With the summer league now in full swing, NBA stars are giving up the spotlight and stage to newcomers. Although the media's attention is focused on the young prospects on the Summer League field, the just-released MVP odds for the new season remind us that superstars have never

With the summer league in full swing, the stars of NBA have given up the spotlight and stage to newcomers. Although the media's attention is focused on the young prospects on the Summer League field, the just-released MVP odds for the new season remind us that superstars have never been far away from the spotlight. While this odds ranking may surprise some, the list of players with the highest odds is not surprising. The following are the top ten MVP candidates with the latest odds:

Doncic : +490 (bet 100, guess 590)

Embiid : +600

Antetokounmpo : +650

Durant :+850

Jokic: +1100

Curry: +1300

Tatum: +1300

Morant: +1800

Leonard: +2100

James : +2 600 (bet 100, guess right Got 2700)

Basically, the candidates who have a chance to win MVP in the new season are all on the above list, but there may be problems with the odds ranking. Bleacher Report analyzed the latest MVP odds for the new season, who are the most promising MVP candidates, and which players have odds that are too high or too low.

Doncic: Bet 100, guess 590

In the past three seasons, Doncic has ranked fourth, sixth and fifth in the MVP voting respectively, so there is no doubt that he is the most likely to win it in the new season. One of the MVP stars. From another perspective, Doncic has never met the outside world's expectations of him when competing for MVP-level awards. At this time last year and the year before last, Doncic was the most promising MVP candidate for the new season, with the odds first. After several seasons of nominations, Doncic has greater hope of winning the MVP in the new season.

A key factor is that Brunson left the Mavericks for the Knicks for 104 million in 4 years, and Doncic lost a strong partner. Although Brunson's departure may affect the Mavericks' record, causing Doncic to lose the team's record advantage in competing for MVP. But it seems more likely that the 23-year-old Maverick Doncic will benefit from fewer helpers around him. This season we have witnessed Jokic win the MVP for the second consecutive year in this way. In the absence of second and third offensive options ( Murray and Porter ), he played gorgeous statistics and carried it alone. Move the team forward.

Doncic can do the same thing, as long as his body can withstand the heavier offensive load after Brunson leaves. Physical condition has long been a problem for the three-time All-Star guard. Doncic also admitted that his physical condition this season has not reached the level it should be, so he took training more seriously this offseason than in the past few years. If Doncic devotes himself to training this summer, he may reach a whole new level. Considering that this season Doncic averaged 28.4 points, 9.1 rebounds, and 8.7 assists per game, and his three-point shooting percentage was 35.3%, a career high. This is even when Doncic believes that his physical condition is not as good as it should be, so in the new season Everything is worth looking forward to. Doncic doesn't need to improve too much to average 30+ triple-doubles per game and lead the Mavericks to 50+ wins.

MVP selection criteria will not only refer to the team's record but also focus on personal data. This season, Jokic has proved that the impressive personal data leaves a much deeper impression than the team's record. The Nuggets only ranked sixth in the Western Conference during the regular season, just like Westbrook won the MVP with the Oklahoma City Thunder in the 2016-17 season. Doncic is the most favored MVP candidate, not only because of his continuous improvement with age and the reduction of helpers around him, but also because of his focus on training to solve physical problems this summer, which has always restricted him. Doncic is ready A good start to the strongest season of his career so far.

Embiid: Bet 100, guess correctly and get 700

Jokic: Bet 100, guess correctly and get 1200

Let’s discuss the two big men Embiid and Jokic together, because the probability of them winning MVP is very high. interesting.Jokic has won the MVP for two consecutive years, and both times Embiid was second only to Jokic. From this perspective alone, it is difficult to understand why the odds are more optimistic about Embiid winning the MVP in the new season than Jokic. The 76ers have introduced a bunch of 3D puzzle players - PJ-Tucker, House and melton, which has raised the team's ceiling in the playoffs and is likely to raise the ceiling again in the regular season. Record, this will help Embiid's MVP campaign. If Harden signs a 1+1 contract, maintains his shape and actively competes for victory, the 76ers will easily get the first place in the Eastern Conference in the regular season. However, Doncic's analysis just mentioned that losing his most reliable teammate may increase his chances of winning the MVP, so we are not sure whether Embiid's extra helpers will affect his competition for the MVP. Jokic has also received reinforcements. Murray and Porter should be able to return to full form. Jokic's points per game will drop, but the corresponding assists will rise. The Nuggets can also win more than this season. the match of. The teammates around Jokic and Embiid have been upgraded, which can offset the impact on the two's competition for MVP. In this way, it is harder to understand why the odds are more optimistic about Embiid. A single health issue can refute it. .

One of the most predictable things in the NBA is Embiid's limited playing time and recurring bizarre injuries and muscle soreness. Embiid has never played more than 68 games in a season, and has only played 170 games in the past three seasons. Jokic's durability is on another level entirely. His career has never played less than 73 games in a single season (a total of 82 games in a season), and he has played a combined 219 games in the past three seasons. Contest. It may be a bit simplistic to say that Embiid is unlikely to meet the playing time requirements required by the MVP. Although the MVP selection criteria does not clearly state how many minutes or games need to be played, it is unlikely that Embiid will have a higher attendance rate than Jokic. Obviously, the MVP odds between the two are unreasonable. If Jokic deserves a third MVP, he will perform worthy of it, but the odds are not favoring him at the moment. To sum up, in the worst case, Jokic's odds should be at the same level as Embiid.

