Previously, Macron publicly stated that the United States and other energy producers are making excess profits without any effort in the geopolitical conflict, which is not conducive to "alliance of allies." Obviously, every move of politicians has profound meaning. Macron is likely to take the opportunity to put pressure on the United States, hoping to use the power of public opinion to adjust export prices.
Based on this, on the eve of Macron's visit to the United States, senior U.S. government officials revealed such a signal to the outside world, which naturally had profound meaning, which inevitably made the outside world suspicious, which was a warning to Macron. Once this is the case, it means that it will be difficult for Macron to negotiate with the US government, one of the three main issues.
In fact, it is normal that it cannot reach an agreement, after all, the benefits involved are too great. According to data, the United States successfully reversed the economic downturn in the third quarter, and the reason why it can do this is because the United States exports a large amount of liquefied natural gas, oil and other energy to Europe this year. Take natural gas as an example. In the first half of 2022 alone, the United States' exports to Europe have far exceeded the total volume in 2021.
is hard to imagine. How huge the interests involved will allow the United States to successfully reverse the economic downturn. This also proves from the indirectly that Europe has really suffered heavy losses in this Russian-Ukrainian conflict. But the problem is that the US government is now unwilling to admit what anyone with a discerning eye knows, but instead warns Europe that the implication is to let Europe calm down and not continue to get entangled with the United States on energy issues.
The issue of high-priced energy cannot be agreed upon. The conflicts between Europe and the United States caused by the US "Inflation Reduction Act" may be difficult to negotiate. The reason is very simple, because it also involves huge interests. In the US "Inflation Reduction Act", US$370 billion is used to subsidize, support new energy, renewable energy and other fields. According to the meaning of the American media, this is to "fight" with China in related fields and thus build core competitiveness.
But the problem is that this bill has not yet been effective for China, and EU was killed by the United States. The most intuitive and obvious thing is that as soon as the preferential benefits of the bill were released, enterprises and factories that could not tolerate European energy prices were transferred to the United States, and some large enterprises had even appeared. Therefore, the EU leaders have a serious sense of crisis, so Macron went to the United States to have a face-to-face meeting with , Biden and .
However, judging from the warning of early release of information from the White House, there is a high probability that the energy issue will not be agreed upon, so the "Inflation Reduction Act" may not be reached. The only thing that can be discussed is the Russian-Ukrainian issue, which has no practical significance for France and even Europe.
Based on this, we can come up with a preliminary analysis. If Macron fails this visit to the United States, then he will most likely come to China next. Just like German Chancellor Scholz visited China before, he wants to reach some cooperation with China, so that can hedge against the bad impact brought by the United States of ! (Run)
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