On October 10, the Russian Aerospace Forces and Russian Navy Black Sea Fleet launched a large-scale cruise missile attack on many places across Ukraine. The attack targets were concentrated in Ukraine's energy center and important departments. At the same time, it also launched a beheading operation against some important figures in Ukraine. On October 11, the morning of Ukraine began with the explosion again. The Russian Aerospace Forces and the Black Sea Fleet launched a new round of missiles against Ukraine tml2 attack; the two consecutive days of attacks have caused serious damage to the national power grid in Ukraine. At present, the lights of Kharkiv Prefecture have been turned off, and the power grids of Kiev Prefecture and Khmelniks Prefecture have also been damaged. The two states were forced to choose off-peak power outages to ensure power loads. The damage in the western states such as Lviv and Ternopol were also relatively serious. Lviv experienced a night of power outage last night.
There is no doubt that the Russian army began to attack Ukraine's power system on a large scale, which is indeed a sign of further escalation of the conflict. After all, judging from the Russian army's actions in the past six months, the Russian army has always maintained a high tolerance for Ukraine's livelihood facilities. For example, from the situation of the Battle of Kiev, when the Russian army deployed its troops at Gostomeli Airport, the Ukrainian army deployed its artillery next to the factory building of the Kiev Thermal Power Plant and bombarded the Gostomeli Airport. In order not to affect the electricity use of Kiev, the Russian army ignored this artillery position. Everyone took the sky spirit cover and took the Ukrainian army's howitzer , which can be regarded as a wonder of modern warfare.
During the entire Kiev battle, Kiev had no problems with electricity, water and the Internet. The Russian army was fighting on this side, and the Ukrainian was swiping on the other side, while informing the Russian army of the rear of the movements, causing trouble for the Russian army. Judging from this situation, the Russian army's early behavior was still very restrained. Although they were fighting, they still hoped not to cause trouble to the daily life of the Ukrainians. The intention of attacking the Ukrainians first and trying to conquer the people's hearts is obvious, but the Ukrainians obviously did not buy it.
Therefore, since the Ukrainians do not buy it, this strength will definitely be upgraded. It has to be said that General Surovikin still has two tricks, and he found the key points of the Ukrainians from the beginning: power supply system . The power supply system of the Ukrainians is relatively old. The State Grid has almost never been upgraded since the collapse of and the Soviet Union. However, electricity is very important to the Ukrainian army. Let’s give a few examples;
1. Almost all railways in Ukraine are electrified railways, and almost all locomotives are electrified locomotives. internal diesel locomotives only accounts for 20% of the locomotives in Ukraine. If the Russian army knocks out Ukraine's power network, these electrified railways in Ukraine will be scrapped. Only use internal diesel locomotives to tow the carriages, and the capacity will be reduced by more than 80%. This can be said to be an almost devastating disaster for the Ukrainian troops fighting on the front line.
2. The heating system in Ukraine often requires waste heat heating from thermal power plants or Electricity heating, you smash the power system in Ukraine. The upcoming winter of 2022 will undoubtedly be extremely cold. A large number of Ukrainian refugees will flee to Eastern Europe or to Russia. We all know that after the outbreak of the conflict, Ukraine has already run out of more than 14 million people. If millions of people are running out, the manpower of the Kiev regime will drop to a very tight end. It is no chance to try to pull the Tianling Gai as a strong man;
3. The power system is still one of the few foreign exchange sources in Ukraine at present, especially after June. It is said that Ukraine exported a total of several billion US dollars of electricity from June to October, which is almost the big part of Ukraine's foreign exchange this year. With such a bombing from the Russian army, Ukraine has announced that it will temporarily stop exporting electricity to Europe. Ukraine's only foreign exchange acquisition channel has disappeared, which has made it even worse for Ukraine's economy that had almost nowhere else.
