The current international situation is that the epidemic is still hovering, and the Omickron series of variants has shown a trend of multiple variants being popular at the same time, which has brought huge uncertainty to the future, and has also caused the epidemic to continue to

The current international situation is that the epidemic is still hovering, and the Omickron series of variants has shown a trend of multiple variants being popular at the same time, which has brought huge uncertainty to the future, and has also caused the epidemic to continue to produce new waves of infection due to the variant update, making the epidemic subsidence become far away. Under this circumstance, we can see that except for our country, other countries have basically abandoned the epidemic prevention policy aimed at clearing zero.

However, it should also be seen that the huge impact after the release will still be extremely severe, especially the gap in medical resources will be extremely huge, and the social impact on this will still be very obvious and extremely difficult to control. It is definitely not good news for the Chinese economy. As the world's largest manufacturing center, China's manufacturing industry is actually the foundation of the economy. If manufacturing can ensure stability, the losses of the tertiary industry can recover quickly to a large extent. However, if the manufacturing industry becomes unstable due to the epidemic, then China's low added value cannot be compensated. Therefore, unstable is its core and the biggest advantage of the dynamic zeroing policy.

And with the rapid spread of Omickron variants, the situation is now becoming more complicated. We see that the problem that has occurred in many provinces and regions in the northwest is that the failure to respond quickly in the early stage of the epidemic has led to serious out of control, and so much so that it has hovered at a high level for a long time. Super dissemination also means that as long as a few people do not obey epidemic prevention management, such as nucleic acid reps or even substitute for isolation, it can still lead to out of control in the early stage of the epidemic. Super dissemination still means that making large amounts of investment in the early stage of epidemic prevention will lead to the rapid depletion of epidemiological investigation and isolation capabilities, which will ultimately lead to the weak subsequent succession and the out-of-control epidemic.

Therefore, the main goal of these twenty measures can still be considered dynamically cleared, but the timeline is further extended and the more scarce flow investigation and isolation resources are saved and used. Not investigating close contacts and shortening the isolation time are all practices to avoid the rapid depletion of epidemiological investigation and isolation resources in the early stage of the epidemic, and the positive missed detection rate inevitably needs to be controlled by more nucleic acid testing. The goal of these twenty measures is to turn the rapid encirclement and annihilation into a slow attack, and gradually get the positives in continuous flow investigation and precise isolation, so as to achieve a lower situation at the dynamic level of infection scale.

This also means that the situation we will face in the future is not rapid nucleic acid epidemiological investigation and isolation and then clear, but slow epidemic climb, control, and slow Rt value decline, and then clear or the next wave of epidemic occurs. Therefore, even eastern cities are likely to be in a state of quarantine under the local epidemic at any time. This dynamic development of

also means that the daily pressure on the epidemic will be much greater than in 2020 and 2021, but the controllability may become stronger. If the prevention and control can be achieved in this way in the face of Omickron, then it is acceptable for overall epidemic prevention, at least it avoids the rapid depletion of resources, and the rapid encirclement and annihilation will become a slow attack.

However, such a solution will also put forward more complex requirements for areas with insufficient governance capabilities, so it will be more difficult in practice, especially the relevant system personnel in small and medium-sized cities will be a test of ability and endurance. Of course, if the manufacturing industry can be maintained well, then China's economy will have a way to recover quickly in the post-epidemic era, which will be more helpful to the future.

For ordinary people, the requirement is to further strengthen protection and hygiene habits in daily life, cooperate with nucleic acid and epidemiological investigation, and then do whatever you should do. At the same time, since this system is relatively complex and there is a possibility that the epidemic will be out of control, it is necessary to appropriately reserve daily necessities and medicines to deal with possible logistics improper and insufficient medical resources. Whether this solution is valid is Guangzhou, Zhengzhou and Chongqing. If they can maintain low infection data at this scale, then this solution is feasible. As for the relaxation, I personally think there is no option at the moment, and it is not cost-effective to calculate the relaxation.