After the Ukrainian army forces the Russian army to withdraw from Khlsong City, in which direction will the attack be launched in the next stage? Many analysts believe that Zaporoze may be the next target. The Ukrainian army may seek breakthroughs from here and directly hit Berkansk on the beach at Azov , and Crimea may also be attacked.
"Kiev regime plan to enter Crimea before the end of the year", the Russian "South Federation" website reported on the 16th that the leadership of Kiev has formulated a plan to continue to attack Russian troops, attack the coast of the Azov Sea, and then enter Crimea.
reported that Ukrainian military expert Roman Svettan shared the Ukrainian army's plan and claimed that these goals are likely to be achieved by the end of this year, and anywhere the Ukrainian army attacked the Azov coast would cut off the land corridor from the Russian Federation through the Khlsun region to the Crimean Peninsula. Then, Russia will encounter problems in supplying weapons and ammunition to the Khlsun Group, and the Ukrainian army will have a good chance to attack Crimea through the Alabat Spit and Perekop or Junggar.
"I think before the New Year we will hear about the Ukrainian armed forces carrying out their mission in Crimea," Sviathan said on Channel 24. He also said that Ukrainian propagandists do not rule out that after entering Crimea, Kiev will begin expelling Russian citizens from the peninsula territory.
is not only the Ukrainian side, but also some analysts believe that the Ukrainian army will pose a threat to Crimea.
According to TASS , Rogov, chairman of the "We Are With Russia" campaign, said that the Ukrainian armed forces' plan to invade Berkansk poses a threat to the logistics supply in Crimea and Khlsong regions.
Rogov told TASS that in the context of the retreat of Russian Khlsson, up to 40,000 Ukrainian armed forces are expected to be transferred to the direction of Zaporozhe within one to two weeks, and the battle situation on the line of contact between the two sides deteriorated.
He said: "If the Ukrainians enter Berkansk, it will not only cut off and block the land corridors leading to Crimea, but also cut off the roads from Greater Russia through Donbass , Zaporozhe and Khlsson areas. This will not only weaken the ability of the Russian group troops in the Khlsson area to obtain ammunition supplies and other supplies - food, medicine, etc., but also potentially make almost the entire Crimea The area was attacked.
Rogov said Crimea will be easily covered by long-range artillery systems provided to Ukraine by the West, including Crimea Bridge , and Crimea cannot live without food supply.
"These are not just plans of the Ukrainian armed forces, their U.S. commanders also clearly expressed these plans. This is a huge plan, Zelensky repeatedly expressed this at the meeting of the General Staff,” Rogov added.
According to the Russian Independent, Ben Hodges, former commander of the US military in Europe, said that after the Ukrainian army captured Khlsson and other places, You can use ‘ Himas ’ to launch an attack to weaken Russia’s defense, and then seize Mariupol and Melitopol by January next year. Then, "the decision phase of the operation to liberate Crimea will begin."
In this regard, Russian analysis believes that there is a response plan. Russian military expert Netkachev believes that the Ukrainian army can use the "Haimas" multiple rocket launcher from Khlsson, but this situation is not without antidote. Russia can deal with them- drone , high-precision weapon. The problem now is not that the United States provides the Kiev regime with the "Haimas" multi-barrel rocket launcher system, but why does Russia not destroy the transport infrastructure provided by the enemy, including the transportation route of the "Haimas".
There are also analysis that the Ukrainian army can transfer about 40,000 troops from Kherson, and the Zaporoze direction is considered a priority. What is curious is how many troops the Russian army can use to reinforce other directions? The Russian Ministry of Defense said that 30,000 people were withdrawn from Kherson.
In fact, Ukraine is also worried that the Russian troops retreating from Khlsun would launch an attack in a certain direction.
Ukrainian Independent News Agency said that Ukrainian military expert Chernick believes that after the Russian army suffered a serious failure in the direction of Khlsson, it attempted to gain battlefield advantages in the Donbass region to divert attention and cover up previous losses. However, other analysts believe that the Russian and Ukrainian armies are currently attacking and defending each other in the Lugansk region and the Donetsk region in the Donetsk region. The Russian army may not be able to maintain the current active offensive momentum in the Donbas region, nor may it make significant progress in combat, because the Ukrainian army has also freed up a certain amount of troops from the Khlsong region.
No matter what, neither Russia nor Ukraine has the intention to stop acting, and the war of attrition between the two sides will continue.