According to the Taiwan News Media website, on July 14, the island's major media simultaneously reported on the 12th of this month the case of Taiwan's self-made submarine and the details of related arms sales to the United States. This part triggered the search and tracing of US intelligence personnel. According to the source, it can be said that the entire Taiwan and US intelligence circles are in motion. what is happening? Why are the United States and Taiwan so nervous? We need to study and judge from the submarine and the three major values of this incident in the complete reunification of the motherland.
1. Regarding the value of coercing foreign countries to self-respect and rejecting reunification with force: The content involves the Taiwan authorities’ self-made submarine case and the details of related arms sales to the United States, which can have a significant impact on cross-strait reunification.
An objective difficulty faced by cross-strait reunification is that the strait is separated. , so we often say that the "Taiwan independence" die-hards rely on foreign countries to respect themselves and use force to resist reunification. This is the factor.
In the island landing operation, targets on the surface are easy to hit, especially since the mainland has obvious firepower advantages and can annihilate important targets on Taiwan Island in one fell swoop. For example, airports, ports, etc. must be saturation strikes of missiles , and aircraft and surface ships can also be accurately destroyed.
Among them, there is a weapon that can lurk and quietly attack large and high-value targets on the surface such as aircraft carriers. This is a submarine.
To this end, Taiwan has been actively manufacturing submarines for itself. At present, the actual progress of the prototype submarine built by the Taiwanese government is a mystery. Building a self-made submarine is a "major construction project" of the Taiwan authorities. Unfavorable rumors have been flying around in the past, and the progress has also changed repeatedly. On the 12th, major media outlets on the island conducted unusual simultaneous reports, disclosing details such as the latest progress of submarine manufacturing in Taiwan and arms sales, and the contents were mostly similar. But the important thing is that even Taiwan’s defense department failed to understand these contents.
According to online news, Taiwan's " self-made submarine " has entered a stable period. The first prototype ship is scheduled to be launched in September next year, with a displacement of more than 2,000 tons, which is about 8 to 10 years ahead of the Taiwan Navy's current Stegoryus class submarines.
Taiwan Navy Stegosaurus-class submarine
The content of this report not only involves the Taiwan authorities’ self-built submarines, but also includes details of related arms sales to the United States. In other words, it is very likely that the United States will provide direct help for Taiwan’s self-built submarines.
Sure enough, China Times News Network reported that people familiar with the matter pointed out that the prototype ship combat system was supplied by the American company Lockheed Martin, and the sonar was supplied by the American company Raytheon. There are 18 torpedoes in total, the model is MK-48-6 heavy torpedo, one costs about 10 million US dollars, and there are 4 reusable torpedoes .
2. The value of intelligence collection and espionage activities: between the two sides of the Taiwan Strait, between China and the United States, and even between the United States and Taiwan, China, it can make a major breakthrough in the reunification of the two sides of the Taiwan Strait
Whether it is the Anti-Japanese War or the Liberation War , including to resist U.S. aggression and aid Korea , intelligence has played a vital role. With the development of military science and technology to this day, spy satellites in the sky, maritime spy ships, land radars, aerial reconnaissance aircraft, and online spy software all provide all-weather intelligence support for military operations.
In this Ukraine crisis , Ukrainian troops killed many Russian generals, relying on target intelligence provided by the United States and NATO . Regarding this point, we must see that the intelligence integration between the United States and Taiwan is far better than that between the US military and Ukraine. This is due to both historical reasons and the support of continuous arms purchases.
The most advanced "Pave Claw" radar in the United States has been deployed in Leshan, Taiwan, and can monitor the hinterland of the mainland. In addition, in November 2019, the United States and Taiwan conducted their first "cyber attack and defense exercise, demonstrating the integration of military information systems and even command systems." The degree of culturalization is very high, which puts cross-strait reunification at great risk.
Even so, even with such advanced military technology, some intelligence still cannot be obtained using technical reconnaissance methods, which requires intelligence personnel to obtain corresponding intelligence. Serving the military struggle.
