Predictions for the US election are becoming increasingly difficult now. The author predicts that after the election, the Republican Party will occupy at least 240 seats in the House of Representatives and at least 51 seats in the Senate.

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prediction of the US election is becoming increasingly difficult now. The current polls are generally predicted by the Wall Street Post and the Washington Post , and their reliability is questionable. The author predicts that after the election, Republican will occupy at least 240 seats in the House of Representatives and at least 51 seats in the Senate.

This midterm election is particularly difficult to predict because many questions are not convenient for the subjects to be investigated to answer directly. Trump himself involves racist tendencies, and Americans are unwilling to answer support in polls, but in fact, many white people voted for Trump privately.

Abortion problem has actually corrupted American society's morality, but supporting abortion is also a politically correct issue in the United States. Americans can publicly support the right to abortion and dare not publicly oppose the right to abortion, but both groups are huge. The Russian-Ukraine war has overwhelmed the American people, but supporting Ukraine is a moral issue after all, and it is difficult for people to express their dissatisfaction publicly, and they can only express their views through secret votes. More importantly, Trump has successfully carried out personnel reforms to the Republican Party, and today's Republican Party is no longer the Republican Party before. populist politicians in each state will have a greater chance of winning when confronting Democratic candidates.

Democrats used to think that abortion was a good card, but they seem to have given up now. Biden 's policy could backfire, he waived $400 billion in student loans and pardoned a large number of drug users. All these measures will backfire, which is equivalent to confirming the Republican criticism of his security issues. The Economist's prediction is the least reliable, and it believes that the Democratic Party will only lose more than a dozen votes, which is obviously a fantasy and wishful thinking.

Currently, Republicans have increasingly greater and greater advantages in economy, inflation, , crime and immigration issues. Nearly half of voters believe Republicans will be able to best control inflation and ensure border security, and more than 40% think they will be able to reduce crime, too. The two parties of voters in

Florida and Ohio are evenly matched. This time, the Republican Party showed a determined attitude towards these two states. After several months of hard work, the Republican Party has basically reversed its original disadvantage.

Pennsylvania is a key area that Trump pays attention to. Although the Democratic candidate is temporarily behind, the Republicans are ready to overturn the election results after the election. It is estimated that the Republican Party will not admit the election results and then accuse the opponent of fraud until the Democrats finally admit defeat. The Republican strategy to interfere with the Pennsylvania election this time is more mature and well-prepared than the 2020 presidential election. Trump will not allow Democrats to win in the state.

Wisconsin is deeply troubled by crime, which should give Republican Senate candidate Ron Johnson the advantage. Similarly, Nevada faces the same problem. As long as the Republicans insist on safety issues and immigration issues in these two states, their chances of winning will be very stable. The candidate for

Georgia should be evenly matched, and the last side can only win by a narrow advantage. If the Senate holds the finals until December 6, the Republican candidate should still lead by a slight advantage.

Washington , Arizona and New Hampshire are estimated to still have the advantage of the Democrats. Democrats are trying to defend several seats, but blue states such as New York State are also in danger now.

Through this midterm election, Trump trained an echelon, which was his biggest gain.He expects all Republican rising stars to join in and replace him in the future. In addition, the advantages of Twitter have not yet been shown, and it will play a huge role in the next two years. The Republican Party appears to be more united than the Democratic Party in the election. The opposition has been cleared.

If the Republican Party controls the two houses, in the future, the U.S. Supreme Court will continue to see changes that are beneficial to the Republican Party. Because no one can guarantee that there will be no Supreme Court justice in the past two years. If a liberal judge dies, the Republican Party will try its best to prevent Biden from appointing other liberals to replace the judge.

House Republican leader McCarthy declared that members of his core group began to question the funds provided by Washington to Ukraine. "Ukraine is important, but at the same time it cannot be the only thing they do, nor can it be a blank check ." In addition, the Republican Party is ready to impeach Biden. Although the Republican Party cannot obtain a two-thirds majority in Congress, as long as it is a symbolic move, impeachment can still deal a heavy blow to Biden.

involves the issue of Ukraine, and the two parties have differences. A recent speech by former Vice President Pence expressed his position to continue to support the war. But leaders of the Republican think tank Heritage Foundation believe that Biden's policies should be opposed.

Trump told supporters that “every free and caring American needs to understand that it is time to fight against this growing left-wing tyranny”, while calling on his supporters to reject “radical left-wing madman.” Trump believes that there is a high possibility of fraud in the US election today. Federal intelligence agencies warn that far-right wing extremists may launch political violence.

Although there are some divisions within the Republican Party, Trump still has lofty prestige. As soon as he appears, others will appear to be obedient. For him, this is an election that cannot be lost. If the Democrats win, he will continue to be investigated by the House of Representatives. If the Republican wins, he can not only be exempted from the investigation, but also Biden.

Democrats are cautious about the election results on Tuesday, with Democratic strategist Hillary Rosen (Hilary Rosen) told CNN, "We haven't listened to voters in this election." She also said that no Democratic candidate is paying enough attention to the rise in cost of living, and most voters think it's their biggest concern, rather than whether the Republican candidate still rejects the legitimacy of Biden's victory over Trump in 2020, as many Republicans say.

A famous political poll website fivethirtyeight.com predicts that the Republicans now have a 55% chance to win the Senate and an 84% chance to defeat the Democrats in the House of Representatives.