Former Japanese Prime Minister Shizo Abe once claimed that "If there is something wrong with Taiwan, it is also the matter of Japan and the United States alliance." The implication is that the Self-Defense Force will assist the US military to "send troops to protect Taiwan." Although Abe has been assassinated, the new Japanese government has inherited his political legacy and proposed to lift the ban on collective self-defense rights, modify the Peace Constitution , strengthen Japan's military strength construction, and strengthen Japan's alliance relations. So, once a conflict breaks out in the Taiwan Strait, will Japan assist the US military in "sending troops to protect Taiwan"?
According to Russian Satellite News Agency, during the ASEAN summit, Japanese Prime Minister Kisha Fumio expressed his hope for a high-level meeting between China and Japan, but Kishida Fumio also stated on issues related to Taiwan that peace and stability in the Taiwan Strait is related to regional security, and Japan will strengthen cooperation with the United States. Fumio Kishida actually wanted to say, "If there is something wrong with the Taiwan Strait, even if there is something wrong with Japan, it is also the matter of the US-Japan alliance." Fumio Kishida's attitude is that he wants to improve Sino-Japanese relations through high-level meetings, and to use the Taiwan Strait issue to obtain bargaining chips for negotiations to put pressure on China. It can be seen from this that while following the "Abe Route", Kishida's article further highlights the "Kishda's characteristics".
For example, in terms of economy, Fumio Kishida hopes to correct the disadvantages of " Abenomics " through the concept of "new capitalism", and hopes to enhance Japan's influence in the international community by maintaining Japan's competitiveness in high-end industries such as automobiles and semiconductors and high-tech fields. At the same time, Fumio Kishida also hopes to strengthen cooperation with China in the economic and trade fields to alleviate the domestic economic recession in Japan. In terms of diplomacy, Kishida Fumio still hopes to maintain cooperation with the United States and use the power of the United States to obstruct China's complete unification. In August this year, the US House of Representatives Speaker Pelosi was counter-attacked by China. Japan fueled the fire in the Taiwan Strait waves caused by the US and issued a joint statement with other G7 countries, demanding that China not unilaterally change the status quo of the Taiwan Strait by force. China subsequently canceled the China-Japan foreign ministers' meeting.
Simplely put, the Kishida Fumio government's policy toward China is to maintain a "gold and hot government" state and try to use the Taiwan issue to restrain mainland China. To this end, Japan also sent politicians to Taiwan, which is obviously testing and striking China's bottom line of the "one-China principle". There is no doubt that Taiwan issue is the core of China's core interests, and the "one-China principle" is an insurmountable red line for Sino-Japanese relations. Not long ago, Japan held an international review ship-style , and the People's Liberation Army rejected the Japanese invitation. Our position is very clear. Japan must draw a clear line with the separatist forces of "Taiwan independence", otherwise it will be difficult for China and Japan to engage in normal exchanges and exchanges.
Judging from the official documents of the United States and Japan, government officials have expressed that once an armed conflict occurs in the Taiwan Strait in the future, the United States and Japan will inevitably intervene, but based on their respective interests and political considerations, the strategic intentions and means of the United States and Japan intervention will be different. The United States' goal is to "thwart the mainland's unified action against Taiwan, force the mainland to give up its force, weaken and consume China's strength." In order to safeguard regional strategic interests and the US-Japan alliance, Japan will provide support for the US military intervention. To put it bluntly, whether Japan will "send troops to protect Taiwan" mainly depends on the US's choice. If the US implements armed interference, Japan must cooperate in defense, but if the US does not "send troops to protect Taiwan", regardless of whether Japan wants to, it will not be able to compete with China alone, because , the Japanese Self-Defense Force does not have the strength to defeat the People's Liberation Army.
In fact, the United States is very clear that, as the world's second and largest economy, China and the United States, as two nuclear powers, will not only be a disaster for the two sides of the Taiwan Strait, but also a disaster for the whole world. As for countries or regions that dare to join forces with the United States, they will first become victims and cannon fodder. Therefore, US President Biden made it clear that his policy goals towards China are seeking competition, not conflict.On November 14, the Chinese and US heads of state formally met in Indonesia . Biden introduced the situation of US midterm elections to China, and said that the United States respects China's system, does not seek to change China's system, does not seek to fight a "new Cold War", does not seek to strengthen alliance relations and oppose China, does not intend to conflict with China, and does not intend to encircle China.
Biden also particularly emphasized that the United States adheres to the one-China policy, does not support "Taiwan independence", does not support "two Chinas" or "one China, one Taiwan", and does not seek to use the Taiwan issue as a tool to curb China. Obviously, the United States has realized that although , Washington, has clearly defined China as its number one opponent and has exhausted all kinds of means, it still has not seen the results they want. Although the Taiwan issue can stimulate China the most, it is a dangerous "trump card" that even makes the US involved in conflicts it does not want, so the US must restrain itself on this issue.
At present, the Fumio Kishida government is also interested in "using Taiwan to control China" and even strengthening cooperation with the United States to restrain mainland China. The latest poll by Japan has been released and shows that 80% of Japanese respondents are not optimistic about the situation in the Taiwan Strait, but if the People's Liberation Army takes unified military action, 74% of respondents oppose following the US military to "send troops to protect Taiwan." Before this, Australian Intelligence Agency Director Monsi also said that if war begins in Taiwan, don’t take it for granted that Australia will support the US. We can also say bluntly that "using Taiwan to control China" is doomed to fail, and "refusing to unite and seek independence" is a dead end!
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