Author: Zhanhu Express
The balance of war begins to "tilt"! According to the Russian Ministry of Defense th communiqué, due to concerns about being surrounded by the Ukrainian army, the Russian army and Donbass armed forces have withdrawn from Chongliman to a more "favorable" position.
Keyman strategic location is particularly important. It is located in the north of Donetsk Oblast, more than 100 kilometers away from Donetsk City. It is a transportation hub. The Russian army needs to pass the Keyman to deliver supplies to the front line. Once the Ukrainian army controls Keyman, it is equivalent to opening the "gate" to enter the entire Donetsk area of Donetsk. It is really difficult to understand that the Russian army "gives to others" such an important strategic town. In response, Russian leader Kadyrov publicly criticized the squatting General for being "timid" because the squatting General directed the military operation of HK Liman. Kadyrov said that he would downgrade the squatting to a soldier and let him wash away Russia's shame with blood!
More importantly, four states including Donetsk Prefecture announced their joining the Russian Federation through a referendum a few days ago, while Putin signed a treaty agreement for the four places to join Russia. Previously, Putin also stated that he would use all means to defend himself. Medvedev even claimed that strategic nuclear weapons could be used to protect the land newly joined the Russian Federation. Now, the Ukrainian army has controlled the important city of Chongliman, which was originally part of Donetsk Prefecture, which is equivalent to stepping onto the Russian gateway with one foot. How should Putin react? This is a severe test for Putin!
If according to Putin and Medvedev, the Russian army should use nuclear weapons to shock the enemy and scare away the Ukrainian army that is trying to attack Russian territory, thereby maintaining Russian territorial security. However, if Putin uses nuclear weapons, it will inevitably cause strong reactions from the United States and other Western countries, and will put Russia in a more passive strategic situation!
According to Global Network , US national security adviser Sullivan said that if Russia uses nuclear weapons, the United States will make a "response". The US " News Weekly" said that the US has multiple counterattack plans and may carry out a "decapitation strike" on the Kremlin . Now, the Russian-Ukrainian conflict has evolved into a "mixed war" between NATO and Russia. Once Russia uses nuclear weapons to win, NATO is likely to react, which directly leads to a confrontation between the United States and Russia. The results of the US-Russia nuclear war against can be imagined. What does Russia use of nuclear weapons mean? Putin knows it better than anyone else!
Of course, Russia has not reached the point of "life and death", and there is no need for nuclear weapons to protect itself! According to documents released by Russia, Russia must meet two conditions if it wants to use nuclear weapons to strike and ensure its own safety. First, Russia discovered the incoming nuclear missile , and second, Russia was hit by nuclear strike . The Russian-Ukrainian conflict is a local war, and Russia's war potential has not been stimulated. If nuclear weapons are used just to win a local war, it may be difficult for Russia to gain international trust and its authority will decline.
Moreover, using nuclear weapons to attack Ukraine will have several extremely unfavorable consequences: First, Russia violates the consensus that the five major powers do not fight nuclear war. The five major countries have formed a strategic consensus this year that "no nuclear war, no winner". Once Russia actively activates nuclear weapons, it will inevitably cause dissatisfaction among major countries. Second, it may trigger a world reaction, and Russia may become the "target of public criticism." During the World War II, the United States used the atomic bomb to force Japan to surrender , and humans entered the era of nuclear weapons. Russia now has more terrifying nuclear weapons. Just throwing out a nuclear bomb is enough to "destroy a country". According to the previous simulation of the Russian army, launching nuclear missiles from Kaliningrad Oblast can smooth out London! Using nuclear weapons against Ukraine will obviously make Russia lose its sense of justice in war and make Russia stand opposite to the world.
As a world power, Russia shoulders the responsibility of maintaining world peace. Of course, it cannot violate strategic commitments, and it cannot do anything that hurts other countries.From this point of view, even if the Russian army fails on the battlefield of Russia and Ukraine, even if the Ukrainian army attacks Russia's gate, Russia will not be able to risk using nuclear weapons considering its own interests and the world's feelings.
To put it bluntly, when the US-Soviet confrontation was at its worst, nuclear weapons were not used. Now, for strategic balance and for their own development, major powers will never easily use nuclear weapons on the battlefield.
