A few days ago, three local military airports in Russia were bombed by Ukrainian troops for two consecutive days. One of the airports was about 160 kilometers away from the Russian capital Moscow .
The Ukrainian army bombed the Tu-95 Bear strategic bomber and the Tu-22M3 reverse fire strategic bomber. A total of 3 were damaged, 3 Russian soldiers were killed and many were injured.
Ukrainian army bombed Russian local military airport , and targeted the Russian army's strategic bomber . What is the purpose?
Also, whether the United States supports the Ukrainian army's actions behind the scenes, if so, the matter will be "big", which means that the possibility of direct conflict between NATO and Russia is getting higher and higher.
At the same time, this also means that the risk of NATO's nuclear war with Russia's is increasing.
December 7 Putin said that the risk of nuclear war is gradually increasing.
Putin also said to the United States that he said that Russia's nuclear weapon is used to defend itself and is used to counterattack the opponent's attacks and defend himself and his allies. However, the United States has deployed nuclear weapons in Europe (used to deal with other countries), and Russia's nuclear weapons will not be given to anyone.
The Ukrainian army's bombing of Russian airports may have several purposes.
first, shows that the Ukrainian army is also capable of bombing deep into Russia's territory.
According to reports, the Ukrainian army converted the Tu-141 high-altitude reconnaissance drone made by the Soviet Union into a suicide attack drone, successfully bombing Russia's military airport.
For Ukraine, this is of great significance.
Since Russia uses drone to bomb Ukraine, the Ukrainian army also has the ability to use drones to counter Russia, and also sends modified drones to bomb military airports in Russia. And a high-value strategic bomber airport was also selected.
In fact, the Ukrainian army also achieved its goal, with three strategic bombers damaged, which is a high-value goal. Zelensky is equivalent to a mouthful of "bird" breath that is held in your heart. Why can you bomb me? I can't bomb you? Therefore, as long as Ukraine has a way, it will definitely find ways to make relative revenge.
second , Zelensky declared to the world that it was too early to end the Russian-Ukrainian war! Don’t think that Russia will definitely win this war, and the Ukrainian army is also capable of going deep into Russia.
This time, the Ukrainian army bombed Russia, showing that Ukraine has the ability to enter a range of nearly 1,000 kilometers of Russian territory.
Moreover, it is still very close to Moscow, the capital of Russia. Ukraine shows that when necessary, the Ukrainian army also has the ability to attack Moscow, which is called a reciprocal threat.
Because signs show that Russia may attack Ukrainian capital Kiev in the next counterattack. In this case, Ukraine also came to attack military airports that were only about 160 kilometers away from Moscow.
uses this to show that not only Russia can attack Kiev, but Ukraine also has the ability to attack Moscow.
This mutual attack and retaliation are inevitable results for the two countries that have been trapped in a long war.
Third, Zelensky took advantage of this attack to regain some face for the military decline this month, so as to show the United States and the European Union and countries that the Ukrainian army still has certain combat effectiveness, and the United States and the West must continue to support Ukraine.
Especially recently, the United States and the European Union have appeared, reducing the voices of aid to Ukraine.
For Russia, although the attacks from the Ukrainian army in those two days will not change the situation on the Ukrainian battlefield, it is certain that the Russian army lost its face.
The Russian army probably did not expect that the Ukrainian army could actually bomb Russia from a range of 600 to 700 kilometers.
From another perspective, the airport where strategic bombers are placed in Russia were bombed by Ukrainian troops, which is a phenomenon that has not occurred since World War II .
This shows some problems with the Russian army in defense.
First, airports that park or deploy strategic bombers should deploy some degree of air defense measures around them to protect these airports and strategic bombers.
