Since the outbreak of the Russo-Ukrainian war, some people on the Internet are now discussing an issue because of the Russo-Ukrainian war. If this continues, there will be a new Cold War . This is an interesting topic. After all, it has been decades since the Cold War. , and now there is a war in Russia, so everyone is speculating, so let's analyze it now.
current situation
A fierce war between Ukraine and Russia has divided the world, while NATO accuses Moscow of taking military action against its old friend in neighboring Russia, and former Soviet member Belarus expresses reaction to NATO retaliation Somewhat worryingly, Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko recently stated that Russia should be prepared to deploy nuclear weapons, and he also warned former Soviet countries that they need to abide by sovereignty diplomacy.
Lukashenko
But Western countries were not ready to say that they would back down at the recent G7 and NATO summits. Even the United States and its allies have made it clear that they will support as long as US President Biden keeps calling. In Ukraine, both camps, the United States and its allies and Russia, have now issued provocative statements, and the allies, led by the United States, are firmly united against Russian aggression. For many, this is a bit like a new round of Cold War thinking. , that kind of brow has appeared.
Attitudes of various countries
The current global scene may be familiar. These big countries collide with each other. Some Western experts said that if the escalation continues, it may lead to a new arms race, such as now Germany, Belgium , Poland , Romania Countries such as , Norway and Italy have increased their defense spending, and NATO has recently tried to expand its alliances, which could exacerbate the conflict if experts say these events are similar to what the world witnessed after World War II But in this war, now Let me pull out a map of Europe to explain NATO's expansion.
Countries marked in yellow are countries that joined NATO before 1997. This includes countries such as Norway, Germany, Italy, France, and Spain, while the countries in orange behind are countries that joined the NATO military alliance after 1997. It includes several Eastern European countries that were once part of the Soviet Union or within its sphere of influence. Four of these countries, Poland, Lithuania, Latvia, and Estonia, border Russia and are now Finland and Sweden. We are applying to join this military alliance. Basically the Baltic Sea is now NATO's own sea.
From this point of view, this has undoubtedly angered Russia. From the above analysis, Russia is almost surrounded.
But one thing to say is that there are currently approximately 20,000 military personnel engaged in NATO operations and missions around the world. NATO currently leads operations in Kosovo and Mediterranean . It also supports the African Union in air patrols and air defense in the Baltic States. support. After the war between Russia and Ukraine in February 2022, they still performed consulting and capacity building tasks in Iraq . NATO agreed to establish four more multinational battle groups in Bulgaria , Hungary , Romania and Slovakia . This increases the number of multinational battle groups to eight, stretching from the Baltic Sea in the north to the Black Sea in the south. Throughout NATO's eastward expansion, war at this time may be more dangerous than before. Equipped with modern weapons, it may lead to more destructive War, including the possibility of nuclear war, war is not limited to the battlefield, and now cyberspace is also a battlefield. Cyberwar may conduct cyber attacks on the enemy. For example, Lithuania wanted to block the transportation of Kaliningrad , but it was blocked by Russia. cyber attacks, so cyber warfare cannot be underestimated.
Now Sweden and Finland are turning to NATO for security protection. Coupled with the global economic crisis, a war-like situation may become a reality.
In short, no one knows what will happen to the future trend of
, but with the change of this situation and the emergence of this polarization, this possibility cannot be ruled out.
