, it is also well-founded. First of all, our agricultural-related supporting facilities have been greatly improved compared with the past. Secondly, the improvement of agricultural science and technology level and large-scale agricultural mechanized farming have greatly increased our per mu yield, while the per mu investment of human resources has dropped significantly. Finally, the land that was not suitable for planting staple grains in the past has been generated through scientific land use and transformation and land transfer. The direct result is that we can now produce more grain than before by using fewer people through large-scale mechanized planting. Teacher Zhang Jie’s views are indeed in line with some of our current situations. Although a considerable part of the land is in a state of abandonment, the population of farming is also declining. However, large-scale mechanized planting of land transfer is also a fact.
So who has the more correct point of view of the two teachers? As a fan of the two teachers, let me talk about my opinion.
First of all, we need to clarify whether Chinese people can have enough food now? The answer is yes. There is no situation in which the Chinese people are unable to eat enough now.Secondly, how much is the existing inventory of staple food in China's warehouses? There is no way to answer this question. Although there is definitely an answer to this question, it is a state secret. Only the top leaders of the country should know how much staple food reserves in China have (if you don’t understand, please learn by yourself why China’s total grain reserves must be kept confidential).
Although there is no way to know how much staple food reserves in our country, we can see it through the past international food "war". There have been many shortings in my country's food internationally, but they all ended with the failure of international giants. This shows that my country's grain reserve is at least safe for now.
Grain reserves are guaranteed, does our grain production be guaranteed? ?
First of all, grain reserve and grain production are two different things.
my country's grain reserves are mainly rice and wheat, which are the main staple foods of Chinese residents. Others like corn and soybean are mainly used for complementary food and livestock feed. The domestic self-sufficiency rate of rice and wheat in my country's staple food can reach more than 90%, while our complementary foods such as corn and soybeans have a very high ratio from imports. In particular, the soybean import rate has reached more than 80%.
There are many people who say that importing soybeans and corn is used to improve the dietary structure of the Chinese people, and I am very disgusted with this view. Although this is the case at present, they have missed a very important issue, that is, the proportion of non-staple foods in our current dietary structure is very high. To be simple, it is the proportion of rice and flour in everything you eat all day long.
We now say that life is better now, which is reflected in our eating, which means that the proportion of our non-staple foods has increased significantly, and meat, vegetables, fruits, etc. has greatly increased in our daily consumption. Our stomach has not changed, but we have more types of intake.
article has been written here, everyone should understand what I mean!
Currently, our grain reserves are safe, which does not mean that our current grain production is safe. Because compared with the past, our society’s demand for staple food has decreased compared to before, because we don’t rely entirely on rice, flour and steamed buns to fill our stomachs now. The more than 100 million tons of soybeans and corn we import each year actually end up entering our stomachs in other ways, replacing rice and noodles. So if these imports are interrupted one day, can our rice and noodles inventory be insufficient to replace so many other grains imported every year? Moreover, older people know that there is oil and water and no oil and water, and people’s demand for food is different. This is why people used to eat big bowls and now you can’t finish a small bowl.
so I have a deep sense of identity with the questions raised by Teacher Wen Tiejun, and what is a little short of Teacher Zhang Jie's doubts about Teacher Wen Tiejun is that he does not develop from the overall situation of pan-food.
I hope that Wen Tiejun and Zhang Jie, two professionals in different fields, can bring us more professional analysis and knowledge.
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