[Global Network Report, reporter Wang Qianrun] The major media in the United States that have been open for the past two days, most of the front pages are news that Trump and may be impeached. Faced with the aggressiveness of the Democrats, will Trump be impeached, and if he is impeached, what will it mean to him? This is one of the political issues most concerned by American political public opinion.
The voice of Trump's impeachment is getting stronger.
"Impeachment may open the American Pandora's Box", "Russia Today" TV station commented on the 11th.
When foreign media issued such a warning, US Congress House Democrats formally submitted a draft impeachment clause against Trump on the 11th, accusing Trump of “inciting rebellion.” The parliamentarians also said that they planned to hold an impeachment ballot on the 13th.
CNN report screenshot
On the one hand, Democrats are actively submitting impeachment clauses, on the other hand, the possible violence caused by the impeachment of the president is causing people's concern.
The Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) internally announced that if Trump is removed before the expiration of his term, starting this week, at least until the day of the president’s inauguration (January 20), all 50 states and the capital, Washington, DC "Armed protests" may erupt.
Although the impeachment is "menacing", in the view of Jin Canrong, deputy dean of the School of International Relations of Renmin University of China, the possibility of Trump being impeached is actually not too great, "political significance". What would Z3z
Pence do?
Just as the impeachment of Trump dominated the headlines, the current Vice President Pence also became the focus.
Pence (left) and Pelosi (right) data map
US media reported that House of Representatives Democrats urged Vice President Pence to invoke the 25th Amendment to the US Constitution to remove Trump. The recall motion proposed by the Democrats is expected to be voted in the House of Representatives on the 12th. Because Democrats have a majority in the House of Representatives, the motion is likely to be passed. By then, Pence will have 24 hours to respond.
CNN freelance writer Chris Siliza believes that Pence is unlikely to use the 25th Amendment to the Constitution to remove Trump. He mentioned three reasons: First, there has never been a vice president to dismiss the president in this way before, which would be detrimental to Pence’s political future; second, Trump’s term is coming to an end and the Republicans are unwilling to make extravagances; Third, several members of Trump's cabinet have resigned, and it is unlikely that most of the remaining people will support the removal decision. There are some concerns within the
Pence team. Invoking the 25th Amendment and even the impeachment procedure is risky, because Trump may take reckless actions to "put the United States in danger again."
From the current perspective, Republicans such as Vice President Pence and Senate Majority Leader McConnell have yet to make a clear statement.
Within the Republican Party, there are also different views on whether to impeach Trump. Although some Republican congressmen once said: “Trump has committed an impeachable crime,” and this will disqualify him from the (Presidential) office.”
CNN report screenshot
Trump’s long-term ally, former New Jersey Governor Chris Christie also said that this is enough for Trump to be impeached. "If this is not enough to be impeached, then I don't know what else can be done." He said that he and his Republican colleagues have "had enough" Trump.
Although Trump has been "banned" by public opinion and a large number of social media, some Republicans have also voiced condemnation of the violence that day, or criticized Trump for encouraging his supporters to go to the Capitol when the Congress holds electoral votes. March, but this does not mean that these Republicans support the removal of Trump through impeachment or other means.
At present, within the Republican Party, there is still no agreement on how to end it. Some people worry that impeachment will "add fuel to the fire", leading to further division of the country and violent activities in major cities.
“For Republicans, considering that Trump’s supporters are still an important part of the Republican Party’s fundamentals, prematurely publicly supporting the removal of Trump may affect their official career.” Christopher Newport University Political Science Department Assistant Professor Sun Taiyi believes that there is not enoughEnough Republicans publicly "turned", so it is very likely that like the first impeachment, Trump will not be tried in the Senate.
Impeachment will ruin Trump's 2024?
Trump’s time in the White House is running out. Can the impeachment succeed? What does impeachment mean to Trump?
In response to this issue, Jin Canrong mentioned that “impeachment itself will not have any results, and impeachment time is not enough in terms of procedures”, but its political significance is greater. Z3z
Jin Canrong added that the political significance is that the impeachment of a president twice in a row will become a political precedent and "will give a warning to the president who violates the rules in the future."
Diao Daming, an associate professor of the School of International Relations at Renmin University of China, also mentioned that if Trump is really impeached, it will be a political stain for him and it is obviously not good for him. The biggest impact is that Trump is unable to seek any federal-level public office. “There is not much hope for participating in the 2024 presidential election.”
Although Trump has ceased to be the President of the United States after January 20, the impeachment case is also valid after he leaves office. Diao Daming also said that if Trump is confirmed by the Senate and House of Representatives for impeachment during his term of office, he may lose some of his retired presidential benefits.
"But it also depends on what kind of retired president's treatment is." Diao Daming mentioned. "Trump may lose many benefits such as medical care, retirement pensions, and employee salary reimbursements," but he may still retain the security benefits enjoyed by the retired president.
Regarding the question of whether Trump will face jail, Diao Daming mentioned that whether Trump will be convicted in the future will have to go through judicial procedures, "but it is possible." "If Trump realizes that there will be some jail time, he will also consider the issue of self-pardon."
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