You should know that these strategic bombers can carry nuclear warheads . Russia has obvious defense loopholes in this regard. air defense system cannot detect incoming drones, and there is also a lack of air defense missiles to shoot down these drones. This is not a phenomenon that a great country with all-round military power should have.
second, This may also be because in order to fight this Russian-Ukrainian war, Russia has transferred some air defense forces, such as S-300 and S-400 and other air defense missile systems from the local area to the Ukrainian battlefield, or deployed on the Ukrainian border, as well as border areas adjacent to NATO countries, so that vulnerabilities in air defense networks have been formed in some local areas.
If this is the reason, it is difficult for Russia.
After all, Russia's economic size is not enough. Although it is more than enough to deal with Ukraine, Russia is facing the United States and the entire NATO. Although the Russian army can make careful arrangements on the Ukrainian battlefield, if the front line is lengthened, omissions in the defense network will inevitably be avoided.
However, from another perspective, the Russian army is not entirely unhelpful. If Russia launches missiles at some European countries or launches drone attacks, these NATO European member states will still have defense vulnerabilities.
So, what role did the United States play in the bombing of Ukraine on Russian airports?
Let’s first look at what the US side said. US Secretary of State Blinken said: "We neither encourage nor authorize Ukraine to attack Russia. It is important to understand what Ukraine experiences every day under the Russian invasion."
Blinken's statement is completely recommended! What he meant is that it had nothing to do with the United States, and we did not ask Ukraine to do this. Blinken also beat Russia back and asked everyone to pay more attention to the situation Ukraine encountered in the war every day.
The question is, how could Ukraine know so accurately that there was an air defense vulnerability in these three military airports in Russia? Russia deploys strategic bombers at these airports, and Ukraine may obtain them through intelligence, but Ukraine is very accurate and can successfully escape Russia's air defense network and bomb Russian airports with old-fashioned modified drones.
Don’t forget that Russia is a country with missile defense and missile early warning systems. Moreover, Ukraine’s modified drone was previously a large jet drone used for high-altitude reconnaissance. It is not the kind of small, nor is it a rotor low-altitude flight drone.
So, how did Ukraine obtain information about the air defense vulnerability in Russia? It is difficult to do so with Ukraine's reconnaissance system alone.
However, the US side has completely pushed it, and Russia has nothing to say. After all, it was a loophole in its own air defense system, and it was difficult for Russia to explain what was wrong. Is there something wrong with the detection system? Or is the missile defense insufficient, and some air defense missiles have been pulled out? Russia is hard to explain.
According to Russian media, Ukrainian drone was intercepted by Russian air defense systems when approaching its air force base. After the drone was hit and crashed, it caused an explosion and caught fire, which affected the strategic bombers parked at the airport.
Russia can only say this. This just goes further to show that Russia faces not only Ukraine, but the NATO countries behind it.
This is why Putin said: The risk of nuclear war is gradually increasing.
This time Russia lost three expensive strategic bombers, so it could only touch its nose and recognize it.
bomber parked at these three airports may not necessarily bomb Ukraine, but Ukraine is regarded as a target. It can only be explained that Ukraine is targeted, with a political purpose greater than its substantial military significance, and it has picked up the Russian army's air defense loopholes.
Of course, Russian military airports were bombed by Ukraine, and this venue must be retrieved. Therefore, the Russian army subsequently launched a counterattack against Ukraine and bombed it in large numbers.
The same logic is also an inevitable result for both Russia and Ukraine who are trapped in a long war. Both sides are red-eyed and have no way out. What should I do if there is no way out? We had to continue fighting to the end, and ultimately it depends on the strength of both sides to determine the outcome.
The problem is that Ukraine has obviously changed its strategy and will not be satisfied with one or two attacks on Russia.
According to the Russian Ministry of Defense, on the evening of December 7, the air defense system in the Belgorod region of Russia shot down some incoming missiles. However, missiles still hit the state's Guards District's power transmission system.
It seems that Ukraine has also chosen a retaliation measure of tooth for tooth and eye for eye. What will happen if
?
Go back to that sentence, Russia and Ukraine were caught in a long war, and both sides were red. Therefore, both of them must be enlightened and enlightened ( Minnan ). What are you enlightened?
first, is it too early for this war to end? We said in March, at the beginning of the Russian-Ukrainian war, that the United States and Russia both intend to fight a relatively long-term war.
