As the Democratic and Republican parties in the United States lock in control of the Senate and House of Representatives, the 2022 US midterm elections is about to end. Before and after the midterm elections, the two parties used their "sweeping skills" to boast about their party belittle their opponents, causing various chaos in the country's political arena. However, the settlement of control of the Senate and the House of Representatives does not mean that the struggle between the two parties has come to an abrupt end, and a new round of game is slowly beginning.
This week, the results of the 2022 midterm elections in the United States were announced one after another. The latest results of show that Democratic and Republican parties have locked in control of the Senate and the House of Representatives respectively. During the midterm elections, the Republican Party did not win a "big victory" as expected, and may face the unfavorable situation of "small wins, loses"; the Democratic Party has only rescinded the decline and may face more challenges in the future.
Due to the "change of ownership" in the House of Representatives, the Speaker of the House of Representatives is about to change his term. With the advantage of its seat in the House, the Republican Party is planning a new round of offensive against the Democratic Party. Experts pointed out that this may lead to more chaos in the country and political polarization is becoming increasingly serious.
Control of the two houses of Congress determines
Democratic Party successfully resists challenges?
On the evening of November 16th local time, The U.S. Republican took the lead in winning 218 seats in the House of Representatives and becoming the majority party, which means that the Republican Party has seized control of the House of Representatives from the Democrats.
Previously, on November 12, the Democrats maintained control of the Senate at 50:49. At this point, the results of the 2022 midterm elections in the United States have almost been settled.
U.S. President Biden said on November 9 that he "feels good" about the election results because Democrats have lost "fewer seats in the House of Representatives than in any election in the past 40 years."
Former US President Trump Recently, he has attracted criticism for his poor performance in the election by several candidates for lawmakers. However, Trump still officially announced on November 15 that he would participate in the 2024 US presidential election .
Some US media believe that the midterm elections have not ushered in a "red tide" like they predicted before the election (red is the Republican representative color), and the Republican Party's momentum has been greatly damaged, and the Democratic Party has successfully resisted the challenges from the Republican Party. However, experts also said that if we look at the essence of this election through the public opinion of both parties, neither party actually achieved a "big victory" in the election, and the election results are not unexpected.
Assistant Researcher Chen Jiajun, Shanghai Institute of American Studies, introduced that since the opposition party often has greater objective advantages than the ruling party when speculating on social issues, during the past 40 years of US midterm elections, most of the control of the US Senate and House of Representatives "changed ownership."
Sun Chenghao, assistant researcher at the Center for Strategic and Security Studies at Tsinghua University, said that the Republican Party made mistakes when creating topics before the election, such as "silent-mouthed" on issues such as abortion that American voters are more concerned about, resulting in the loss of some voters' support. On the other hand, the election also intuitively reflects voters' anger at the sluggish U.S. economy and high inflation and their dissatisfaction with the federal government's inability to change this situation.
This is the Capitol building taken on November 9 in the US capital Washington . Xinhua News Agency issued
Deputy Director of the American Institute of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences Yuan Zheng further pointed out that at a time when the US economy is full of uncertainty, it is difficult for the Democratic Party and the Biden administration to provide solutions and it is difficult to boost the confidence of American voters. Some Democrats "boasted" about the party's efforts to retain control of the Senate, but in fact, the Democratic campaign strategy is not the decisive factor in this result.
The federal government may face multiple challenges
The Republican Party may not be easy to launch an offensive
Why did this year's midterm elections receive widespread attention from the US government and the opposition? Liu Yongtao, professor at the Center for American Studies at Fudan University, introduced that the change of control of the Senate and the House of Representatives will affect the federal government's governance efficiency in the next two years; at the same time, the performance of the two parties in the election will also affect their attractiveness to voters in the 2024 US presidential election.