Therefore, the current Russian army's attack on the Ukrainian power system is without surprise and is an action to eliminate the potential of Ukrainian war. Electricity is the basis of a social operation, and it can also be said to be the nerve of industry and agriculture in modern society. Blasting the power system will bring huge social chaos, even create humanitarian disasters, and promote faster civil unrest within Ukraine. Of course, doing so will also cost a huge social price. Therefore, we believe that the Russian army's current attack on Ukrainian energy system is actually relatively restrained. It seems that it does not want to completely and permanently destroy Ukrainian power grid for the time being, but leaves some room. What room does
leave? We all know that there are several key nodes in the power grid: one is the power plant, the second is the power plant substation , the third is the 330 kV substation, and the fourth is the large substation 750 kV. Among these four key nodes, the thermal power plants in Ukraine are relatively easy to destroy, but after the destruction, it will only have a certain impact on Ukraine's power system. After all, the main power generation in Ukraine is nuclear power, and the second is hydropower. The thermal power only accounts for a part of it. After the thermal power plant is scrapped, Ukraine can make a living by relying on nuclear power in the whole country, and it can also make do with it. There are relatively many substations of power plants and 330 kV regional substations. After the destruction, it can be de-scheduled and reorganized through the power grid, and other 330 kV regional substations can be completed. This is also the key factor why Ukraine can restore power supply at a faster speed after the Russian army attacked Ukraine's transmission system.
However, the fragile point of the Ukrainian power grid is that in the 750 kV regional substations, there are only 8 750 kV regional substations in Ukraine. These substations are the real core of the Ukrainian power grid. If you destroy them, you will not be able to transmit much electricity to the Ukrainian power plant. Of course, you can also use 330 kV substations to transmit, but the transmission efficiency will be greatly reduced. For substations, manufacturers do not have inventory, and they are all customized for technical instructions. The system cycle is more than three months, and it will take more than one month to install it. If the Russian army can destroy all of these eight 750 kV substations and continue to attack the remaining 330 kV substations in Ukraine, then the country of Ukraine is likely to fall into a state of heating throughout the winter, and the number of civilians frozen to death is unimaginable. Because of this, we think that the Russian army is still holding and fighting now and has not touched these most important parts, otherwise there will be no way to turn back.
Therefore, in the past few days, you said that the Russian army has attacked the Ukrainian power system. Compared to the war and buying vegetables a while ago, it has indeed made some ruthless moves. You said that it hammered Ukraine to death without leaving any room, but in fact it still left room. It can be seen that the Russian army is still mainly about scaring Ukrainians. It is best to destroy the psychological expectations of the Ukrainians through intermittent power supply and scare as many Ukrainians to Europe. If the Russian army will further escalate the full-scale war and continue to destroy Ukraine's war potential, then there are actually more options: the power system, the 750 kV substation will be destroyed first, and 8 substations do not use many cruise missiles, and about 80 missiles can be bombed until you can't take care of yourself. And you can blow the substation first and then the maintenance personnel, and the Ukrainian power system cannot find it; after blowing up the power system, should Ukrainian network system and TV station explode, and should tap water equipment explode?
What is more cruel is still there. Referring to the US military's actions in Vietnam, the Russian Aerospace Forces can sow pesticides, herbicides or incendiary bombs on Ukraine's farmland and forests, ignite Ukrainian forests, and make large areas of Ukraine's farmland basically unavailable. Especially when autumn comes, a large number of dead leaves rich in oil will become an excellent target of the incendiary bombs. This will inevitably lead to further deterioration of the domestic environment of Ukraine, and even lead to a large number of problems in Ukraine's food exports. Therefore, the Russian army should not use such cruel means at present. Let's say this, just to tell everyone that from the perspective of confrontation between big powers, there are many options for big powers, far from what small countries can do, or think they can resist. The consequences of awakening the sleeping giants are absolutely unbearable. The future of Ukraine can only be said to be bleak.
Finally, let us sincerely hope that peace between Russia and Ukraine will be restored as soon as possible.
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