In fact, Ukraine, or Zelensky, wants to continue to fight. Content from a few days ago, Yang Feng: Civil strife in Ukraine is intensifying, will Russia play a triumphant song? What about China?
In this issue, we said that according to the revelation of the US media, 70% of the amount of aid the US and Europe to Ukraine was "eat" by the Ukrainian authorities. This is a good business, and the war will continue to benefit those officials who "eat" money.
What's more, Zeninsky has no way out, so he can only continue to fight, otherwise the image he deliberately created before would be ruined.
Of course, it is mainly because the US side behind it does not want the war to end too soon.
The second enlightenment is that is indeed at risk of escalation. The main reason is that the US continues to test Russia's bottom line. Recently, the US has been considering whether to aid Ukraine with more offensive weapons. In fact, this is not the first time. A few months ago, the United States provided Ukraine with multiple Hymas rocket launchers, which had opened the door with more attack power, although the United States limited the range of Hymas rocket launchers.
8 report, according to CNN, Biden is weighing whether to aid Ukraine's controversial " cluster bomb ".
If the United States further provides Ukraine with more aggressive, more powerful, or longer range weapons, the risk of war escalation will inevitably increase.
However, the result of the escalation of the war means that the risk of the United States or NATO being dragged into the war is also increasing. Therefore, Putin said: The risk of nuclear war is gradually increasing, and Russia will use all means to defend itself and its allies!
What is Russia going to use all means to defend itself and its allies? This sentence ultimately leads to nuclear war. Especially when Russia is under threat, this possibility increases.
In addition to the two enlightenments mentioned above, there is also a third enlightenment, that is, the enlightenment of defeat or failure.
Perhaps, the United States, Russia, Europe and Ukraine have not yet thought seriously. If the war is defeated or failed, how should we withdraw?
According to our previous reasoning, Ukraine must have been raging in war; Europe will end with an economic downturn; what about the United States and Russia?
Our speculation about Russia is that after Russia turns to Asia in terms of economic and financial aspects, Russia's economy has been affected, but it is safe to protect itself.
Russia can spend as much as Europe. However, even if the war is over, it will take several years for Russia to slowly recover unless the United States and the EU lift sanctions on Russia. What about the United States? Logically, the United States did not participate in the war directly, so the United States should not be affected too much. Even if Ukraine fails in the end, the United States can withdraw safely, at most it will lose aid to Ukraine.
However, what the US really loses is not the funds that aid Ukraine, nor the consumption of its own arsenal, but the United States' hegemony in the world. We will further discuss this in the future.
At this time, the United States, Russia, Europe and Ukraine are probably the ones that cannot deeply realize themselves are Ukraine and the United States. For Ukraine, it may be a disaster of destruction or permanent loss of the four eastern parts of Ukraine.
For the United States, it takes so much effort to concentrate so many resources. If Ukraine loses its war, or the United States has to end it and force Ukraine to negotiate, it will damage the US's global hegemony. As for the size of the damage, it depends on how long the war will last.
The longer the Russian-Ukraine war is delayed, the more severe the damage the US will be if Ukraine ultimately fails to win and successfully forces Russia to retreat and return the four places in eastern Ukraine.
In addition, the United States and Russia may have had some tacit understanding before, for example, Russia will not use nuclear weapons. For Russia, the previous display of nuclear weapons was just to intimidate NATO to prevent it from participating in the war. Therefore, as long as Russia is not attacked, Russia will not use nuclear weapons.
is also because of this. Ukraine's previous shelling of the Russian border is still in a tolerable range in Russia. However, once Ukraine in-depth attacks on Russian territory, the risk of war escalation will be increased. However, neither Ukraine nor the United States are willing to bear the consequences of failure, so they keep testing.
Then, the consequences of destroying tacit understanding are unpredictable.