"After Biden took office, the Democratic Party once controlled the Senate and the House of Representatives at the same time, which was not conducive to the 'decentralization and checks and balances' established by the US Constitution.Therefore, before the midterm elections, the US government and the opposition also had a relatively high voice for changing this situation. "Liu Yongtao said.
On November 8, voters participated in the midterm elections at a polling station in New York, USA. Xinhua News Agency issued
What changes will happen to the US political arena after the midterm elections end? Experts believe that the federal government and the Democratic Party may face multiple challenges in the next two years.
Chen Jiajun introduced that as the Republican Party gained control of the House of Representatives, under the constraints of opposition parties with opposition political ideas, the federal government and the Democratic Party may be more It is difficult to play a role in domestic issues.
Chen Jiajun further stated that the U.S. government's debt ceiling will expire in the fall of 2023, and there may be debt default . The Republican Party may force the Biden administration to cut spending on climate change, military aid to Ukraine, etc., to crack down on the Biden administration's political control ability.
In addition, issues such as inflation, violent crime, and immigration may all be used by the Republican Party. The "grabbing tool" to crack down on the Democratic Party. Chen Jiajun believes that in the second half of this year, as the inflation problem in the United States becomes more and more serious, the Republican Party's public opinion advantage has become more and more obvious. After the midterm elections, the Republican Party will continue to hype the above issues and build momentum for the next presidential election.
Sun Chenghao believes that for the Republican Party, since the prediction of the "red tide" has not appeared, the party not only "lose points" in public opinion construction, but also faces the situation of "small wins and loses", and it may not be easy to launch an offensive against the Democratic Party in the future.
Sun Chenghao analyzed that as an opposition party, the Republican Party will not give up the opportunity to continue to attack the ruling party, but since the party only gains a slight advantage in the House of Representatives, it may not be able to "do whatever you want" in the House of Representatives. When responding to the agenda proposed by the Democrats, the Republican Party will be more inclined to "bargain" with the latter rather than directly rejecting it. This means that the competitive situation between the two parties in Congress will become more subtle.
""Pelosi 's time The generation is over. "
The two-party struggle may set a new climax.
On the evening of November 16, Biden issued a statement saying that he is ready to cooperate with the Republicans in the House of Representatives and cannot let the future fall into "political struggle". However, experts believe that the two-party struggle in the United States may enter a new climax after the midterm elections.
As the seats change, the U.S. House of Representatives Speaker is about to change his term. On November 17, the current U.S. National House Speaker and Democrat Pelosi announced that she would not run for the Democratic leadership position. After the news of
was announced, several Republican lawmakers immediately launched an offensive against him. Republican Duncan posted on social platforms that he thanked Pelosi for submitting his resignation to the House leader, but he believed that "the Americans fired Pelosi first"; Republican Rep. Lauren Bobert posted, saying, "Pelosi's era is over."
Other side, the United States House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy was nominated for the Republican House Speaker on November 16, which means he is likely to become the next Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives.
In Chen Jiajun's view, if McCarthy is successfully elected as the Speaker of the House of Representatives, he has a high probability of launching an investigation into Biden, his relatives and cabinet.
Sun Chenghao pointed out that combined with McCarthy and other Republicans, he may be celebrating the Deng and others initiated an investigation, as well as the previous investigation of Trump's residence Mar-a-Lago Manor , promoted by the Democratic Party and initiated by the US Department of Justice, in recent years, the struggle between the two parties in the United States has spawned various political chaos, indicating that the country's political polarization is becoming increasingly fierce.
Liu Yongtao noticed that the struggle between the two parties in the United States is increasingly pointing the "speech" at individuals. "Is this political ecology , which boasts American 'democracy', 'is getting sick'? Will the political structure of the United States be gradually replaced by violence? These are all worthy of reflection by American politicians. "Liu Yongtao said.
[Southern Daily Beijing reporter] Ling Xi
[Planning] Zhong Xuanxin
[Author] Ling Xi; Zhong Xuanxin
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