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Author: Yipinwen Team Big Buffalo, welcome to forward
Recently, with the progress of the Russian army's operations, one Ukrainian city after another has gradually fallen into the hands of the Russian army. The Lugansk area is being captured by the Russian army, and the Ukrainian army is gradually withdrawing from this area; on the other hand, some situations are also happening in the Odessa coastal area. The Russian army in the adjacent Snake Island area has begun to retreat, and the Ukrainian army They went to the island to clear out the equipment left behind by the Russian army, but suddenly encountered a Russian air force counterattack. All these situations show that the battle against the Odessa area has not been relaxed. After all, the Eastern Ukraine region has always been a key "care" target of the Russian army. Other industrial and economic cities are also targets of the Russian army, such as Kharkov, and even Kiev.
(As the Russian army’s battle in Eastern Ukraine is advancing steadily and smoothly, the Ukrainian front is showing signs of retreat)
The situation in Kiev is not good, because the Russian army attacked the airport at the beginning of the war. Although the troops later failed and were withdrawn, air raids continued from time to time. Now the Russian army's successful attack in Eastern Ukraine makes Westerners a little unhappy. Although the Ukrainian government's propaganda department continues to claim "major victory," Westerners know the true results. Therefore, some British and American think tank scholars have begun to study how to establish a government-in-exile or other forms of regime to ensure that Ukraine's pro-Western policies continue to be implemented in the event that Kiev falls. Politicians and scholars from these Western groups believe that if the Russian army captures Kiev, effective resistance in Ukraine will end. They even believe that Russia will establish a pro-Russian local regime. Therefore, the task of Westerners now is to prolong Ukraine's resistance as long as possible, in order to prepare for the day when Kiev falls.
(Assuming that the Russian army’s campaign in Eastern Ukraine ends successfully, the front may turn to Kiev again. Historically, Kiev has been captured by Russia many times. During the Soviet period and the Patriotic War, Kiev was the place with the most loot. . The Russian army is currently fighting smoothly. If it marches into Kiev next time, it will not be a few paratroopers to attack but a large-scale regular army attack. Kiev's defensive battles in history have been less successful because it is located in the Great Plains.)
The decision of the Ukrainian president to stay in Kiev may have been wise in the early stages of the war, because it effectively improved the willpower of his own army to resist. But if Kiev disappears one day, the president and his ministers will be lucky to escape. If he cannot escape, and the ministers and parliamentary officials are either dead or captured, it will definitely affect the current operation of the Ukrainian regime. Even if it is only a symbolic establishment of a government-in-exile, it will have an international impact, because it represents the legitimacy of the current Ukrainian regime and allows the international community (mainly the Western bloc) to continue to boycott the Russians. Because as long as the current members of the Ukrainian cabinet disappear or are killed during the war, the successor government official (no matter who he is, because the United States has enough puppet candidates) can use the communication equipment provided by Westerners to continue to brag or make headlines internationally. Yell and connect with the rest of the world through these devices, expressing yourself as a legitimate takeover of the current regime.
(If Kiev is in danger, then those government members may not be able to exercise their rights. At this time, the United States and Western European countries will definitely set up a new puppet team to continue)
These people think that the more successful example is during World War II British Government. At that time, the fat man Churchill gave a fanatical speech when the situation was very unfavorable. He claimed that he would never surrender and would fight the German devils to the death in the mountains or on the beach. At that time, even President Roosevelt of the United States felt that the fat man had gone crazy because all the heavy equipment of his army was left in France and he was short of money and supplies.The Yankees' idea at the time was to set up a government-in-exile to give the British face, and then negotiate with the Germans on the other side. But later Churchill blocked the German devils. Because the British were united and had the strait and fleet to block Hitler , the British finally persisted and won the war.
Today's Ukraine does not have these conditions, because since the war began, government officials have fled one after another, and some simply communicate with the Russians internally, and there is no natural danger like the Strait. There are also less successful examples, such as the World War II Polish government that was in exile for a long time. This regime had been working in the United Kingdom from 1939 to 1990. It had no appeal and no government members. In addition, after the war, Churchill betrayed the Polish government-in-exile for political deals. If Ukraine establishes a government-in-exile abroad and it has no use value, I am afraid its fate will be no better than that of the Polish government-in-exile.
(The US Military Review magazine and Professor Mark DeVore of the University of St. Andrews in the UK, and US National Security Assistant Sullivan have now begun to study how to delay the war and the possibility of establishing a Ukrainian government in exile)
Therefore, the current thinking of the United States is to let the Ukrainian army continue to delay, so that it can maintain a legitimate government (to put it bluntly, this government must give the local people and the military some confidence). It is best for this puppet regime to stay in the western region of Ukraine and call on the people and the army to continue fighting against the Russian army, and continue to operate this regime until it "counterattacks to Moscow"! What the editor said here is not wrong. This is what the Ukrainian propaganda department over there said. They are shouting "counterattack" every day. If there are still abundant resources and troops that have not escaped at that time.
The Yankees are wiser. They themselves don’t believe in Kiev’s nonsense. So the Americans thought of a way. They planned to build a new line of defense in the Lviv area of Ukraine. This line of defense is based on the Carpathian Mountains . This is no longer a mountainous area with extremely harsh terrain like the European Great Plains. If the Ukrainian army retreats here, it can use the terrain conditions to deal with the Russian army.
But here, the construction of fortifications and various facilities must be completed by local Ukrainians themselves. The United States and other Western allies will not personally complete the defense line because they do not want to openly fight with the Russians, so they will send a few "experts" to assist Ukraine in completing the defense line. Westerners only design and make suggestions, they will not be stupid enough to get deeply involved in the war.
(The idea of the United States and the Western Group is that if Kiev is attacked, then they will retreat to the Carpathian Mountains. Then several neighboring states here begin to become the last line of defense, and the Lviv area is the last base and must be protected It. The terrain here is extremely harsh, not a plain. The Russians suffered hardship here during World War I and World War II. The Soviet Red Army was even forced to carry out Romanian Campaign bypass attack)
The Carpathian Mountains are very suitable for defense. On the other side, two wars broke out here to stop the Russians. So Americans are very confident that they can use this strategy. But that's not their purpose. They don't believe that this approach will allow Ukraine to win the war. This defensive method only delays the Russian offensive and allows Ukraine to continue to fight against the Russian army for a long time. The goal of the United States is to use the government-in-exile and the stubborn defenders to force the Russians to sit at the negotiating table and continue negotiations with NATO . These methods of the Western group increase their bargaining chips. As for how many people will die in Ukraine and how long the war will last, they do not care. After all, there is a truth that has been said before: The United States intends to let the Ukrainians fight to the last man. If you have any interesting opinions, please leave a message below to discuss! (This article is part of the series Uncle Yi talks about the world. For those who are interested, please use WeChat to search the official account: Zhizhidi, and watch all the original articles in the series Uncle Yi talks about the world)
