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The dialogue between Trump and the Taliban is correct, and it is also brave
In February of this year, US President Donald Trump won his diplomacy One of the lasting successes in policy. In Doha, the capital of Qatar, the bearded Taliban (some of whom have never allowed themselves to be photographed before) accepted a peace agreement with the US envoy. The United States will withdraw its troops. In exchange, the Taliban agreed to stop attacks on foreign troops and abandon terrorism. They also agreed to participate in further talks with the internationally recognized Kabul government in Doha. For the first time in 40 years, the agreement has brought peace prospects to Afghanistan.
Since then, the United States has kept its promises. The number of troops stationed in Afghanistan has been reduced from nearly 10,000 to less than half now. The Taliban is not so consistent. They have stopped their attacks on the US military, but on the battlefield, they continue to exert their advantages. For civilians, October was the bloodiest month in more than a year, partly because the Taliban tried to control Rashkar Gah, the capital of Helmand Province. This was retreated by an air attack by the United States. In the past few weeks, militants have occupied several rural areas. They seem to see the Doha negotiations as an opportunity for the Kabul government to surrender, rather than a serious negotiation.
Trump's dialogue with the Taliban is correct and brave. Although they did not control a city, they were not challenged in the countryside and controlled the roads. In this regard, they raised taxes quite effectively. In contrast, the Kabul government is riddled with corruption and infighting. The militants will not be defeated, so they must be negotiated. The agreement reached by the US envoy Zalemi Khalilzad is a necessary step to end the war.
However, in Trump's current operations, he may have given militants far beyond what they can get. During the preparations for the US election, the president promised to return all US troops "before Christmas." On November 9, after losing the election, he subsequently fired Secretary of Defense Mark Esper and several other Pentagon officials. Acting Secretary of Defense Christopher Miller seems to be more enthusiastic about satisfying the demands of his superiors. On November 17, he announced plans to reduce the number of US troops from 4,500 to 2,500 by mid-January.
This will make Trump say that he has kept his promise, but it sends a signal to the Taliban that the United States will leave anyway. It disrupted the Doha negotiations and increased the risk of the collapse of the Afghan army. Because of the loss of American air support, the morale of its troops was low. In the attack on Lashkar Gah, hundreds of people fled without firing a shot. More failures may cause most of the expensive equipment of the United States to fall into the hands of the enemy, and the enemy will use these equipment to continue to advance. A lot has happened: the Taliban shared videos on social media to show off the Hummer. Instead of making peace, the United States will surrender. Afghanistan may become a rogue country again, and one day it will become a safe haven for terrorists.
President-elect Joe Biden will take over this poisonous Holy Grail. He was never keen to interfere in Afghanistan. He also promised to end the "eternal war". During his tenure as Vice President, he opposed Barack Obama's "strengthening plan", which increased the number of US troops in Iraq to more than 100,000. But this does not mean that he must hand over the victory to the Taliban. When
took office, he should announce that he will stick to the agreement with the Taliban-as long as they do. It requires the U.S. military to withdraw before June next year. Biden should tell the Taliban that it depends on them reducing violence and taking negotiations seriously. If they don't, the US military should stay. Biden should also make it clear to the government in Kabul that they must negotiate seriously.
NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg warned that the cost of leaving Afghanistan too early "may be very high." In contrast, the cost of staying here is very low. Since February this year, no American soldier has been killed in the fighting in Afghanistan. Thousands of people are a small force. However, it allowed other allies, such as Britain and Germany, to stay in Afghanistan to train the Afghan army.
As long as some troops and aircraft are still there, the Taliban’s chances of occupying the city are limited. This gives the Afghan government an opportunity to negotiate a real peace. The United States should not let this war go on forever, but it should notLet it jeopardize everything it has worked so hard for.
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