In view of the importance of Taiwan's submarine intelligence and the top secret nature of U.S.-related military purchases, Taiwan's intelligence agencies and the United States were highly nervous after this news was exposed.
As reported by Taiwanese media, Taiwan’s intelligence agency has already been activated, and the process is like "Mission: Impossible" and could make a blockbuster. Relevant units learned that a high-level security project manager had invited a number of senior military reporters to have a meal at a well-known Jiangsu and Zhejiang restaurant in Kaohsiung less than 20 minutes' drive from the Taiwanese ship. The conversation lasted for a long time, and it was explained that After the news is released, it will be reported simultaneously by the media.
Intelligence officials from the American Institute in Taiwan have not been idle either, and have quietly conducted inquiries and information searches behind the scenes. The American Institute in Taiwan is worried that this incident will become a matter of concern to the U.S. Congress. is consistent with Taiwan’s intelligence agency, and the information points to an official in charge of the security project.
3. Impact on the situation in the Taiwan Strait and the value of Sino-US relations: The United States and Taiwan will further strictly block the details of arms sales to Taiwan. With all types of arms sales equipment in place, the time for the mainland to make a decision will be approaching.
This submarine launch The content disclosed in the case directly named the U.S. arms manufacturers, the models of equipment involved, and the procedures for selling to the U.S. military. Many of them were details that had not been made public in the past. Therefore, will have a significant impact on both sides of the Taiwan Strait and the United States. However, from the perspective of cross-strait reunification, to reflect the value of this report, we need to pay attention to three unexpected things!
The first thing I didn’t expect was that the mainland did not expect the progress, extent, and intensity of the US-Taiwan collaboration to build submarines. We must be highly vigilant in this situation of . It is best not to have such a severe situation. In the previous article, we analyzed the seven waves of combat against Taiwan. The only thing we did not mention was that underwater submarine and fish attacks are not trivial, and they have serious consequences for the surface. Ships pose a great threat, especially as China's aircraft carrier continues to be launched. We must be on guard against Taiwan's so-called self-made submarines and regard them as a top threat!
The second thing I did not expect: The United States did not expect how much of the weapons it sold to the mainland would eventually be given to the mainland. We have always called the United States the "Captain of Transportation." This was the case in the War of Liberation. The Kuomintang army was equipped with American-style equipment, which provided a steady stream of objective support for the People's Liberation Army, and eventually drove Chiang Kai-shek troops to Taiwan. The same is true in Afghanistan. Today, the United States and NATO have also sent weapons and equipment to the Russian army in the Ukrainian battlefield. The U.S. military is also very conflicted about arms sales to Taiwan. When selling advanced weapons, it is worried that they will eventually be given to the People's Liberation Army. If it does not send advanced weapons, it is also worried that the Taiwan military will not be able to withstand a fight. Of course, what the United States least expects in this is probably to insist on a Chinese brother from the Taiwan military flying a plane to the mainland.
The third unexpected thing: the "Taiwan independence" authorities did not expect the breakthrough role of the patriotic forces who were unwilling to follow the "Taiwan independence" die-hards. Regarding this leak, the "Taiwan independence" authorities are worried about the attitude of the United States, according to reports. The detailed operating procedures for the two-stage export license of the U.S. arms sales to Taiwan were brought to light, surprising the U.S. intelligence chief in Taiwan. People with experience in foreign affairs believe that this move may be self-defeating and may cause the U.S. to lose its authority against Taiwan. trust". But in fact, once the Taiwan military takes major actions that are conducive to cross-strait reunification, it will promote a milestone event in the great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation. Mainland China should lay a solid foundation for this situation to occur.
One sentence summary: The more panic the U.S. agencies in Taiwan and the Taiwan authorities become, the more dangerous the so-called self-made submarines are, the more vigilant we must be, and the closer we are to cross-strait reunification.
Qin An, July 15, 2022, Haidian, Beijing.