Giannis Antetokounmpo: Bet 100, guess correctly and get 750

If you think that Jokic has been unfairly treated since he has won the MVP for two consecutive years, then besides Doncic, the most promising one should be Giannis Antetokounmpo, not Emby. Virtue. Antetokounmpo won two MVP trophies in the 2018-19 and 2019-20 seasons. At the age of 27, he is still at the peak of his career. Antetokounmpo is the best defensive player among the MVP candidates in the new season (won DPOY in 2019-20) and the most diligent in training. His third MVP will not shock anyone.

The winning rate of Bucks in the past three seasons has exceeded 62%. Although the current lineup lacks a certain depth, the winning rate in the new season is unlikely to be lower than 62%. Unless something unexpected happens, the Bucks can win enough games to put Antetokounmpo in the MVP discussion. From a personal point of view, the possibility of Antetokounmpo making a leap in his three-point ability in the new season should not be ruled out. If Antetokounmpo can make up for the last flaw in his game, his statistics will completely explode. Antetokounmpo's total points have not been lower than the top three in each season since the 2015-16 season (sixth), although all teams are building walls to restrict Antetokounmpo from reaching the basket. Just imagine, if Antetokounmpo has an outside shooting threat, even just a little bit, defenders need to pay attention to Antetokounmpo's three-pointers. How terrifying that is.

Very few players can win MVP consecutively and then win MVP again in a few seasons. There are few precedents but there are some. James won the MVP for two consecutive years in 2009 and 2010. The 2011 MVP was won by Rose , and then he won it back in 2012 and 2013. Jordan 's five MVPs span a larger time span, from 1988 to 1998. If James and Jordan can pull it off, Antetokounmpo has a chance to do it too. Although it is disrespectful to say this, Antetokounmpo has this potential, which is why he can become the youngest 75-star player in NBA history. This series of achievements proves that he has the opportunity to compete with these best players in history.Judging from the odds, there are two players who are more likely to win the MVP than Antetokounmpo. I think there is at most one. It’s understandable that Doncic ranks at the top of the list, but Antetokounmpo should be ranked ahead of Embiid.

Durant: Bet 100, guess 950

Durant is a historical player. Even if he ended his career three or four years ago, he will now be inducted into the Hall of Fame. Before we get into the absurdity of having Durant ranked fourth in MVP odds, it’s important to emphasize the fact that the uncertainty surrounding Durant’s future should calm bettors. After Durant made a trade request that the Nets were unlikely to satisfy, his next home became a big question mark. Although Durant's excellent ability on and off the ball makes him the most plug-and-play superstar I have ever seen, basketball is a team sport after all. Perhaps such high odds reflect the outside world's confidence in Durant joining the Suns. As long as the Suns don't give up too many core members for Durant, theoretically they will still be a contender for the league's best record in the new season. It's just that it's too early to assume which team Durant will go to and who he will play with.

In addition, Durant will be 34 years old in the new season. He has played a total of 90 games in the past three seasons. I know Durant missed the entire 2019-20 season with a torn Achilles tendon alone, but that's not enough to disprove doubts about his durability. Considering his age and major injuries, Durant will likely have a lot of pre-planned rest in the new season. However, even though the Nets have tried their best to keep Durant healthy, he has only played 55 games this season, missing some games due to shoulder, ankle and knee problems. Durant only played 35 games in the 2020-21 season due to hamstring and thigh injuries. Taking Durant's outstanding performance for granted, coupled with the decline in form as he ages, it is difficult to understand why Durant can rank fourth on the MVP odds list for the new season. Of course, if Durant ends up staying with the Nets and playing enough games, he may actually be the most popular MVP candidate.

There is a classic axiom about what the decline of a great player looks like. Superstars don't suddenly become crotchless. Instead, they rarely perform at their peak, but occasionally there are those dazzling moments that make you feel like you are back at the top. Durant has not reached this stage yet. When he is on the court, he looks not much different from the Durant who won the MVP in 2014. For him, the biggest problem in getting the MVP is attendance rate. It's OK to miss games due to injury. Just don't arrange one or two games every week to rest.

Curry: Bet 100 and get 1400

Tatum: Bet 100 and get 1400

Like Embiid and Jokic, it makes sense to discuss Curry and Tatum together. The two have the same MVP odds, and both led their teams to the finals this season. In the end, Curry and the Warriors were better. Curry's career honors are much better, and his high-level statistics (BPMEPM) this season are higher than Tatum's. Despite this, Tatum (sixth) still leads Curry (eighth) in the MVP voting. Tatum has played 500 minutes more than Curry, which is an important advantage. Maybe voters are also tired of Curry's outstanding performance. The brilliant achievements in the past may prevent the two-time MVP from winning another MVP trophy. Curry can have another wonderful season like this season. However, the selection will still cause dissatisfaction because he does not reach the level of the unanimous MVP in the 2015-16 season. Fair treatment.

There is a ten-year age difference between Curry and Tatum, and Tatum is still improving steadily year by year. Given that Tatum and the Celtics were ultimately defeated by Curry and the Warriors with a 2:1 lead in the Finals, we shouldn't rule out Tatum and the upgraded Celtics treating the new season as The possibility of a revenge season.

Tatum is ahead of Curry in the MVP voting this season. In the new season, the Celtics superstar has a chance to have the best season of his career. It makes no sense to see that the two MVP odds are the same. .In addition, the Warriors have just won the championship as the third seed. The new season will allow Curry to rest more games. The regular season will not consume Curry too much. While load management is performed on the veteran stars, the MVP routine The honor of the game is bound to be sacrificed. Tatum and Curry have similar values ​​this season, but one is on the rise in his career in the new season, and the other needs to spend a lot of time and energy on load management to prevent injuries. The young star of the Celtics won the MVP The chances should be much greater than Curry, the old Warriors boss.

Original text: Grant Hughes

Compiler: Li Taibai