Professor You Yinglong, chairman of the Taiwan Public Opinion Foundation, said in a talk show that Lai Ching-te should go his own way and break up with Tsai Ing-wen. The most important thing is that Lai Ching-te should break up with Tsai Ing-wen.

text | Zhang Youhua

Professor You Yinglong, chairman of the Taiwan Public Opinion Foundation, said in a talk show that Lai Qingde should go his own way and break up with Tsai Ing-wen. The most important thing is that Lai Qingde should break up with Tsai Ing-wen. In fact, it is not easy for Lai Qingde to follow his own path. Although it is not easy, he must do three things: The first thing is that he must master the so-called resources. If there are no resources, what he is doing as the chairman of a useless party is meaningless. The second one is that he must control the nomination rights of and , which is related to the DPP's 2024 "general election."

If the list is still handed over by Tsai Ing-wen, even if you, Lai Qingde, are popular, you are just a pawn or a doll of Tsai Ing-wen. The third one, Lai Qingde, wants to break up with Tsai Ing-wen. Now Professor You Yinglong has explained all the pros and cons of . His key point is that we must break up with Tsai Ing-wen. What things are you breaking up about? The first DPP must restore the so-called primaries; the second DPP must cut itself off from black gold ; the third DPP must eliminate the so-called problem of headcount party members. Your fourth, Lai Qingde's personnel arrangements should make Green Camp's basic base brighter, instead of just moving around with the same old faces, which would be annoying to everyone. If Lai Qingde can do these four things, it doesn't matter whether he falls out with Tsai Ing-wen or not. But if Lai Qingde can't do one or two of them, a breakup is inevitable.

Why is it inevitable to break up? We now see that Lai Qingde has five dilemmas: First, if he goes out on behalf of the DPP, can his deputy be decided by himself? At that time, Tsai Ing-wen’s deputy made her own opinions, and the DPP did not dare to interfere. But today is different from the past. Will Lai Qingde’s deputy Tsai Ing-wen recommend it? Tsai Ing-wen’s euphemistic name is “recommendation”, but it is actually called “appointment”. This is Lai Qingde’s dilemma. If Lai Qingde can't even decide on his deputy, then what should he choose? Does he want to break up with Tsai Ing-wen?

The second one is the head of the "cabinet" department, as well as people including Lai Qingde. If Tsai Ing-wen drives them all away, then when Lai Qingde faces my faction and my people, will there be a problem of two "suns"? This is worth thinking about by Lai Qingde. The third year 2024 is chosen by Lai Qingde, and there are a lot of "hens" below. At least 113 "legislators" want to be nominated by Lai Qingde. If Tsai Ing-wen still follows the 2022 model and confiscates them all, does Lai Qingde want to fall out with Tsai Ing-wen?

Fourth, now that the DPP is in charge from the central party headquarters to the local party headquarters, to be precise, the "British faction" is in charge. When Lai Qingde comes to power, should he change his system to show a new look? So You Yinglong said that Lai Qingde should break up with Tsai Ing-wen. He was talking about black money and "power reorganization", but I looked at it more comprehensively. After all, we can say that although Lai Qingde of the DPP is the popular candidate for the "big position", I can tell you that Lai Qingde is like a kite in the sky. Is this line in Lai Qingde's hands or Tsai Ing-wen's? Does Lai Qingde dare to break up with Tsai Ing-wen?

Frankly speaking, I don’t have that much confidence. After all, Lai Qingde is very afraid of Tsai Ing-wen because he lost twice in a row under Tsai Ing-wen. In the face of Tsai Ing-wen's strength, unless Lai Ching-te is supported by the party, otherwise Lai will fall out with Tsai Ing-wen. We can only say that this is talk in a dream. The reason is very simple. From this "cabinet reshuffle", Tsai Ing-wen has shown her strong desire. And from this military service extension process, Lai Qingde has to go to Tsai Ing-wen's Facebook to express his opinions and express his allegiance. This proves that it is undoubtedly difficult for Lai Qingde to fall out with Tsai Ing-wen.

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