Background 1, an explosion occurred in the city center of Istanbul, the largest city in Turkey, on the 13th, killing at least 6 people and injuring 81 people
Turkey has launched continuous strikes on the Kurdish armed forces in Syria, and Iraq, in recent days, causing nearly 200 deaths, and the regional situation has suddenly become tense. The unbearable Kurdish armed forces had to ask the United States for help, demanding the stop of Türkiye's military operations.
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Background 2, when the "Russia-Ukraine conflict" is difficult to resolve, Turkey suddenly aided Ukraine
Turkey suddenly assisted Ukraine with a range of 70 kilometers of 230 mm caliber TRLG-230 motorized rocket launcher and 200 mine-proof armored vehicles. Although the
TRLG-230 rocket launcher is not as powerful as the Himas , its accuracy can reach within 10 meters. At the same time, it can also cooperate with the TB-2 drone . In other words, the TB-2 drone can guide the TRLG-230 rocket launcher to conduct long-range precise strikes on targets identified by TB-2, and the threat to the Russian ground is no less than that of the Himas.
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Türkiye "turns its back" against the United States and Russia in both directions
That is to say, Türkiye has taken actions that are unfavorable to the United States or Russia in both directions.
, aren’t you afraid of the United States or Russia to settle the score later?
Theoretically, there is no need to worry like this. The reasons are as follows:
First, the United States and Russia are competing on Ukraine's land. They have no time to pay attention to the interests of small countries such as Syria and Iraq, and will not offend Turkey, which is influential in the Middle East because of the interests of small countries.
Second, whether the United States or Russia settles accounts with Turkey after the fall, it will lead to Turkey's complete reversal, which will have a serious impact on the balance of power between the United States and Russia in the Middle East.
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3. Türkiye is a member of NATO . In the process of applying to join NATO by Finland and Sweden , Turkey's vote is very important. At the same time, Türkiye controls the Bosphorus and the Dardanelles of the Black Sea and the Mediterranean , which can restrain Russia's Pacific Fleet and Black Sea Fleet . Therefore, the United States will not offend Türkiye easily.
Fourth, Türkiye and Russia have close economic exchanges, mainly reflected in the natural gas. The "Turkey Creek" natural gas pipeline that has been built and put into use is from the Russian coast through the Black Sea bottom to the northwestern Turkish city of Kiykoi. In Kiykoi, the natural gas transported by Russia is divided into two lines, supplying gas to the Turkish market and supplying gas to southeastern European countries from land through northwestern Turkey. The "Türkiye Creek" natural gas pipeline is currently regarded as the most reliable pipeline for exporting natural gas to Europe.
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In mid-to-early October, Russian President Putin proposed that Russia could supply gas to Europe through Türkiye and build Europe's largest natural gas hub in Türkiye. The proposal was responded by Turkish President Erdogan, who has agreed to jointly build an international gas supply hub with Russia in Turkey and has instructed the Turkish Ministry of Energy and Natural Resources to cooperate with relevant Russian departments.
Therefore, from an economic perspective, Russia still wants to go with Türkiye, so naturally it will not easily offend Türkiye.
Fifth, as a major Middle East power, Turkey has an army of about 600,000 people in sea, land and air. They also have a population of nearly 100 million, and both military and economic capabilities are very good. Neither the United States nor Russia are willing to have direct conflict with Türkiye.
Based on the above points, Türkiye has full confidence and gains its own benefits.
If we say that fights and fights , the United States makes the most profits. Then, the "Russia-Ukraine conflict" is very likely to make Türkiye the biggest winner.
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